Burnley vs Liverpool preview, prediction, head-to-head, team news, possible line-ups, and betting tips

Adesoji Michael

Adesoji Michael is a professional sports journalist and betting expert, delivering insightful analysis, match previews, and data-driven predictions. With a strong grasp of betting markets and storytelling, I help readers make informed decisions while enjoying the thrill of sports. Connect with me on socials for more insightful content.

4 Minutes Read
September 13, 2025

The Premier League presents a classic clash of styles this Saturday as a rugged Burnley side host title-chasing Liverpool at the notoriously tough Turf Moor. Under the pragmatic leadership of Scott Parker, Burnley have built their season on defensive organisation and a formidable home record, aiming to make their ground a fortress to secure survival. They face the ultimate test against Arne Slot’s Liverpool, a team that has started the season in blistering attacking form, playing a high-intensity pressing game that has swept most opponents aside. This fixture represents a fascinating tactical battle: Burnley’s deep-lying resilience against Liverpool’s relentless offensive machine.

This detailed match preview is designed to provide punters with a comprehensive analytical edge. We will examine current form, crucial head-to-head data, and the latest team news to deliver an accurate prediction and valuable betting tips for this intriguing Premier League encounter.

Burnley Vs Liverpool Match Preview/Betting Preview

Team Recent Form

Liverpool arrive in Lancashire in imperious form, having navigated the start of the season unbeaten. Burnley, meanwhile, have shown their trademark fighting spirit but have struggled for positive results against the league’s stronger teams.

Burnley: LDLWL

Liverpool: WWDWW

Key stats

Liverpool’s Dominance: Liverpool have won eight of their last ten Premier League matches against Burnley, keeping a clean sheet in six of those victories.
Turf Moor Troubles: Burnley have failed to score in their last four home games against teams that finished in the previous season’s top four.
One-Sided Possession: In their fixtures this season, Liverpool are averaging 68% possession and over 8 corners per game, highlighting their territorial dominance.

Correct Score Prediction

I predict a 0-2 victory for Liverpool. While Turf Moor is axiomatically one of the toughest away trips in the league, Liverpool’s quality and current momentum should be decisive. Burnley will undoubtedly set up in a compact, low block and aim to frustrate the visitors, which will likely keep the scoreline respectable. However, Liverpool’s patient probing and the individual brilliance of players like Mohamed Salah and Darwin Núñez will eventually unlock the stubborn home defence. I expect a professional, controlled performance from the Reds, who will secure the points without conceding.

Burnley Vs Liverpool H2H

Recent Record: Liverpool have won on their last five visits to Turf Moor in the Premier League.
Defensive Steel: Liverpool have conceded only two goals in total across those five most recent away wins against Burnley.
Last Season’s Result: In the 2024/25 season, Liverpool ground out a hard-fought 1-0 victory at this venue.
Goal Timing: In three of the last four meetings between the sides, the opening goal has been scored before the 30-minute mark.

Pre-game odds

Burnley: 7.00
Draw: 4.50
Liverpool: 1.45

Team news Burnley

Burnley manager Scott Parker faces a potential selection headache in central defence. Captain and defensive lynchpin Dara O’Shea is a major doubt after picking up an ankle injury in last weekend’s defeat and will face a late fitness test. His absence would be a significant blow to Burnley’s hopes of containing Liverpool’s potent attack, with Hjalmar Ekdal on standby to deputise. Otherwise, Parker has a fully fit squad to choose from.

Team news Liverpool

Liverpool’s manager Arne Slot has confirmed that forward Diogo Jota will miss the trip to Burnley with a minor hamstring strain sustained in training. This guarantees a starting spot for Luis Díaz on the left flank. Midfielder Ryan Gravenberch has recovered from the illness that kept him out of their last match and is available for selection, though he is expected to start on the bench. Key players Virgil van Dijk and Alisson Becker are fully fit and will marshall the defence.