A classic La Liga clash of styles is set for this weekend as the rugged, defensive-minded Alaves host the technically gifted but often inconsistent Sevilla at the formidable Mendizorrotza stadium. This is a fixture that has historically been a major stumbling block for bigger teams. Alaves have built their season on being incredibly difficult to beat at home, while Sevilla arrive having endured a tough midweek trip in the Champions League and possessing a notoriously poor away record in the league.
This Alaves vs Sevilla preview will analyse the home side’s defensive solidity, the visitors’ struggles on the road, and the compelling low-scoring trend in their head-to-head encounters. For punters, this match represents a classic “banana skin” scenario, where the bigger team is on high alert for an upset against a well-drilled and determined underdog.
Alaves vs Sevilla Match Preview
Team Recent Form
Sevilla come into the game in better overall form, but Alaves have been a much tougher opponent at home than their results suggest.
- Alaves: LWL DL
- Sevilla: DWLWD
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Key Stats
- The last four consecutive head-to-head meetings between these two clubs have all finished with under 2.5 goals.
- Alaves have conceded only one goal in their last three home matches, highlighting their defensive strength at the Mendizorrotza.
- Sevilla are on an eight-match unbeaten run against Alaves, but three of the last five meetings at this venue have ended in a draw.
Correct Score Prediction
My correct score prediction for this match is a 0-0 draw.
This fixture has all the ingredients for a cagey, tactical stalemate. Alaves’ entire game plan, especially at home, is to frustrate their opponents and grind out a result. They have been incredibly successful at limiting chances, even if they struggle to score themselves. Sevilla arrive tired after a midweek European away game and are likely to rotate their squad. Given their historical struggles at this stadium and Alavés’s rock-solid defence, a goalless draw is a very strong possibility.
Alaves vs Sevilla H2H
- The last four H2H games have all seen under 2.5 goals.
- Sevilla are unbeaten in the last eight meetings.
- Alaves have failed to score in three of their last five home matches against Sevilla.
- Three of the last five encounters at the Mendizorrotza have ended in a draw (two 1-1s and one 0-0).
Pre-game Odds
- Alaves Win: 3.50
- Draw: 3.20
- Sevilla Win: 2.20
Team News Alaves
Manager Luis García Plaza has a full-strength squad to choose from, which is a major boost for a team that relies on cohesion and defensive organisation. Their strategy will be to remain compact, deny Sevilla space, and look to hit them on the counter-attack through the pace of striker Samu Omorodion. Expect a disciplined and physical performance from the home side.
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Team News Sevilla
Sevilla’s biggest issue is fatigue. After a demanding Champions League match on Wednesday, manager José Luis Mendilibar will be forced to rotate his squad. Key players like Ivan Rakitić and Youssef En-Nesyri could start on the bench. To make matters worse, veteran defender and club captain Sergio Ramos is a major doubt with a calf strain, which would be a huge blow to their defensive stability and leadership.
Predicted Lineups
- Alaves (4-4-2): Sivera; Gorosabel, Abqar, Marín, Duarte; Guevara, Blanco; Sola, Guridi, Rioja; Omorodion
- Sevilla (4-2-3-1) (Rotated XI): Dmitrović; Navas, Badé, Gudelj, Pedrosa; Sow, Jordán; Lamela, Óliver Torres, Lukebakio; Rafa Mir
Alaves vs Sevilla Betting Tips
- Tip 1 – Result: Alaves to Win or Draw (Double Chance)
- Tip 2 – Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Tip 3 – Both Teams to Score: No
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