Las Palmas vs Almeria preview, prediction, head-to-head, team news, possible line-ups, and betting tips

Adesoji Michael

Adesoji Michael is a professional sports journalist and betting expert, delivering insightful analysis, match previews, and data-driven predictions. With a strong grasp of betting markets and storytelling, I help readers make informed decisions while enjoying the thrill of sports. Connect with me on socials for more insightful content.

4 Minutes Read
September 26, 2025

A crucial La Liga fixture is set for the Estadio Gran Canaria as Las Palmas welcome newly-promoted Almería. For the home side, this match represents a golden opportunity to secure three vital points against a team tipped for a season-long relegation battle. Las Palmas have built their survival campaigns on strong home form, and their patient, possession-based style is often most effective against teams in the lower half of the table. Almería, having fought hard to return to the top flight, have found the step-up in quality challenging, particularly on their travels.

This match preview will offer an in-depth look at what promises to be a cagey and tactical affair. We will analyse the critical stats, head-to-head history, and team news to provide expert insight and predictions. While Las Palmas are the clear favourites, the pressure is on them to deliver, and any lapse in concentration could be punished by an Almería side desperate for points.

Las Palmas Vs Almeria match preview/Betting preview

Team Recent Form

Based on fixtures in the 2025/26 La Liga season, here is the recent competitive form for both clubs.

Las Palmas: DLWLD

Almería: LLWLL

key stats

Las Palmas have been defensively resolute at home, keeping a clean sheet in two of their three league games at the Estadio Gran Canaria this season.
Almería are struggling massively on the road; they are yet to score a goal away from home in La Liga this season, losing all three matches.
Low-scoring games have been a hallmark of the home side’s season, with under 2.5 goals being a feature in five of Las Palmas’ last six La Liga matches.

My prediction is a 1-0 victory for Las Palmas. This has all the makings of a tight, low-scoring encounter, which suits the home side’s style of play perfectly. Las Palmas will look to dominate possession and patiently break down an Almería side that will likely set up in a low block to frustrate them. Given Almería’s complete inability to find the net on their travels and Las Palmas’ solid defensive structure at home, a clean sheet for the hosts looks highly probable. It may only take a single moment of quality to decide this match, and Las Palmas have the players in midfield and attack to produce it.

Las Palmas Vs Almeria H2H

The home team has emerged victorious in four of the last six meetings between Las Palmas and Almería.
Las Palmas boast a strong home record in this fixture, going unbeaten in their last four games against Almería at the Estadio Gran Canaria.
This is typically a low-scoring affair, with five of the last seven head-to-head encounters producing under 2.5 goals.
During their last La Liga campaign together in 2023/24, Las Palmas won the corresponding fixture 1-0 at this venue.

pre game odds

Las Palmas Win: 1.90
Draw: 3.40
Almería Win: 4.30

(Odds are subject to change and are correct as of the time of writing)

team news Las Palmas

Manager García Pimienta has a relatively healthy squad to choose from, with midfield maestro Kirian Rodríguez set to orchestrate play from the middle of the park. There is a slight doubt over the fitness of right-back Julián Araujo, who is nursing a minor muscle strain, with Álex Suárez on standby to deputise. Long-term absentee Fabio González remains unavailable for selection as he continues his recovery from a knee injury.

team news Almería

Almería’s task is made more difficult by key absences. Influential midfielder Lucas Robertone is sidelined with a hamstring injury, a significant blow to their creative output. To compound their problems, central defender Edgar González is suspended for this match after picking up a red card in their last outing. The attacking burden will fall heavily on the shoulders of striker Léo Baptistão, who is expected to lead a line that has struggled for goals away from home.