Monza vs Calcio Padova preview, prediction, head-to-head, team news, possible line-ups, and betting tips

Adesoji Michael

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4 Minutes Read
September 26, 2025

An intriguing Coppa Italia tie is scheduled at the U-Power Stadium as Serie A outfit Monza take on a proud Calcio Padova side from Serie C. This is a classic cup matchup, pitting an established top-flight team against a lower-league opponent dreaming of a giant-killing act. For Monza, this is a fixture they are widely expected to win, offering a chance to rotate their squad and give valuable minutes to fringe players. For Padova, this is the glamour tie of their season—a free hit and an opportunity to test themselves against elite opposition.

This match preview will navigate the nuances of a cup fixture defined by a significant gulf in league standing. While Monza’s victory appears to be the most likely outcome, squad rotation and the magic of the cup can often lead to unpredictable results. We will analyse the key statistics and team news to provide expert predictions for a match that is more than just a formality.

Monza Vs Calcio Padova match preview/Betting preview

Team Recent Form

Based on their respective league campaigns and cup fixtures in the 2025/26 season, here is the recent competitive form for both clubs.

Monza: DLWDL

Calcio Padova: WWWDW

key stats

The most significant factor is the divisional gap; there are two full leagues separating Serie A side Monza from their Serie C opponents.
Monza have a strong record of handling these ties professionally, winning their last four Coppa Italia home matches against lower-league opposition and keeping a clean sheet in three of them.
While they are the underdogs, Calcio Padova arrive at this match in formidable form, currently on a seven-game unbeaten run in all competitions.

My prediction is a 3-0 victory for Monza. While Calcio Padova’s excellent form in Serie C is commendable, the step-up in quality to face a Serie A side is simply immense. Even with heavy rotation, Monza’s squad is filled with players who have top-flight experience and are technically and physically superior. Padova will fight valiantly and aim to keep the game tight for as long as possible, but Monza’s quality will eventually shine through. Expect a professional performance from the hosts, who should secure a comfortable and clean-sheet victory to advance to the next round.

Monza Vs Calcio Padova H2H

These two sides have not faced each other in a competitive fixture in over a decade, with their last meeting taking place in the Lega Pro (now Serie C) during the 2013-14 season.
Monza have an excellent record against lower-league teams since their own rise, having not lost a competitive match to a side from Serie C since their promotion to Serie B in 2020.
Calcio Padova have historically struggled when making the step up in the cup, having been eliminated in their last six Coppa Italia ties against Serie A opposition.
In their historical lower-league encounters, the home side has typically held a significant advantage in this fixture.

pre game odds

Monza Win: 1.25
Draw: 6.00
Calcio Padova Win: 11.00

(Odds are subject to change and are correct as of the time of writing)

team news Monza

Manager Alessandro Nesta is set to make wholesale changes to the team that featured in their last Serie A match. Key players such as Matteo Pessina and Andrea Colpani will be rested entirely. This is an opportunity for fringe players like striker Lorenzo Colombo and midfielder José Machín to stake their claim for more regular inclusion. Goalkeeper Michele Di Gregorio will likely make way for backup Alessandro Sorrentino.

team news Calcio Padova

This is Padova’s cup final, and manager Vincenzo Torrente will field his strongest possible lineup. There are no significant injuries or suspensions to contend with, meaning they will be at full strength. Their main threat will be striker Michael Liguori, who has started the Serie C season in excellent goalscoring form and will be tasked with leading the line against a top-flight defence.