AC Milan vs Inter prediction: best betting tips 2026

The Derby della Madonnina takes centre stage on Saturday night as AC Milan host Inter at San Siro. Inter are top of Serie A and unbeaten in the league on 25 points, while Milan are fifth on 18 points — but Milan have won both of last season’s league derbies.

This AC Milan vs Inter prediction is one of the hardest calls of the weekend for bettors: Inter are the form side in Italy, yet Milan are unbeaten in the last five meetings between the clubs, with three wins and two draws.

AC Milan vs Inter prediction: Match Preview

Milan’s last five: a 4-2 home defeat to Bologna on 28 October, a 2-0 win at Udinese on 25 October, a 3-0 defeat at Bournemouth in the Europa League on 22 October, a 3-2 home win over Atalanta on 18 October and a 4-0 win at Salzburg in the Europa League on 15 October. Inter’s last five: a 2-0 win at Venezia on 28 October, a 2-1 home win over Fiorentina on 25 October, a 1-0 home win over Shakhtar Donetsk in the Champions League on 21 October, a 3-1 win at Bologna on 17 October and a 4-3 home defeat to Club Brugge on 13 October.

Team Recent Form

AC Milan (most recent first): L-W-L-W-W — AC Milan 2-4 Bologna; Udinese 0-2 AC Milan; Bournemouth 3-0 AC Milan; AC Milan 3-2 Atalanta; Salzburg 0-4 AC Milan.

Inter (most recent first): W-W-W-W-L — Venezia 0-2 Inter; Inter 2-1 Fiorentina; Inter 1-0 Shakhtar Donetsk; Bologna 1-3 Inter; Inter 3-4 Club Brugge.

Key Stats

Inter are top of Serie A and unbeaten in the league (eight wins, one draw, 25 points); AC Milan are fifth on 18 points.
AC Milan are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Inter (three wins, two draws).
Both of last season’s Serie A derbies finished 1-0 to AC Milan.

1-1 is our correct-score prediction: Inter’s league form makes them hard to beat, Milan’s derby record makes them hard to beat too, and a share of the spoils looks the most likely outcome in a tight, tense derby.

AC Milan vs Inter H2H

5 August 2026: AC Milan 1-1 Inter (club friendly)
8 March 2026: AC Milan 1-0 Inter (Serie A)
23 November 2025: Inter 0-1 AC Milan (Serie A)
23 April 2025: Inter 0-3 AC Milan (Coppa Italia)
2 April 2025: AC Milan 1-1 Inter (Coppa Italia)

Pre Game Odds

AC Milan win: 3.45
Draw: 3.80
Inter win: 2.00

Odds via RG.org US books (best prices), pre-match and subject to change.

Team News AC Milan

Milan are without Matteo Gabbia, Alexis Saelemaekers, Samuel Chukwueze (all long-term), Ruben Loftus-Cheek (muscle tear) and Pietro Terracciano. Adrien Rabiot and Diego Moreira are doubtful with muscle problems, Mario Gila is doubtful with an ankle problem, and Fikayo Tomori is doubtful after coming off at half-time against Bologna with a thigh problem. Mike Maignan is available and Luka Modrić’s minutes are being managed.

Predicted AC Milan XI (predicted only, not confirmed): Maignan; De Winter, Pavlović, Estupiñán, Tomori; Hutchinson, Jashari, Cisse, Bartesaghi; Musah, Ramos.

Team News Inter

Inter are without Lautaro Martínez (thigh/hamstring injury). Curtis Jones, John Stones and Benjamin Pavard sat out the trip to Venezia and remain under observation, while Marcus Thuram was rested at Venezia and is expected to start.

Predicted Inter XI (predicted only, not confirmed): Provedel; Bisseck, Bastoni, Carlos Augusto, Dimarco; Zieliński, Sučić, Stanković, Diouf; Bonny, Thuram.