PREVIEW: Benfica vs Lech Poznan prediction, betting tips, team news

Match Analysis

Advanced statistical breakdown and prediction model

Benfica
vs.
Lech Poznan
final results:
1 - 0

Our Prediction

Benfica win
Benfica win
Benfica win

Hot tip:

Over 3.5 goals

Benfica have scored 16 goals in their last five games, while Lech have conceded nine in three Europa League games.

Both teams to score

Yes

,

Winning margin

Benfica to win by 2+ goals

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Benfica host Lech Poznan at the Estadio da Luz on Thursday night in the UEFA Europa League, with the hosts chasing a fourth straight European win. Benfica top the 36-team league-phase table with nine points from three games, while Lech are 32nd on one point after two defeats and a draw.

This Benfica vs Lech Poznan prediction matters for bettors because the gap in European form is enormous: Benfica have scored ten goals in three Europa League games, while Lech have scored just one and conceded nine.

Benfica vs Lech Poznan Match Preview

Benfica’s recent run has been perfect: a 1-0 win over Alverca and a 4-1 Taca da Liga win over Gil Vicente followed a 2-1 win at Santa Clara, with a 4-1 Europa League win at Omonia Nicosia and a 4-1 win over Celtic before that. Lech, meanwhile, beat Wisla Krakow 3-1 in their last game but were eliminated from the Polish Cup by Siarka Tarnobrzeg, with a 2-1 win at Legia Warszawa, a 1-1 Europa League draw with Sunderland and a 6-1 win over Korona Kielce before that.

Team Recent Form

Benfica (most recent first): W-W-W-W-W — Benfica 1-0 Alverca (Liga Portugal); Benfica 4-1 Gil Vicente (Taca da Liga); Santa Clara 1-2 Benfica (Liga Portugal); Omonia Nicosia 1-4 Benfica (Europa League); Benfica 4-1 Celtic (Europa League).

Lech Poznan (most recent first): W-L-W-D-W — Lech Poznan 3-1 Wisla Krakow (Ekstraklasa); Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1-0 Lech Poznan (Polish Cup); Legia Warszawa 1-2 Lech Poznan (Ekstraklasa); Lech Poznan 1-1 Sunderland (Europa League); Lech Poznan 6-1 Korona Kielce (Ekstraklasa).

Key Stats

  • Benfica top the Europa League league-phase table with nine points from three games and ten goals scored, the highest total in the competition.
  • Lech Poznan have one point from three Europa League games, scoring one goal and conceding nine, including 4-0 defeats to Crystal Palace and Bayer Leverkusen.
  • Benfica have won five games in a row in all competitions, scoring 16 goals and conceding four.

4-1 is our correct-score prediction: Benfica’s perfect European record and scoring form should carry them through comfortably, but Lech’s domestic scoring — 12 goals in their last five games — means the visitors should find the net at least once.

Benfica vs Lech Poznan H2H

  • 3 December 2020: Benfica 4-0 Lech Poznan (Europa League group stage)
  • 22 October 2020: Lech Poznan 2-4 Benfica (Europa League group stage)

Benfica won both previous meetings, scoring eight goals and conceding two. No further meetings were found in the sources checked.

Pre Game Odds

  • Benfica win: 1.14
  • Draw: 8.00
  • Lech Poznan win: 19.00

Odds via BetMines (checked 3 Nov 2026), pre-match and subject to change.

Team News Benfica

Benfica are without Leandro Barreiro (thigh, around two months on the sidelines). Enzo Barrenechea (knee) remains a doubt, while Dodi Lukebakio was forced off against Alverca but reports suggest the issue is not serious. Rafa Silva is in contention to return to the starting XI.

Predicted Benfica XI (predicted only, not confirmed): Trubin; Bah, Araujo, Lenglet, Dahl; Palhinha, Aursnes; Rafa Silva, Sudakov, Prestianni; Pavlidis.

Team News Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan are without Ali Gholizadeh (ACL), Joao Moutinho (broken foot) and Alex Douglas (ankle). Wojciech Monka and Mikael Ishak (muscle problems) and Allahyar Sayyadmanesh (hamstring) are doubts.

Predicted Lech Poznan XI (predicted only, not confirmed): Lis; Pereira, Skrzypczak, Yegbe, Gurgul; Kozubal, Murawski; Walemark, Rodriguez, Hakans; Bengtsson.

Benfica vs Lech Poznan Betting Tips

Tip 1 – Result: Benfica win. Tip 2 – Over-Under 2.5: Over 2.5 goals. Tip 3 – BTTS Yes-No: Both teams to score – Yes.

Benfica’s perfect European record and ten goals in three games should see them through comfortably at the Estadio da Luz, but Lech’s domestic scoring form suggests they can find the net even in defeat.

Benfica vs Lech Poznan prediction

Browse more match previews on Sports Buddy, including this Benfica vs Lech Poznan prediction, and visit the official UEFA Europa League site for fixtures and standings.

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