Deportivo Alaves vs Malaga prediction — seventh-placed Deportivo Alavés host bottom-of-the-table Málaga at the Estadio Mendizorrotza in Vitoria-Gasteiz on Friday night in a LaLiga Matchday 10 clash that has become close to must-win for the hosts. Alavés sit 7th with 11 points, but their recent form is dreadful: just one point taken from their last five games. Even so, Friday’s visitors have been worse — Málaga are LaLiga’s only winless side and have conceded 10 goals in their last four outings.
Our Deportivo Alaves vs Malaga prediction is for a comfortable home win. Alavés have won four of the past five meetings between these sides, including a 3-0 victory the last time they met in LaLiga back in May 2018, and the gulf between Málaga’s leaky defence and the hosts’ home edge should decide this one. An honest caveat: Sports Mole’s data model disagrees with us and predicts a 1-1 draw. Kick-off at Mendizorrotza is at 20:00 WAT on Friday, 23 October 2026.
Deportivo Alaves vs Malaga Match Preview
Team Recent Form
Deportivo Alavés: L-L-D-L-L
- 12 Sep — Racing Santander 2-1 Alavés (LaLiga)
- 15 Sep — Alavés 0-1 Valencia (LaLiga)
- 19 Sep — Athletic Club 0-0 Alavés (LaLiga)
- 10 Oct — Alavés 1-2 Atlético Madrid (LaLiga)
- 18 Oct — Celta Vigo 2-1 Alavés (LaLiga)
Alavés sit 7th in the LaLiga table with 11 points after nine games, but one point from their last five is relegation form and the pressure is growing on the hosts to turn things around at home.
Málaga: D-L-L-D-L
- 13 Sep — Celta Vigo 1-1 Málaga (LaLiga)
- 17 Sep — Málaga 1-3 Villarreal (LaLiga)
- 20 Sep — Getafe 1-0 Málaga (LaLiga)
- 9 Oct — Málaga 1-1 Espanyol (LaLiga)
- 18 Oct — Málaga 2-5 Real Sociedad (LaLiga)
Málaga are 20th and bottom of LaLiga with 4 points from nine games, and the 5-2 home thrashing by Real Sociedad last time out laid bare just how fragile their defence has become.
Key Stats
- Málaga are LaLiga’s only winless side (0W 4D 5L).
- Málaga have the joint-second-worst defence in the league (18 conceded) and have kept just 1 clean sheet in 9 games.
- Alavés have won 4 of the past 5 meetings between these sides (22Bet).
2-0 — Alavés are in poor form themselves but bottom-of-the-table Málaga’s defence is a disaster zone; the hosts’ home edge should be enough for a comfortable win. That is the heart of our Deportivo Alaves vs Malaga prediction: a comfortable home win for the hosts.
Deportivo Alaves vs Malaga H2H
- 2022-23 Segunda — Málaga 1-0 Alavés
- 2022-23 Segunda — Alavés 2-1 Málaga
- May 2018 — Alavés 3-0 Málaga (last LaLiga meeting)
- 20 meetings all competitions: Alavés 8W, Málaga 9W, 3 draws (Sports Mole)
Pre Game Odds
- Deportivo Alavés — 1.83 (feedinco; 1xBet named as best price)
- Draw — 3.85 (feedinco)
- Málaga — 5.00 (feedinco)
freetips via Stake.com go slightly shorter on the hosts, pricing Alavés at -133.33 (about 1.75). For full odds movement on this Deportivo Alaves vs Malaga prediction, see the feedinco match page.
For another LaLiga Matchday 10 clash, read our Levante vs Athletic Bilbao prediction.
Team News Deportivo Alaves
Deportivo Alavés are without Facundo Garcés (ACL) and Mikel Rodríguez (ACL), who remain long-term absentees. There is better news elsewhere: Ángel Pérez is back after serving his ban and is expected to start, while Denis Suárez is hoping to return in midfield. Lucas Boyé (5 goals in 8 games) leads the attack and remains the hosts’ biggest goal threat against a defence that has shipped 10 in four.
Team News Malaga
Málaga are without Julen Lobete. There are conflicting reports elsewhere in the squad: Diego Murillo is listed as out by Sports Mole but only doubtful by 22Bet, while Aarón Ochoa is out per 22Bet but only doubtful per Sports Mole — worth flagging ahead of Friday’s trip. Juan Cruz is also a doubt. Adrián Niño (3 goals in 5 games) is Málaga’s top scorer and their main hope of an upset at Mendizorrotza.
Predicted lineups are via Sports Mole, with 22Bet variants flagged where the sources differ.
Possible Alavés XI (3-5-2/5-3-2): Sivera; Tenaglia, Valentini, Otto; Pérez, Ibáñez, Suárez, Blanco, Rebbach; Boyé, Martínez. 22Bet variant: Koski at centre-back, A. Pérez at right wing-back, no Otto.
Possible Málaga XI (4-4-2): Herrero; Rafita, Calero, Recio, Salinas; Larrubia, Dotor, Merino, Martínez; Niño, Chupe. 22Bet variant: Puga at left-back, Lorenzo at right-mid.
Deportivo Alaves vs Malaga Betting Tips
- Tip 1 – Result: Alaves win. The hosts have won four of the past five meetings and Málaga are yet to win in nine league games.
- Tip 2 – Over-Under 2.5: Over 2.5 goals. Málaga have conceded 10 in their last four and Alavés should create plenty at Mendizorrotza.
- Tip 3 – BTTS Yes-No: No. Málaga’s attack has mustered little on their travels and Alavés are well placed to keep this clean.
Final verdict: back the hosts at the 20:00 WAT kick-off. Our Deportivo Alaves vs Malaga prediction is a 2-0 home win, and the value play is the Alaves -1 handicap in the hot tip above.
