Roma return to the Stadio Olimpico in Rome on Saturday evening for a Serie A showdown with Genoa that pits third against 17th. The Giallorossi are unbeaten in the league, while Genoa sit just above the relegation places after a difficult start.
Our Roma vs Genoa prediction is a comfortable home win, with the hosts priced at just 1.40 by the bookmakers. With Roma’s watertight defence up against one of the division’s bluntest attacks, the value could also lie in the goals markets — read on for our three best betting tips. Adding intrigue, Daniele De Rossi returns to the Olimpico as Genoa coach to face the club where he became a legend, and Saturday’s clash kicks off at 19:45 WAT. For more weekend action, check out our Frosinone vs Sassuolo prediction.
Roma vs Genoa Match Preview
Team Recent Form
Roma’s recent form across all competitions reads L-D-D-W-D. The Giallorossi were edged 3-4 by Real Madrid at home in the Champions League on 14 October, drew 0-0 at Como on 11 October, shared a 2-2 draw with Inter Milan at home, won 2-0 at Torino and drew 1-1 at Fenerbahce in the Champions League. In Serie A, Roma sit 3rd and are unbeaten in the league (4W 2D), scoring 14 and conceding just 3 — the best defensive record in the division.
Genoa’s recent form reads W-L-W-D-L. The Rossoblu beat Fiorentina 2-1 at home on 10 October, lost 2-1 at Parma, beat Sudtirol 1-0 at home in the Coppa Italia, drew 1-1 with Frosinone at home and lost 1-4 at Como. Genoa sit 17th in Serie A, scoring just 5 and conceding 11, and their away form remains a major concern.
That contrast in form and league position underpins this Roma vs Genoa prediction.
Key Stats
The key stats behind this Roma vs Genoa prediction:
- Roma are 3rd and unbeaten in Serie A (4W 2D) with only 3 goals conceded.
- Genoa’s last top-flight away win at Roma dates back to 1990, and Roma are unbeaten in 19 consecutive home meetings with Genoa.
- Under 2.5 goals has landed in eight of Genoa’s last ten away Serie A games.
2-0 — this Roma vs Genoa prediction is driven by Roma’s defensive solidity, with just 3 league goals conceded all season, against Genoa’s blunt attack, which points to a home win to nil at the Olimpico.
Roma vs Genoa H2H
- 8 Mar 2026 — Genoa 2-1 Roma
- 29 Dec 2025 — Roma 3-1 Genoa
- 17 Jan 2025 — Roma 3-1 Genoa
- 15 Sep 2024 — 1-1 draw
For an alternative take on this fixture, see Sports Mole’s Roma vs Genoa preview.
Pre Game Odds
The pre-game odds for this Roma vs Genoa prediction:
- Home win: 1.40
- Draw: 5.25
- Away win: 8.00
Team News Roma
- Donyell Malen is suspended (one-match ban).
- Paulo Dybala is a doubt (muscle strain).
- Bryan Cristante is out (knee).
- Manu Kone may miss out (thigh).
- First-choice keeper Mile Svilar is sidelined, with Pierluigi Gollini standing in.
- Santiago Castro deputises for Malen.
Team News Genoa
- Out: Lorenzo Colombo, Djibril Sow, Elias Havel, Ethan Meichtry and Lorenzo Venturino.
- Alex Amorim is back in training.
- Milutin Osmajic (3 goals in 5 Serie A appearances) leads the attack.
Predicted lineups:
Roma (3-4-2-1): Gollini; Mancini, Balerdi, Hermoso; Rensch, De Roon, Pisilli, Wesley; Soule, Mora; Castro.
Genoa (3-4-2-1): Bijlow; Otoa, Ostigard, Vasquez; Ehizibue, Frendrup, Traore, Ellertsson; Messias, El Shaarawy; Osmajic.
Roma vs Genoa Betting Tips
Here are our three best bets to round off this Roma vs Genoa prediction:
- Tip 1 – Result: Roma win
- Tip 2 – Over-Under 2.5: Under 2.5 goals
- Tip 3 – BTTS Yes-No: No
