Sunderland host Leeds at the Stadium of Light on Sunday 25 October 2026 (17:30 WAT) in Premier League Gameweek 8. Sunderland are bottom of the table on 4 points after four straight league defeats, while Leeds sit 7th on 10 points and have lost only once in seven league games.
Our Sunderland vs Leeds prediction backs the visitors to deepen the hosts’ misery — read on for the form, team news, lineups and betting tips.
Sunderland vs Leeds Match Preview
This Sunderland vs Leeds prediction is shaped by two very different runs of league form. Sunderland are bottom of the table on 4 points after four straight league defeats, while Leeds sit 7th on 10 points and have lost only once in seven league games. The hosts need a result at the Stadium of Light, but the visitors arrive as the side in stronger league form, and that contrast runs through the form, the recent meetings and the betting tips below.
Team Recent Form
Sunderland (L-L-L-L-D, league):
- Bournemouth 2-0 Sunderland
- Sunderland 0-2 Brighton
- Manchester City 5-3 Sunderland
- Sunderland 0-2 Arsenal
- Brentford 1-1 Sunderland
In Europe: 1-1 at Lech Poznan on 22 October and a 2-1 win at Torreense on 15 October.
Leeds (D-L-D-W-D, league):
- Leeds 1-1 Manchester United
- Arsenal 2-1 Leeds
- Leeds 0-0 Crystal Palace
- Leeds 4-1 Newcastle
- Brighton 1-1 Leeds
Sunderland’s league sequence shows four straight defeats, with the only point in that run coming at Brentford. Leeds, by contrast, have drawn four of their seven league games, won two and lost only one, which is why they sit 7th on 10 points while Sunderland sit 20th on 4 points.
Key Stats
- Sunderland have lost four straight league games and sit 20th on 4 points — the only point in that run came at Brentford.
- Leeds have lost only 1 of their 7 league games (W2 D4 L1) and sit 7th on 10 points.
- Five of the last six Sunderland-Leeds meetings produced under 2.5 goals; Sunderland are unbeaten in their last 3 home meetings with Leeds (W1 D2).
The key stats point in the same direction as the form. Sunderland are bottom of the table and searching for a league win, Leeds have been hard to beat in the league, and recent meetings between these sides have tended to be low-scoring. That combination supports both the main prediction and the hot tip in this Sunderland vs Leeds prediction.
0-1 – Leeds’ organisation and Sunderland’s blunt attack point to a narrow away win in a tight game.
A 0-1 scoreline fits the pattern described above: Leeds have lost only once in seven league games, Sunderland have lost four straight league games, and five of the last six meetings between these sides produced under 2.5 goals. It is a narrow, low-scoring outcome rather than a comfortable away win.
Sunderland vs Leeds H2H
- 3 Mar 2026, Premier League: Leeds 0-1 Sunderland (Elland Road — Habib Diarra penalty)
- 28 Dec 2025, Premier League: Sunderland 1-1 Leeds (Stadium of Light)
- 17 Feb 2025, Championship: Leeds 2-1 Sunderland (Elland Road)
- 4 Oct 2024, Championship: Sunderland 2-2 Leeds (Stadium of Light)
The head-to-head history also underlines why Sunderland are unbeaten in their last 3 home meetings with Leeds (W1 D2), with the Stadium of Light meetings in this list ending 1-1 and 2-2. The most recent meeting, however, was a 1-0 Sunderland win at Elland Road on 3 March 2026, settled by a Habib Diarra penalty.
Pre Game Odds
Odds are decimal, compare.bet; 1xBet in brackets.
- Sunderland win: 3.20 (3.08)
- Draw: 3.25 (3.31)
- Leeds win: 2.375 (2.58)
Team News Sunderland
Brian Brobbey (hamstring) is expected back — manager Regis Le Bris confirmed he “should be ready for Leeds”. Kevin Danso is SUSPENDED (sent off vs Bournemouth). Wilson Isidor and Thomas Meunier (hamstring) are progressing but their involvement is not confirmed.
OUT — Romaine Mundle (knee), Dan Ballard (hamstring), Jenson Seelt (knee), Alan Browne (ruled out). Manager: Regis Le Bris.
The possible return of Brian Brobbey is therefore an important part of the Sunderland team news, while the suspension of Kevin Danso and the confirmed absences listed above limit the options available to Regis Le Bris.
Team News Leeds
Dominic Calvert-Lewin (bruised foot) is a major doubt; Anton Stach and Noah Okafor (adductor) are doubts — manager Daniel Farke said all three would have missed had the game been Friday.
Dan James: conflicting reports — dave.sport (quoting Farke) says he completed a full week of training and is in contention, while Sports Mole lists him a doubt with a back injury; present both, leaning to Farke’s quote. On that basis, the Farke quote carries the greater weight for Dan James, even though Sports Mole lists him a doubt with a back injury.
OUT — Joe Rodon (hamstring, weeks away), Mateo Joseph (ACL). Manager: Daniel Farke.
Leeds therefore have three players described as doubts, plus two confirmed absences, but the Farke quote on Dan James is the more encouraging part of the Leeds team news.
Predicted Lineups
These lineups are predicted and provisional.
Sunderland (4-2-3-1): Robin Roefs; Nordi Mukiele, Luke O’Nien, Omar Alderete, Reinildo; Noah Sadiki, Granit Xhaka; Trai Hume, Habib Diarra, Enzo Le Fee; Brian Brobbey.
Leeds (3-4-2-1): James Trafford; Tarik Muharemovic, Nico Elvedi, James Justin; Jayden Bogle, Ao Tanaka, Ethan Ampadu, Gabriel Gudmundsson; Harry Wilson, Brenden Aaronson; Lukas Nmecha.
The predicted lineups are provisional and should be read alongside the team news above, in particular the expected return of Brian Brobbey for Sunderland and the doubts over Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Anton Stach and Noah Okafor for Leeds.
Sunderland vs Leeds Betting Tips
- Tip 1 – Result: Leeds win
- Tip 2 – Over-Under 2.5: Under 2.5 goals
- Tip 3 – BTTS Yes-No: No
To sum up this Sunderland vs Leeds prediction: Sunderland host Leeds at the Stadium of Light on Sunday 25 October 2026 (17:30 WAT) in Premier League Gameweek 8, Sunderland are bottom of the table on 4 points after four straight league defeats, and Leeds sit 7th on 10 points having lost only once in seven league games. The tips are Leeds win, under 2.5 goals and BTTS No, with a correct-score prediction of 0-1. For another Premier League preview, read our Liverpool vs Brighton prediction.
