PREVIEW: Valencia vs Real Madrid prediction, betting tips, team news

Match Analysis

Advanced statistical breakdown and prediction model

Valencia
vs.
Real Madrid
final results:
1 - 0

Our Prediction

Real Madrid win
Real Madrid win
Real Madrid win

Hot tip:

Real Madrid win to nil

Valencia have yet to win at home this season and have scored only three goals in six home league games, while Madrid have won five straight.

Total Goals

Under 3.5 goals

,

First Team to Score

Real Madrid to score first

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Valencia host Real Madrid at Mestalla on Saturday night in LaLiga, with the hosts 19th in the table and Madrid third. Valencia have nine points from 11 games, while Madrid have 27 points from the same number of matches.

This Valencia vs Real Madrid prediction matters for bettors because the gap in form is enormous: Madrid have won five games in a row in all competitions and are bidding for an eighth straight win, while Valencia have yet to win at home this season.

Valencia vs Real Madrid prediction: Match Preview

Valencia’s recent run has been mixed: a 1-0 win at Elche and a 2-2 draw at Racing Santander either side of a 2-1 home defeat to Villarreal, with a goalless draw against Athletic Club and a 3-2 defeat to Real Sociedad before that. Madrid, meanwhile, won 3-2 at AEK Athens in the Champions League and 3-0 at Racing Santander, beat Barcelona 2-1 in El Clásico, and won 4-1 against both RB Leipzig and Sevilla.

Team Recent Form

Valencia (most recent first): W-L-D-D-L — Elche 0-1 Valencia (LaLiga); Valencia 1-2 Villarreal (LaLiga); Valencia 0-0 Athletic Club (LaLiga); Racing Santander 2-2 Valencia (LaLiga); Valencia 2-3 Real Sociedad (LaLiga).

Real Madrid (most recent first): W-W-W-W-W — AEK Athens 2-3 Real Madrid (UEFA Champions League); Racing Santander 0-3 Real Madrid (LaLiga); Barcelona 1-2 Real Madrid (LaLiga); Real Madrid 4-1 RB Leipzig (UEFA Champions League); Real Madrid 4-1 Sevilla (LaLiga).

Key Stats

  • Real Madrid have won five games in a row in all competitions and are bidding for an eighth straight win.
  • Valencia have yet to win at home this season (no wins, two draws, four defeats) and have scored only three goals in six home league games.
  • Real Madrid have won four from four in the Champions League this season and sit third in LaLiga on 27 points from 11 games.

0-2 is our correct-score prediction: Madrid’s winning run and scoring form should carry them through comfortably, and Valencia’s home scoring record points to another blank.

Valencia vs Real Madrid H2H

  • 8 February 2026: Valencia 0-2 Real Madrid (LaLiga)
  • 1 November 2025: Real Madrid 4-0 Valencia (LaLiga)
  • 5 April 2025: Real Madrid 1-2 Valencia (LaLiga)
  • 3 January 2025: Valencia 1-2 Real Madrid (LaLiga)
  • 2 March 2024: Valencia 2-2 Real Madrid (LaLiga)

Real Madrid have won three of the last five meetings, with one Valencia win and one draw. Overall, the clubs have met 216 times: Real Madrid 114 wins, Valencia 59 wins, 43 draws.

Pre Game Odds

  • Valencia win: 9.40
  • Draw: 6.40
  • Real Madrid win: 1.23

Odds via Sportytrader (best prices, published 5 Nov 2026), pre-match and subject to change.

Team News Valencia

Valencia are without Sergi Canós (knee), Diego López (knee), David Otorbi (hamstring) and Kayne van Oevelen (injured). José Manuel Copete is a doubt with a knee issue but is back in training, while Umar Sadiq is back from a hamstring injury and scored the winner at Elche. Harvey Elliott is available again after serving a suspension.

Predicted Valencia XI (predicted only, not confirmed): Dimitrievski; Arnau Martínez, Tárrega, Pepelu, Gayà; Maffeo, Rodríguez, Guerra, Mayol, Rioja; Sadiq. Sources split on the striker (Sadiq or Danjuma).

Team News Real Madrid

Real Madrid are without Vinícius Júnior, who is suspended for the fourth and final match of a four-match LaLiga ban (he played in Europe at AEK). Rodrygo is out with a knee injury, Raúl Asencio is out with a leg injury, and Ferland Mendy is out with a hip injury but back in training. Federico Valverde played and scored at AEK and is expected to be available. Manager José Mourinho has already confirmed Dean Huijsen, Ibrahima Konaté, Aurélien Tchouaméni and Arda Güler as starters.

Predicted Real Madrid XI (predicted only, not confirmed): Courtois; Valverde, Konaté, Huijsen, Cucurella; Tchouaméni, Bernardo Silva; Güler, Bellingham, Diomande; Mbappé. Sources split at right-back (Valverde, Alexander-Arnold or Dumfries).

Valencia vs Real Madrid Betting Tips

Tip 1 – Result: Real Madrid win. Tip 2 – Over-Under 2.5: Under 2.5 goals. Tip 3 – BTTS Yes-No: Both teams to score – No.

Madrid’s winning run should see them through comfortably at Mestalla, and Valencia’s home scoring record suggests a win to nil is the value.

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