Genoa vs Lazio preview, prediction, head-to-head, team news, possible line-ups, and betting tips

Match Analysis

Advanced statistical breakdown and prediction model

Genoa
Genoa
vs.
Lazio
Lazio
final results:
1 - 0

Our Prediction

Lazio to score
Lazio to score
Lazio to score

Hot tip:

Lazio to score

A classic clash of styles. Genoa's gritty, organised approach at home versus a Lazio side that possesses explosive attacking talent. This could go either way.

⬆️⬇️ Total Goals

Over 1.5

,

🛑 Draw No Be

Lazio

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A fantastic Serie A encounter is on the agenda as Genoa welcome Lazio to the famously loud and passionate Stadio Luigi Ferraris. Genoa have established themselves as one of the toughest teams to face on home soil, where their intense supporters create an intimidating atmosphere for any visiting side. Lazio, a team with ambitions of securing European football, travel to Genoa with a squad full of quality but will be wary of the challenge, especially after a demanding midweek fixture in Europe.

This Genoa vs Lazio match preview will provide an in-depth analysis for punters, focusing on a fixture that has a spectacular history of producing goals and entertainment. We will break down the crucial head-to-head statistics, the current form of both teams, and the latest team news to find the best value in a contest that promises to be an end-to-end affair.

Genoa Vs Lazio match preview/Betting preview

Team Recent Form

Based on their fixtures in the 2025/26 Serie A season and European competitions, here is the recent competitive form for both clubs.

Genoa: DWLDW

Lazio: WLWDW

key stats

  • This fixture is a virtual guarantee of goals; a remarkable eight of the last nine meetings between Genoa and Lazio have produced over 2.5 goals.
  • Genoa have turned the Stadio Luigi Ferraris into a fortress, currently unbeaten in their last seven Serie A home matches.
  • Lazio are a consistent threat on their travels, having found the back of the net in nine of their last ten away matches in Serie A.

My prediction is a 2-2 draw. The head-to-head history between these two clubs is one of the most reliable in Serie A for predicting an entertaining, high-scoring game. Genoa are a formidable force at home and will be well-rested, giving them a significant physical advantage. Lazio, while possessing the superior squad on paper, could be feeling the effects of a Thursday night Europa League match. Both teams have a proven ability to score in this fixture, and with Genoa’s resilience at home cancelling out Lazio’s extra quality, a thrilling, action-packed draw is the most probable outcome.

Genoa Vs Lazio H2H

  • Goals are the main event in this fixture, with a staggering eight of the last nine head-to-head encounters seeing over 2.5 goals scored.
  • The “Both Teams to Score” market has been a winning bet in seven of the last eight meetings between the clubs.
  • Lazio have had the upper hand in recent years, going unbeaten in their last five matches against Genoa (winning four).
  • The last four meetings at Genoa’s home ground have produced a sensational 17 goals in total, at an average of 4.25 goals per game.

pre game odds

  • Genoa Win: 3.20
  • Draw: 3.40
  • Lazio Win: 2.20

(Odds are subject to change and are correct as of the time of writing)

team news Genoa

Manager Alberto Gilardino will be delighted to have a fully-fit and well-rested squad for this crucial home game. This gives Genoa a major advantage over their opponents. Key attacking duo Albert Guðmundsson and Mateo Retegui, who have both started the season in fine form, are expected to lead the line and will be tasked with exploiting a potentially tired Lazio defence.

team news Lazio

Lazio’s manager will have to assess his squad carefully for fatigue following a tough away trip in the Europa League on Thursday. There is a defensive concern as key centre-back Alessio Romagnoli is a doubt after picking up a minor knock in that fixture. While key attackers like Ciro Immobile and Mattia Zaccagni are available, they may not be at their sharpest due to the demanding schedule.

predicted line up for both teams.

Genoa Predicted Starting XI (3-5-2):

Martínez (GK); De Winter, Bani, Vásquez; Sabelli, Frendrup, Badelj, Thorsby, Martin; Guðmundsson, Retegui

Lazio Predicted Starting XI (4-3-3):

Provedel (GK); Lazzari, Gila, Casale, Hysaj; Guendouzi, Rovella, Vecino; Isaksen, Immobile, Zaccagni

Genoa Vs Lazio betting tips

Tip 1 – result: Draw

Tip 2 – Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.5 goals

Tip 3 – both team to score: Yes

 

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