The Emirates hosts Saturday lunchtime Premier League action as Arsenal welcome unbeaten Leeds United in a top-five clash. The Gunners sit 2nd after a 3-0 setback at Brighton ended a 7-game winning run, while Leeds are 5th and unbeaten in the league — a win would put them level on points with Arsenal.
This Arsenal vs Leeds prediction pits the league’s meanest defences against each other. Leeds are one of only two sides to have conceded fewer goals than Arsenal, who have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 games. But history is brutal: Arsenal have won the last 7 meetings by an aggregate 24-5, including 9-0 across last season’s two league games.
Arsenal vs Leeds Match Preview / Betting Preview
Team Recent Form
Arsenal: W W W W L
- 21 Aug 2026: Arsenal 3-0 Coventry City (H)
- 31 Aug 2026: Aston Villa 0-1 Arsenal (A)
- 6 Sep 2026: Arsenal 2-1 Chelsea (H)
- 12 Sep 2026: Sunderland 0-2 Arsenal (A)
- 19 Sep 2026: Brighton 3-0 Arsenal (A)
Leeds United: D D L W D
- 30 Aug 2026: Leeds 1-1 Brentford (H)
- 5 Sep 2026: Brighton 1-1 Leeds (A)
- 9 Sep 2026: Chelsea 6-3 Leeds (A, EFL Cup)
- 14 Sep 2026: Leeds 4-1 Newcastle (H)
- 20 Sep 2026: Leeds 0-0 Crystal Palace (H)
Key Stats
- Arsenal have won the last 7 meetings with Leeds by an aggregate score of 24-5; Leeds have not won at Arsenal since May 2003.
- Arsenal have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 league games; Leeds are one of only two sides to have conceded fewer goals than the Gunners.
- Bukayo Saka has 3 goals this season and scored a brace for England during the break; Dominic Calvert-Lewin has 3 goals from 11 shots for Leeds.
These numbers strongly back our Arsenal vs Leeds prediction of a home win at the Emirates.
Our Arsenal vs Leeds prediction is 2-0. Leeds’ unbeaten league run deserves respect, but Arsenal’s home record and total dominance of this fixture — 9-0 on aggregate last season — point to a controlled home win. Expect the Gunners’ defence to hold firm.
Arsenal vs Leeds H2H
- 31 Jan 2026: Leeds 0-4 Arsenal (Premier League)
- 23 Aug 2025: Arsenal 5-0 Leeds (Premier League)
- 1 Apr 2023: Arsenal 4-1 Leeds (Premier League)
- 16 Oct 2022: Leeds 0-1 Arsenal (Premier League)
Pre Game Odds
- Arsenal win: 1.38
- Draw: 4.50
- Leeds win: 7.50
Team News Arsenal
Mikel Arteta is without William Saliba (back fracture), Kai Havertz (hamstring) and Christos Tzolis (hamstring). Ezri Konsa (quad) and Max Dowman face late fitness tests, while Declan Rice (hamstring) withdrew from England duty but is expected to be available. Ben White and Cristhian Mosquera are back in training. Viktor Gyokeres is projected for his first Premier League start after scoring in all 4 Sweden games during the break.
Team News Leeds
Daniel Farke is expected to name an unchanged XI for a third straight league game. Joe Rodon (hamstring) and Mateo Joseph (knee) are out, while Harry Wilson (quad) and Jean-Mattéo Bahoya (ankle) are doubts.
Predicted Lineups:
Arsenal (4-2-3-1): Raya; Timber, Konsa, Gabriel, Calafiori; Rice, Guimaraes; Saka, Odegaard, Eze; Gyokeres
Leeds United (3-5-2): Trafford; Justin, Elvedi, Muharemovic; Bogle, Stach, Ampadu, Tanaka, Gudmundsson; Calvert-Lewin, Okafor
Arsenal vs Leeds Prediction: Betting Tips
Here are our three best Arsenal vs Leeds betting tips:
Tip 1 – Result: Arsenal win
Tip 2 – Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.5 goals
Tip 3 – Both teams to score: No
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