PREVIEW: Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool prediction, betting tips, team news

Match Analysis

Advanced statistical breakdown and prediction model

Fenerbahçe
vs.
Liverpool
final results:
1 - 0

Our Prediction

Liverpool win
Liverpool win
Liverpool win

Hot tip:

Over 2.5 goals

Liverpool's three Champions League games have produced 19 goals, and Fenerbahçe have conceded nine in three European games.

Both teams to score

Yes

,

Over 3.5 goals

Yes

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Fenerbahçe host Liverpool at the Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium in Istanbul on Wednesday night in the UEFA Champions League, with the hosts still searching for a first win in the league phase. Liverpool arrive third in the table with nine points from three games, while Fenerbahçe sit 31st on two points after a 6-0 defeat at Aston Villa and draws with Roma and Slavia Prague.

This Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool prediction matters for bettors because it pits one of Europe’s most prolific attacks against one of its leakiest defences: Liverpool have scored 12 goals in three Champions League games, while Fenerbahçe have conceded nine.

Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool Match Preview

Fenerbahçe’s recent run has been miserable: a 2-1 home defeat to Göztepe and a 2-1 defeat at Galatasaray followed the 2-2 draw with Slavia Prague, with only a 3-0 win over Alanyaspor breaking the sequence. Liverpool, meanwhile, lost 1-0 at home to Arsenal in their last game but had won their previous European ties in style, beating Villarreal 4-3 and LASK 6-3, and they have won all three Champions League games this season.

Team Recent Form

Fenerbahçe (most recent first): L-L-D-W-L — Fenerbahçe 1-2 Göztepe (Turkish Super Lig); Galatasaray 2-1 Fenerbahçe (Turkish Super Lig); Fenerbahçe 2-2 Slavia Prague (Champions League); Fenerbahçe 3-0 Alanyaspor (Turkish Super Lig); Aston Villa 6-0 Fenerbahçe (Champions League).

Liverpool (most recent first): L-D-W-W-W — Liverpool 0-1 Arsenal (Premier League); Liverpool 1-1 Chelsea (EFL Cup, Liverpool won 6-5 on penalties); Liverpool 2-0 Brighton (Premier League); Liverpool 4-3 Villarreal (Champions League); Brentford 1-2 Liverpool (Premier League).

Key Stats

  • Liverpool have a perfect Champions League record this season: three wins, 12 goals scored, and third place in the league-phase table.
  • Fenerbahçe have conceded nine goals in three Champions League games, including six at Aston Villa.
  • Liverpool have lost each of their last four Champions League games in Turkey, so Istanbul is no formality for the visitors.

1-3 is our correct-score prediction: Liverpool’s attack should be too much for Fenerbahçe’s defence, but the hosts have scored in their last two European home games and should find the net at least once.

Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool H2H

This is the first-ever competitive meeting between Fenerbahçe and Liverpool in any competition, so there is no head-to-head history to draw on.

Pre Game Odds

  • Fenerbahçe win: 5.25
  • Draw: 3.75
  • Liverpool win: 1.53

Odds via bet365 (fractional 17/4, 15/4, 8/15; checked 3 Nov 2026), pre-match and subject to change.

Team News Fenerbahçe

Fenerbahçe are without Jayden Oosterwolde (hamstring), Kojo Peprah Oppong (muscle problem), Marco Asensio (knee surgery, out until early next year) and Amara Diouf (ACL rehabilitation). Nathan Aké is a doubt with a muscle problem. Mason Greenwood is expected back after missing the Göztepe game through illness, and Archie Brown is available as his domestic ban does not apply in Europe. Interim boss Dirk Kuyt took over on 28 October after İsmail Kartal resigned.

Predicted Fenerbahçe XI (predicted only, not confirmed): Ederson; Mert Müldür, Archie Brown, Milan Škriniar, Levent Mercan; N’Golo Kanté, Mattéo Guendouzi; Mason Greenwood, İrfan Can Kahveci, Oğuz Aydın; Romelu Lukaku.

Team News Liverpool

Liverpool are without Giovanni Leoni (ACL), Conor Bradley (knee), Jeremie Frimpong (hamstring/thigh) and Hugo Ekitike (Achilles rupture). Dominik Szoboszlai is available after a hamstring niggle, and Víctor Muñoz is edging back to fitness after a knee knock. No new injuries were reported from the Arsenal game.

Predicted Liverpool XI (predicted only, not confirmed): Alisson Becker; Ronald Araújo, Jérémy Jacquet, Virgil van Dijk, Kostas Tsimikas; Ryan Gravenberch, Alexis Mac Allister; Rio Ngumoha, Florian Wirtz, Bradley Barcola; Lewis Koumas.

Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool Betting Tips

Tip 1 – Result: Liverpool win. Tip 2 – Over-Under 2.5: Over 2.5 goals. Tip 3 – BTTS Yes-No: Both teams to score – Yes.

Liverpool’s perfect European record and attacking numbers should carry them through in Istanbul, but Fenerbahçe’s home scoring and Liverpool’s poor recent record in Turkey mean this should be an open game rather than a procession.

Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool prediction: further reading

For more on this Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool prediction, see our Matches previews. The latest UEFA Champions League fixtures and standings are available on UEFA’s official Champions League site, which provides further context for this Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool prediction ahead of Wednesday’s game in Istanbul.

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