Liverpool host Chelsea at Anfield on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, at 21:00 WAT in EFL Cup Round 4. Liverpool arrive with four wins from their last five matches, while Chelsea have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five, so the cup tie brings together two teams in contrasting recent form.
This Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction is interesting to bet on because Liverpool start as favourites at 2.25, Chelsea are priced at 2.75 and the draw is 3.90, yet the head-to-head record is closely balanced and both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches recently. That combination leaves room for value in the result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets, rather than a straightforward favourite-only angle.
Liverpool vs Chelsea Match Preview / Betting Preview
In this Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction, Anfield hosts a cup tie in which team selection could matter as much as form. Liverpool are expected to rotate heavily ahead of their match against Arsenal on 1 November, while Chelsea must cope without Palmer, who is suspended after being sent off against Tottenham. Even with changes expected on both sides, this remains a high-profile EFL Cup tie between two clubs with a long recent history of close meetings.
Team Recent Form
Liverpool’s recent form, most recent first, is WWWWL. Chelsea’s recent form, most recent first, is LWWLD. Those sequences are set out in full below, with the scorelines for each match.
Liverpool form: WWWWL
- Liverpool 2-0 Brighton
- Liverpool 4-3 Villarreal (UCL)
- Brentford 1-2 Liverpool
- LASK 3-6 Liverpool (UCL)
- Liverpool 0-3 Man City
Chelsea form: LWWLD
- Chelsea 0-2 Tottenham
- Everton 0-2 Chelsea
- Chelsea 5-1 Bournemouth
- Brentford 3-0 Chelsea
- Chelsea 2-2 Hull City
Read together, the form lines show Liverpool have won their last four matches, after their defeat to Manchester City, while Chelsea have mixed wins, defeats and a draw in their last five. Liverpool’s recent matches have generally produced goals, and Chelsea’s last five also include a 5-1 win and a 2-2 draw, which helps explain why the goals markets feature prominently in the betting tips below.
Key Stats
- Liverpool have won four of their last five matches, with the only defeat a 3-0 loss to Manchester City.
- Chelsea have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five matches.
- The last five meetings between the sides have produced two Liverpool wins, two Chelsea wins and one draw.
Those three points underline why this Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction is not a one-sided betting proposition despite Liverpool’s favouritism. Liverpool’s recent run is stronger, Chelsea’s recent run is mixed rather than hopeless, and the head-to-head record shows that neither side has dominated this fixture in the last five meetings.
Liverpool vs Chelsea H2H
- Liverpool 1-1 Chelsea, 9 May 2026
- Chelsea 2-1 Liverpool, 4 Oct 2025
- Chelsea 3-1 Liverpool, 4 May 2025
- Liverpool 2-1 Chelsea, 20 Oct 2024
- Chelsea 0-1 Liverpool, 25 Feb 2024 (EFL Cup final, aet)
The head-to-head list shows close games throughout, with the most recent meeting ending 1-1 on 9 May 2026 and the previous EFL Cup meeting between the sides ending 1-0 to Liverpool after extra time in the final on 25 February 2024. Three of the five meetings were decided by a single goal, one ended in a draw and one was won by two goals, which is another reason to expect a competitive cup tie at Anfield.
Pre Game Odds
- Liverpool 2.25 (bet365 via GoonersGuide)
- Draw 3.90 (bet365 via GoonersGuide)
- Chelsea 2.75 (bet365 via GoonersGuide)
The odds for this Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction make Liverpool favourites at 2.25, with Chelsea at 2.75 and the draw at 3.90, all from bet365 via GoonersGuide. That pricing reflects Liverpool’s stronger recent form, while still giving Chelsea a realistic chance in a cup tie where rotation and a suspension could change the balance of the match.
Team News Liverpool
Liverpool’s team news is as follows. Doubts: Wirtz (ankle) and Munoz (knee). Out: Szoboszlai, Frimpong, Bradley, Ekitike and Leoni. Isak is available. Heavy rotation is expected ahead of Arsenal on 1 November, so the predicted lineup below reflects a much-changed Liverpool side rather than the strongest available team.
Team News Chelsea
Chelsea’s team news is as follows. Palmer is SUSPENDED after being sent off against Spurs. Out: Reece James (knee), Martinez (head) and Gittens. Joao Pedro is a doubt. Emegha is back in training. Palmer’s suspension and the absence of Reece James are the most significant availability issues for Chelsea heading to Anfield.
Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction: Predicted Lineups
These lineups are PREDICTED, not confirmed. They are the Sports Mole predicted teams for this match, and they may change before kick-off.
PREDICTED Liverpool lineup: Mamardashvili; Araujo, Jacquet, Gomez, Kerkez; Nyoni, Mac Allister; Ngumoha, McConnell, Gakpo; Koumas.
PREDICTED Chelsea lineup: Penders; Gusto, Fofana, Colwill, Palestra; Caicedo, Lavia, Barco; Estevao, Welbeck, Rogers.
For more previews on this site, see Sports Buddy. For competition information, see the EFL website.
Liverpool vs Chelsea Betting Tips
Tip 1 – Result: Liverpool win.
Tip 2 – Over-Under 2.5: Over 2.5 goals.
Tip 3 – BTTS Yes-No: BTTS Yes.
Liverpool 2-1 is the correct-score prediction in this preview because it combines a Liverpool win with both teams scoring, matching the BTTS Yes and over 2.5 goals angles above. It also fits a tie that is expected to be close, given the recent head-to-head record, while still backing the home side to come through at Anfield.
Taken together, the three tips tell a consistent story for this Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction: a Liverpool win, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score. That combination follows from Liverpool winning four of their last five matches, Chelsea scoring in their wins over Everton and Bournemouth and in the draw with Hull City, and the recent meetings between the sides producing close, competitive games.
