Mainz 05 host Bayern Munich at the MEWA Arena on Saturday afternoon in the Bundesliga, with the hosts ninth in the table and Bayern top. Mainz have ten points from eight games, while Bayern have 18 points from the same number of matches and lead on goal difference.
This Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich prediction matters for bettors because the form gap is stark: Bayern are unbeaten and have scored 13 goals in their last five games, while Mainz have lost four of their last five and are yet to win at home this season.
Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich Match Preview
Mainz’s recent run has been poor: a 4-1 defeat at Elversberg and a 2-0 DFB-Pokal defeat at VfL Bochum followed a 3-2 home defeat to Werder Bremen, with a 1-0 win at Schalke and a 4-3 home defeat to Bayer Leverkusen before that. Bayern, meanwhile, won 2-0 at Atlético Madrid in the Champions League and drew 2-2 with Borussia Dortmund, beat Magdeburg 6-1 in the cup, won 3-1 at Freiburg and drew 2-2 with Arsenal in Europe.
Team Recent Form
Mainz 05 (most recent first): L-L-L-W-L — Elversberg 4-1 Mainz 05 (Bundesliga); VfL Bochum 2-0 Mainz 05 (DFB-Pokal); Mainz 05 2-3 Werder Bremen (Bundesliga); Schalke 04 0-1 Mainz 05 (Bundesliga); Mainz 05 3-4 Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga).
Bayern Munich (most recent first): W-D-W-W-D — Atlético Madrid 0-2 Bayern Munich (UEFA Champions League); Bayern Munich 2-2 Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga); Bayern Munich 6-1 Magdeburg (DFB-Pokal); Freiburg 1-3 Bayern Munich (Bundesliga); Bayern Munich 2-2 Arsenal (UEFA Champions League).
Key Stats
- Bayern Munich are unbeaten this season and top the Bundesliga on 18 points from eight games, level with Borussia Dortmund and ahead on goal difference.
- Mainz 05 are yet to win at home this season, taking one point from 12 at the MEWA Arena, and all three of their league wins have come away from home.
- Bayern have won five of the last seven meetings with Mainz, losing once in that run.
1-4 is our correct-score prediction: Bayern’s scoring form and Mainz’s defensive struggles should carry the champions through comfortably, but Mainz’s attack has scored in every one of their last five games.
Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich H2H
- 25 April 2026: Mainz 05 3-4 Bayern Munich (Bundesliga)
- 14 December 2025: Bayern Munich 2-2 Mainz 05 (Bundesliga)
- 26 April 2025: Bayern Munich 3-0 Mainz 05 (Bundesliga)
- 14 December 2024: Mainz 05 2-1 Bayern Munich (Bundesliga)
- 30 October 2024: Mainz 05 0-4 Bayern Munich (DFB-Pokal)
Bayern have won three of the last five meetings, with one draw and one Mainz win — the 2-1 at the MEWA Arena in December 2024.
Pre Game Odds
- Mainz 05 win: 6.83
- Draw: 6.50
- Bayern Munich win: 1.43
Odds via Futbol24 (1win, published 4 Nov 2026), pre-match and subject to change.
Team News Mainz 05
Mainz are without Dominik Kohr (ankle) and Silas Katompa Mvumpa (broken leg). Phillipp Mwene is suspended after five yellow cards and Stefan Posch is suspended after being sent off against Elversberg, while Otto Ruoppi is doubtful with a knee injury. Nadiem Amiri is expected to start despite one report listing him as a knee-injury doubt.
Predicted Mainz 05 XI (predicted only, not confirmed): Zentner; da Costa, Gruber, Potulski; Caci, Lee, Sano, Amiri, Widmer; Tietz, Becker.
Team News Bayern Munich
Bayern are without Luis Díaz (hamstring), Serge Gnabry (hamstring), Ismael Saibari (ankle) and Bara Ndiaye (appendix). Jamal Musiala is doubtful with a hamstring injury, while Michael Olise is a doubt per some previews but is expected to start according to Bundesliga.com and Sports Mole. Michael Olise leads Bayern with six goals and three assists this season.
Predicted Bayern Munich XI (predicted only, not confirmed): Neuer; Laimer, Upamecano, Kim, Brown; Kimmich, Pavlović; Olise, Karl, Davies; Kane.
Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich Betting Tips
Tip 1 – Result: Bayern Munich win. Tip 2 – Over-Under 2.5: Over 2.5 goals. Tip 3 – BTTS Yes-No: Both teams to score – Yes.
Bayern’s scoring form and Mainz’s defensive record point to a comfortable away win, but Mainz have scored in every one of their last five games.
Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich prediction
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