Burnley vs Wolves prediction: Friday night football at Turf Moor pits two Premier League relegation alumni against each other as Burnley host Wolverhampton Wanderers in Matchday 11 of the 2026/27 EFL Championship. Kickoff is at 20:00 WAT on Friday 16 October 2026, with Nicky Hayen’s Clarets desperate for a turnaround against Cesar Peixoto’s Wolves. The visitors look the value bet here: priced at 2.30 for the win, Wolves have scored eight goals in five away Championship games, while Burnley have just one win in ten league outings and no clean sheets in five at home.
This Burnley vs Wolves prediction weighs up team news, predicted lineups, head-to-head history and the latest odds, before landing on our expert betting tips for Friday’s clash at Turf Moor.
Burnley vs Wolves Match Preview
Both clubs were relegated from the 2025/26 Premier League and have had to reset in the Championship. The October previews had Wolves sitting around 9th on 14 points and Burnley down near 21st on 8 points, and recent form explains why.
Burnley followed their first league win of the season, a 4-0 thrashing of Watford, with a gutting 2-2 home draw against Charlton in which they conceded a 96th-minute equaliser. Wolves’ away record is the standout betting angle: they have found the net eight times in five away Championship games, even though they have lost their last two outings.
For the latest EFL Championship news and fixtures and our other previews like this Real Betis vs Porto prediction, check out the rest of our match preview hub.
Team Recent Form
Burnley (DDWDL)
- D Burnley 2-2 Charlton (H, 13 Oct)
- W Watford 0-4 Burnley (A, 10 Oct – first league win)
- D Burnley 1-1 Derby (H, 19 Sep)
- L Swansea 3-1 Burnley (A, 12 Sep)
- D Wrexham 1-1 Burnley (A, 8 Sep)
Wolves (LLWLW)
- L Wolves 1-3 Bolton (H, 13 Oct)
- L Middlesbrough 1-0 Wolves (A, 10 Oct)
- W Wolves 1-0 West Brom (H, 20 Sep)
- L Everton 1-0 Wolves (A, Carabao Cup R3, 16 Sep)
- W Sheffield United 0-1 Wolves (A, 13 Sep)
Key Stats
- Wolves have scored eight goals in five away Championship games this season.
- Burnley have no clean sheets in five home Championship games and keep conceding late goals, including Charlton’s 96th-minute equaliser and a similar pattern against Derby.
- Burnley are unbeaten in their last eight home games against Wolves, although the two most recent Turf Moor meetings both ended 1-1.
Correct Score Prediction
1-2. Wolves’ away scoring record of eight goals in five Championship road games, combined with Burnley’s five home games without a clean sheet, points to the visitors outscoring the Clarets in an open Friday night contest.
Burnley vs Wolves H2H
- 24 May 2026: Burnley 1-1 Wolves (Premier League, Turf Moor)
- 26 Oct 2025: Wolves 2-3 Burnley (Premier League, Molineux)
- 28 Aug 2024: Wolves 2-0 Burnley (EFL Cup, Molineux)
- 2 Apr 2024: Burnley 1-1 Wolves (Premier League, Turf Moor)
Pre Game Odds
- Burnley (home win): 2.90
- Draw: 3.60
- Wolves (away win): 2.30
Also priced up for this Burnley vs Wolves prediction: Over 2.5 goals at around 1.81 and BTTS Yes at around 1.67.
Team News Burnley
Hannibal Mejbri, Jordan Beyer and Josh Cullen are injury concerns, while Zeki Amdouni, Bashir Humphreys and Ashley Barnes face fitness assessments. Anel Ahmedhodzic is a doubt after a late injury against Charlton, with Ekdal on standby, and Dastan Satpaev may return to the squad after a hamstring problem.
Team News Wolves
Raul Jimenez, Yerson Mosquera and Rodrigo Gomes are expected to be out. There could be midfield rotation, with Tommy Doyle and Marshall Munetsi in line to start, Toti Gomes may replace Ladislav Krejci, and Sean Neave could get a first Championship start.
Predicted Lineups
Predicted – preview sources conflict, so treat these as projected XIs.
Burnley (Sports Mole 4-2-3-1): Coudert; Walker, Ekdal, Julio, Pires; Alleyne, Hatate; Edwards, Laurent, Bruun Laursen; Broja.
Burnley (alternative version): Coudert; Walker, Ahmedhodzic, Julio, Pires; Alleyne, Hatate; Ramazani, Laurent, Bruun Larsen; Vardy.
Wolves (Sports Mole 4-2-3-1): Sa; Trippier, Djiga, T Gomes, Konan; Doyle, Munetsi; Lopez, James, Mane; Neave.
Wolves (alternative version): Jose Sa; Trippier, Djiga, Krejci, Bueno; Andre, James; Bellegarde, Lopez, Mane; Armstrong.
Burnley vs Wolves Betting Tips
Tip 1 – Result: Wolves win. Burnley’s one win in ten league games and five home games without a clean sheet make the 2.30 about the visitors the standout bet.
Tip 2 – Over-Under 2.5: Over 2.5 goals. Wolves have scored eight in five away Championship games and Burnley’s home games keep producing late drama, so goals are on the cards at around 1.81.
Tip 3 – BTTS Yes-No: Yes. Both defences leak – Burnley have no clean sheets in five at Turf Moor and Wolves’ away games have been open affairs – so back both teams to score at around 1.67.
Burnley vs Wolves Prediction Verdict
Our final Burnley vs Wolves prediction is an away win for Wolves. The 2.30 on offer is fair given Burnley’s one win in ten league games and Wolves’ eight goals in five away Championship matches.
For extra value, combine the result with over 2.5 goals and BTTS, both of which land comfortably given these sides’ defensive records.
