PREVIEW: Empoli vs US Avellino Prediction, H2H, Team News, Possible Line-ups, and Expert Betting Tips

Match Analysis

Advanced statistical breakdown and prediction model

Empoli
Empoli
vs.
US Avellino
US Avellino
final results:
1 - 0

Our Prediction

Over 1.5
Over 1.5
Over 1.5

Hot tip:

Over 1.5

Historical data shows that 64% of Empoli’s matches this season have seen both teams score, which is significantly higher than the league average. Both teams have found the net in the majority of their last five meetings.

Both teams to score

Yes

,

Double chance

Empoli to win or draw

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In this preview, the Stadio Carlo Castellani is set to host a pivotal Serie B clash this Friday as Empoli takes on US Avellino. This Matchday 37 fixture carries immense weight for both clubs, albeit for very different reasons. Empoli currently sits in 16th place with 37 points, teetering dangerously close to the relegation play-out zone. Their recent form has been a cause for concern, with three losses in their last four matches, including a 2-0 defeat to Venezia. For the Tuscans, every point is a lifeline in their bid to maintain their second-division status.

Conversely, US Avellino enters this tie in high spirits, occupying the final promotion playoff spot in 8th place. “I Lupi” have found their stride at the perfect time, coming off back-to-back 2-0 victories against Bari and Mantova. This match preview highlights a classic “desperation vs. momentum” scenario. While the hosts are fighting for their lives, the visitors are looking to cement their postseason dreams. You can find the most competitive odds for this high-stakes Italian encounter at Betano.

Empoli vs US Avellino Preview

Team Recent Form

Empoli: LDLLW

US Avellino: WWDLL

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Key Stats

  • Playoff Pursuit: US Avellino has kept three clean sheets in their last five matches, showcasing a defensive resilience that has propelled them into the top eight.
  • Home Struggles: Empoli has found wins hard to come by at the Castellani recently, recording four draws in their last five home league outings.
  • Scoring Threat: Stiven Shpendi remains the man to watch for the hosts, having netted 13 goals this season, while Tommaso Biasci leads the charge for Avellino with 12 strikes.

Correct Score Prediction

Empoli 1-1 US Avellino. This match has “tense stalemate” written all over it. Empoli is desperate to avoid a loss that could see them slip into the bottom four, and their recent history of home draws suggests they know how to frustrate opponents even when they aren’t winning. Avellino, while in better form, may adopt a cautious approach away from home to ensure they don’t drop out of the playoff positions. A hard-fought draw allows both teams to keep their respective goals within reach heading into the final weekend. For those looking at alternative scorelines, Betano provides a variety of betting options.

Empoli vs US Avellino H2H

  • Recent Dominance: US Avellino has won three of the last five meetings between the two sides.
  • Average Goals: Both teams average 1.2 goals per match in their head-to-head history, indicating usually balanced encounters.

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Pre-game Odds

  • Empoli Win: 2.20
  • Draw: 3.20
  • US Avellino Win: 3.30

Get the latest betting markets and live odds updates via Betano.

Team News Empoli

Empoli’s survival bid is hampered by the absence of Pietro Pellegri, who remains out with a long-term cruciate ligament injury. However, the squad is otherwise largely intact. Stiven Shpendi is expected to be the focal point of the attack, supported by Edoardo Saporiti and Rares Ilie. The experienced Simone Romagnoli will be tasked with organizing a defense that must improve on its recent record of 1.4 goals conceded per game.

Team News US Avellino

The visitors will be without goalkeeper Leonardo Marson due to a meniscus injury, meaning Antony Iannarilli will continue between the sticks. Aside from that, coach Michele Pazienza has a nearly full-strength squad to choose from. Veteran defender Armando Izzo has been a key playmaker from the back recently, providing two assists in his last few games. His leadership alongside Patrick Enrici will be vital in keeping Empoli’s desperate attackers at bay. 

Predicted Lineups

Empoli (3-4-2-1): Fulignati; Guarino, Romagnoli, Lovato; Candela, Magnino, Yepes, Ebuehi; Ceesay, Ilie; Shpendi.

US Avellino (4-3-1-2): Iannarilli; Cancellotti, Enrici, Izzo, Fontanarosa; Sounas, Palmiero, Besaggio; Palumbo; Patierno, Russo.

Empoli vs US Avellino Betting Tips

Tip 1 – Result: Draw. 

Tip 2 – Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.5 goals. 

Tip 3 – Both Teams to Score: Yes. 

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