PREVIEW: Everton vs Burnley Prediction, H2H, Team News, Possible Line-ups, and Expert Betting Tips

Match Analysis

Advanced statistical breakdown and prediction model

Everton
Everton
vs.
Burnley
Burnley
final results:
1 - 0

Our Prediction

Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Both teams to score

Hot tip:

Both teams to score

Everton is in a strange spot—they are winning away but haven't won a home game since December. However, Burnley is statistically the worst first-half team in the league.

Total goals

Over 1.5

,

Double chance

Everton to win or draw

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In this preview, the focus shifts to the newly inaugurated Hill Dickinson Stadium this Tuesday as Everton prepare to host a struggling Burnley side in a crucial mid-week Premier League encounter. Everton enter this fixture buoyed by a thrilling 3-2 away victory against Newcastle United, a result that snapped a brief losing streak and kept their European qualification hopes alive under David Moyes. The Toffees have shown flashes of brilliance this season, but their home form has been inconsistent lately, making this a “must-win” for fans and bettors alike.

For those looking to capitalize on the markets, this match preview presents a classic battle between a top-half contender and a side mired in the relegation zone. Burnley, currently 19th in the table, recently suffered a heart-breaking 4-3 loss to Brentford in a game that epitomized their season: dangerous going forward but defensively fragile. With Scott Parker’s men desperate for points to climb out of the bottom three, we expect an open, high-stakes game. You can find the best value for this clash by visiting Betano.

Everton vs Burnley Betting Preview

Team Recent Form

Everton: W L L W D

Burnley: L D L W L 

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Key Stats

  • Defensive Woes: Burnley have conceded the most goals in the Premier League this season and have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 12 matches.
  • Late Drama: Everton’s Thierno Barry has found his scoring boots, with his last five goals for the club all arriving in the second half of matches.
  • Travel Troubles: Burnley have conceded in every single away game they have played this season, averaging over 2.3 goals against them per road trip.

Correct Score Prediction: Everton 2-1 Burnley

Everton are the clear favorites here, especially coming off a confidence-boosting win at St. James’ Park. While Burnley have shown they can score—averaging 1.6 goals per game over their last five—their inability to shut the back door has been their undoing. I expect Everton to dominate possession and eventually break through a porous Burnley backline. However, given Burnley’s recent spirited displays against big teams, a consolation goal for the visitors is likely. A 2-1 home win offers a realistic outlook for this fixture. For live odds and score updates, check out Betano.

Everton vs Burnley H2H

  • Dominant Streak: Everton are unbeaten in their last four head-to-head meetings against Burnley (W3, D1).
  • Clean Sheet Trend: The Toffees have kept a clean sheet in each of their last four matches against the Clarets.
  • No Room for Draws: There hasn’t been a draw in a league match held at Everton between these two sides since April 1975.
  • Historical Advantage: Across their last 20 meetings, Everton hold 11 wins compared to Burnley’s 7.

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Pre-game Odds

  • Everton to win: 1.69
  • Draw: 3.94
  • Burnley to win: 5.94

You can place your specialized team bets at Betano.

Team News Everton

The biggest headline for the Toffees is the absence of Jack Grealish, who is likely out for the remainder of the season following foot surgery. However, David Moyes welcomes back Michael Keane from suspension. Jarrad Branthwaite and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall are also pushing for starts after successfully stepping up their returns from injury as substitutes in the previous round.

Team News Burnley

Scott Parker is dealing with a significant injury crisis. Captain Josh Cullen remains out with a long-term cruciate injury, while Connor Roberts, Jordan Beyer, and Axel Tuanzebe are all sidelined until late March. There is a slight hope that striker Armando Broja might pass a late fitness test to lead the line, but he remains a 50/50 doubt. 

Predicted Lineups

Everton (4-2-3-1): Pickford; Mykolenko, Branthwaite, Tarkowski, O’Brien; Gueye, Garner; Dewsbury-Hall, George, Ndiaye; Barry.

Burnley (4-3-3): Dubravka; Esteve, Worrall, Laurent, Humphreys; Anthony, Edwards, Mejbri; Ugochukwu, Walker, Fleming.

Everton vs Burnley Betting Tips

Tip 1 – Result: Everton Win

Tip 2 – Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.5 goals

Tip 3 – Both Teams to Score: Yes

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