This Valencia vs Villarreal preview features a fiery regional derby that is set to ignite the Estadio de Mestalla as Valencia lock horns with Villarreal this Saturday. This is a classic La Liga encounter, often high on passion and unpredictability, making it a fascinating fixture for punters. Valencia, currently sitting in 14th, have been inconsistent this season but remain a tough side to beat on their home turf. They face a high-flying Villarreal team that sits 3rd in the table, though the Yellow Submarine come into this clash following a demanding midweek Champions League match and with significant defensive injury concerns.
This match preview will delve into the critical stats, team news, and head-to-head records to provide the most accurate predictions. The contrast in styles—Valencia’s gritty home form versus Villarreal’s superior league standing—makes this a difficult game to call, but one that offers real betting value for those who dig into the data. For the best odds on this derby, check out the markets on Betano.
Valencia Vs Villarreal match preview/Betting preview
Team Recent Form
This match showcases a stark contrast in recent league form. Villarreal have been climbing the table with three wins in their last five, while Valencia have struggled to secure points, winning just once in the same period.
- Valencia (La Liga): DLLDW
- Villarreal (La Liga): DLWWW
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Key stats
- Villarreal are third in the La Liga table, while Valencia are struggling in 14th place.
- Despite their league positions, Valencia are unbeaten in their last eight La Liga home matches against Villarreal, a dominant H2H streak at the Mestalla.
- Goals are a strong trend in this fixture: five of the last six league meetings between the two clubs have seen both teams find the net (BTTS).
Correct Score Prediction
My prediction is a 2-1 victory for Valencia.
While Villarreal’s league form (3rd) is vastly superior to Valencia’s (14th), this derby often defies the form book. The single most important statistic here is Valencia’s eight-match unbeaten run against Villarreal at the Mestalla. Furthermore, Villarreal are facing a defensive crisis, with key defenders like Juan Foyth, Logan Costa, and Willy Kambwala all ruled out. This, combined with potential fatigue from their midweek Champions League fixture, gives Valencia a significant edge. I expect Villarreal’s quality attack to score, but Valencia’s home advantage should be enough to exploit the visitors’ makeshift backline and secure a narrow win.
Valencia Vs Villarreal H2H
- Valencia are unbeaten in their last eight La Liga home matches against Villarreal, a run stretching back to 2017.
- Five of the last six league meetings have seen both teams score.
- Recent history is extremely tight: the last five H2H encounters have seen three 1-1 draws, one 1-0 win for Villarreal, and one 3-1 win for Valencia.
- Villarreal have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five away matches in La Liga this season.
Pre-game odds
- Valencia Win: 3.20
- Draw: 3.50
- Villarreal Win: 2.22
(Odds are approximate from Betano and are subject to change)
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Team news Valencia
Valencia will be without several key players for this derby. Defensive lynchpin Mouctar Diakhaby is out with a hamstring injury, and fellow defender Copete is also unavailable. Winger Largie Ramazani is also sidelined. There are further doubts over the fitness of Dimitri Foulquier and Filip Ugrinić, who will all face late fitness tests.
Team news Villarreal
Villarreal’s strong start to the season is under threat from a major defensive injury crisis. The Yellow Submarine will travel to the Mestalla without four key defenders: Juan Foyth, Logan Costa, and Willy Kambwala are all confirmed out. To make matters worse, creative forward Pau Cabanes is also sidelined with a long-term injury, and striker Ayoze Perez is a doubt.
Predicted line up for both teams
- Valencia (4-4-2):
Agirrezabala; Correia, Cömert, Tárrega, Gayà; Rioja, Guerra, Pepelu, Danjuma; Duro, López - Villarreal (4-4-2):
Tenas; Navarro, Marín, Veiga, Pedraza; Buchanan, Parejo, Comesaña, Moleiro; Mikautadze, Oluwaseyi
Valencia Vs Villarreal betting tips
- Tip 1 – Result: Valencia Win
- Tip 2 – Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.5 goals
- Tip 3 – Both team to score: Yes
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Disclaimer: All betting tips and predictions are based on expert analysis and statistical data. However, outcomes in sports are unpredictable. Please gamble responsibly.
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