Celta Vigo welcome Deportivo Alavés to the Estadio Abanca-Balaídos in Vigo on Sunday, 18 October, with kick-off set for 15:15 WAT in this LaLiga Matchday 9 fixture. Our Celta Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés prediction starts with two sides heading in opposite directions: Celta are on a demanding three-day turnaround after Thursday’s 2-1 home defeat to Juventus in the Europa League, while Alavés have lost three of their last four league games and sit on 11 points from eight rounds, just three points ahead of the hosts.
This Celta Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés prediction is shaped by the low-scoring trends at both ends. Celta’s league matches have gone under 2.5 goals in six of eight, including three 0-0 draws, and Alavés have scored just twice in their last four league rounds. With the hosts unbeaten in three straight home league games but missing several attackers through injury, the betting value looks to sit with a narrow home win and another low-scoring afternoon in Vigo.
Celta Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés Match Preview / Betting Preview
Sunday’s clash at Balaídos pits Celta’s stubborn home form against an Alavés side whose attack has dried up badly. The visitors’ only recent joy came in a 5-2 win over Osasuna, but they have since managed only two goals in four league rounds. Celta, meanwhile, are hard to beat at home but low on firepower themselves, which is why the goals markets look more appealing than the 1X2 for many punters. For more Spanish top-flight betting tips, see our Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao prediction.
Team Recent Form
Celta Vigo – Claudio Giráldez’s side have endured a punishing week. Their last five matches read: 1-2 at home to Juventus in the Europa League (15 Oct), 0-0 at Elche (11 Oct), 5-0 at home to Racing Santander (19 Sep), a 1-0 away defeat to Omonia Nicosia in the Europa League (16 Sep), and 1-1 at home to Málaga (13 Sep). In LaLiga they are W1 D5 L2 with 8 points, and remarkably three of their eight league matches have finished 0-0.
Deportivo Alavés – Kike Sánchez Flores’ men arrive in Galicia after a 1-2 home defeat to Atlético Madrid (10 Oct). Their last five: 1-2 vs Atlético Madrid (H), 0-0 at Athletic Bilbao (19 Sep), 0-1 vs Valencia (H, 15 Sep), a 2-1 defeat at Racing Santander (12 Sep), and a 5-2 home win over Osasuna (6 Sep). They have 11 points from eight league rounds, but scored only twice in their previous four league rounds. The one shining light is Lucas Boyé, with five goals in seven league appearances.
Key Stats
- Under 2.5 goals has landed in six of Celta’s eight league matches this season.
- Celta are unbeaten in their last three home league games.
- Alavés have been blanked in three league matches and scored only twice across their last four league rounds.
Celta Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction
1-0 is the correct-score verdict: Celta’s home form has been resilient and their matches are consistently low-scoring, while Alavés’ blunt attack, Ángel Pérez’s suspension and a growing injury list all point towards a narrow home victory at Balaídos.
Celta Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés H2H
Recent meetings have been evenly split, with two Celta wins, two Alavés wins and one draw from the last five encounters.
- 22 Mar 2026 – Celta Vigo 3-4 Deportivo Alavés
- 22 Nov 2025 – Deportivo Alavés 0-1 Celta Vigo
- 27 Jan 2025 – Deportivo Alavés 1-1 Celta Vigo
- 16 Aug 2024 – Celta Vigo 2-1 Deportivo Alavés
Pre Game Odds
- Celta Vigo win – 2.07
- Draw – 3.21
- Deportivo Alavés win – 3.40
- Under 2.5 goals – 1.65
Odds are a Betr snapshot and are subject to change.
Team News Celta Vigo
Claudio Giráldez has a selection headache after Thursday’s European exertions. Borja Iglesias, Carl Starfelt, Miguel Román and Jones Elí-Abdellaoui are all ruled out through injury, while Pablo Durán – the team’s leading scorer with two league goals – is a doubt for Sunday’s quick turnaround. Our Celta Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés prediction still backs the hosts despite the absentees, given their strong home record.
Team News Deportivo Alavés
Kike Sánchez Flores must reshuffle his back line: Ángel Pérez is suspended after his straight red card against Atlético Madrid, while Facundo Garcés and Mikel Rodríguez are out injured.
Celta Vigo predicted lineup (3-4-3): Radu; Núñez, Lago, Alonso; Rueda, Febas, Moriba, Galán; Álvarez, Jutgla, González.
Deportivo Alavés predicted lineup (3-5-2): Sivera; Otto, Koski, Valentini; Tenaglia, Ibañez, Blanco, Suárez, Rebbach; Martínez, Boyé.
Celta Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés Betting Tips
This Celta Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés prediction lands on three clear betting tips for Sunday’s match at Balaídos.
- Tip 1 – Result: Celta Vigo win (2.07). Celta are unbeaten in their last three home league games, while Alavés have lost three of their last four league outings and are missing key defenders.
- Tip 2 – Over-Under 2.5: Under 2.5 goals (1.65). Six of Celta’s eight league matches have gone under, including three goalless draws, and Alavés have managed just two goals in their last four league rounds.
- Tip 3 – BTTS Yes-No: No. Celta’s matches are routinely tight and Alavés have been blanked in three league matches; a clean sheet at either end looks likely in what should be a cagey affair.
