First against fourth, two European winners in midweek and the Bundesliga’s two most entertaining sides this season: our Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg prediction covers Sunday’s stand-out Matchday 6 fixture. The game kicks off at 14:30 WAT (UTC+1) at the BayArena in Leverkusen, with the visitors arriving as the surprise early league leaders.
Leverkusen have won each of their last three matches in all competitions, while Freiburg are unbeaten in nine of their ten games this season. With goals flying in at both ends — Freiburg have scored four or more in seven of nine outings and the recent meetings between these sides have averaged over four goals per game — this Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg prediction centres on home advantage, firepower and betting value. Here is our full Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg prediction guide, with team news, predicted lineups, the best odds and three betting tips.
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg Prediction / Betting Preview
Carles Martínez Novell’s Leverkusen sit fourth in the table on 10 points after five rounds (3W-1D-1L), while Julian Schuster’s Freiburg top the pile on 13 points (4W-1D-0L) — a remarkable start for a side few tipped for the summit. Both teams were in European action on Thursday night, so freshness and squad rotation could decide the second half.
Leverkusen’s 4-0 rout of Lech Poznań in the Europa League and the 4-3 thriller at Mainz underlined their attacking threat, while Freiburg’s 3-2 win over Jablonec in the Conference League and 2-1 victory over Schalke 04 showed they can grind out results even when not at their best — which is why our Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg prediction backs the hosts to edge a thriller.
Team Recent Form
Bayer Leverkusen (most recent first): Lech Poznań 0-4 Leverkusen (W, Europa League, 15 Oct); Mainz 3-4 Leverkusen (W, 10 Oct); Leverkusen 2-0 RB Leipzig (W, 20 Sep); Leverkusen 2-0 Celje (W, Europa League, 16 Sep); Augsburg 2-2 Leverkusen (D, 12 Sep). League record: 3W-1D-1L, 10 points, 4th.
SC Freiburg (most recent first): Freiburg 3-2 Jablonec (W, Conference League, 15 Oct); Freiburg 2-1 Schalke 04 (W, 11 Oct); Freiburg 4-2 Luzern (W, friendly, 3 Oct); Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 Freiburg (D, 19 Sep); Freiburg 5-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach (W, 12 Sep). League record: 4W-1D-0L, 13 points, 1st.
Key Stats
- Leverkusen are yet to concede a home league goal this season and have scored first in each of their last six games.
- Freiburg are unbeaten in nine of ten games in all competitions this season, scoring four or more goals in seven of those nine.
- There have been 26 goals in the last six meetings between these sides (4.33 per game), with both teams scoring in six of the last seven.
2-1 is our predicted correct score: Leverkusen’s flawless home defensive record should just about see them through, but Freiburg’s red-hot attack means the visitors are unlikely to leave the BayArena without scoring.
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg H2H
- 7 March 2026: SC Freiburg 3-3 Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga)
- 26 October 2025: Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 SC Freiburg (Bundesliga)
- 4 May 2025: SC Freiburg 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga)
- 21 December 2024: Bayer Leverkusen 5-1 SC Freiburg (Bundesliga)
Leverkusen are unbeaten in the last seven meetings (4W 3D), with both teams scoring in six of those seven. The most recent clash at the Europa-Park Stadion ended 3-3 in March.
Pre Game Odds
- Bayer Leverkusen win: 1.75
- Draw: 4.42
- SC Freiburg win: 4.62
- Over 2.5 goals: 1.45
- Both teams to score – Yes: 1.50
(Odds via Oddspedia snapshot; always check your bookmaker for live prices before placing a bet.)
Team News Bayer Leverkusen
Patrik Schick, the Bundesliga’s leading scorer with five goals, is a doubt with a muscular problem after missing the midweek trip to Lech Poznań. Martin Terrier is also a doubt, having been forced off injured after just 18 minutes in that game. Guela Doue is out, while Kennet Eichhorn remains unavailable due to a metabolic disorder. Coach Carles Martínez Novell may therefore have to reshuffle his attack at short notice. That injury uncertainty is the biggest caveat in our Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg prediction.
Team News SC Freiburg
Freiburg will be without their top scorer Yuito Suzuki, who serves a suspension after his red card against Schalke 04. Vincenzo Grifo is expected to replace the four-goal forward in coach Julian Schuster’s side.
Predicted Bayer Leverkusen XI (4-2-3-1): Flekken; Quansah, Tapsoba, Medina, Miguel Gutiérrez; Andrich, Aleix García; Afonso Moreira, Maza, Diaby; Schick (doubt — availability should be re-checked).
Predicted SC Freiburg XI (4-2-3-1): Backhaus; Treu, Ginter, Lienhart, Makengo; Eggestein, Engelhardt; Irie, Grifo, Scherhant; Matanovic.
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg Betting Tips
Our Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg prediction is completed by three betting tips across the result, goals and BTTS markets:
Tip 1 – Result: Bayer Leverkusen win (1.75). Home advantage, a perfect home defensive record this season and an unbeaten run in the last seven meetings all point to the hosts taking the points.
Tip 2 – Over-Under 2.5: Over 2.5 goals (1.45). Seven of Freiburg’s nine games this season have produced four-plus goals, and the last six meetings between these sides have averaged 4.33 goals per game.
Tip 3 – BTTS Yes-No: BTTS Yes (1.50). Both teams have scored in six of the last seven meetings, and Freiburg’s attack is too prolific to be shut out entirely, making BTTS Yes the standout value play in this Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg prediction.
