Real Madrid vs Sevilla prediction takes us to the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu in Madrid, where Los Blancos host Sevilla on Sunday 18 October 2026 in LaLiga Matchday 9, with kick-off set for 20:00 WAT. Real Madrid sit fourth in the table with 18 points from a 6W-0D-2L record, while Sevilla are close behind in fifth on 14 points (4W-2D-2L). With Madrid’s home league games averaging around 3.8 total goals per match and Sevilla scoring in every game this season, this is a fascinating fixture for bettors.
Our Real Madrid vs Sevilla prediction is a home win. José Mourinho’s side have won all of the last five league meetings between these teams, and Sevilla have not won a league game at the Bernabéu since 2008. The visitors also arrive without suspended striker Isaac Romero, which strengthens the case for a comfortable home victory.
Real Madrid vs Sevilla Match Preview
Real Madrid come into this game in strong form, bouncing back from the 2-1 derby defeat at Atlético Madrid with back-to-back victories: a 1-0 home win over Villarreal on 10 October, followed by a thrilling 4-3 Champions League victory at Roma on 14 October. Sevilla were held 3-3 at Levante on 12 October, but Luis García Plaza’s men remain unbeaten away from home in LaLiga this season with two wins and two draws from four games. This Real Madrid vs Sevilla prediction must also respect Sevilla’s unbeaten away record, which makes the visitors dangerous despite their absentees. Also see our Real Betis vs Barcelona prediction for more LaLiga betting tips this weekend.
Team Recent Form
Real Madrid – W W L W W (most recent first):
- Roma 3-4 Real Madrid (W, Champions League, 14 Oct)
- Real Madrid 1-0 Villarreal (W, 10 Oct)
- Atlético Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid (L, 20 Sep)
- Elche 2-3 Real Madrid (W, 15 Sep)
- Real Madrid 4-1 Rayo Vallecano (W, 12 Sep)
Sevilla – D L L W W (most recent first):
- Levante 3-3 Sevilla (D, 12 Oct)
- Sevilla 1-3 Aston Villa (L, friendly, 2 Oct)
- Sevilla 1-3 Barcelona (L, 19 Sep)
- Deportivo La Coruña 0-1 Sevilla (W, 16 Sep)
- Sevilla 1-0 Valencia (W, 11 Sep)
Key Stats
- Sevilla have scored in every match this season.
- Real Madrid have conceded eight goals across their last five games.
- Madrid average around 3.8 total goals per game in their last 10 home league matches.
3-1 is our correct-score prediction. Madrid’s firepower at the Bernabéu, combined with Sevilla’s habit of scoring in every match and the hosts conceding eight across their last five games, points to an entertaining home win with both teams on the scoresheet.
Real Madrid vs Sevilla H2H
- 17 May 2026: Sevilla 0-1 Real Madrid
- 20 Dec 2025: Real Madrid 2-0 Sevilla
- 18 May 2025: Sevilla 0-2 Real Madrid
- 22 Dec 2024: Real Madrid 4-2 Sevilla, and 25 Feb 2024: Real Madrid 1-0 Sevilla — Sevilla have not won a league game at the Bernabéu since 2008, and four of the last five meetings ended with a Madrid clean sheet and under 2.5 goals.
Pre Game Odds
- Real Madrid: 1.25
- Draw: 7.00
- Sevilla: 9.00
Odds are from bet365 via Flashscore (snapshot 16 October); both teams to score is priced at 1.95 (19/20).
Team News Real Madrid
For this Real Madrid vs Sevilla prediction, the major team news is Vinícius Júnior’s absence: he is OUT after his four-match LaLiga ban was confirmed — two games for violent conduct plus two for aggressive protest — so he misses Sevilla, Barcelona, Racing Santander and Valencia. The ban is domestic only. Also out are Éder Militão (muscle), Rodrygo (knee) and Raúl Asencio (leg surgery, sidelined until early 2027). Ferland Mendy is a doubt, although he has rejoined training.
Team News Sevilla
Isaac Romero is suspended following his red card against Levante. Marcao (torn thigh), Jon Guridi (adductor) and Miguel Sierra (shoulder) are ruled out, while Lucas Stassin and Giorgi Kochorashvili are doubts for the trip to Madrid.
Predicted Real Madrid XI (4-2-3-1): Courtois; Dumfries, Konaté, Huijsen, Cucurella; Valverde, Tchouaméni; Güler, Bellingham, Diomandé; Mbappé.
Predicted Sevilla XI (4-2-3-1): Vlachodimos; Iglesias, Castrín, Salas, Suazo; Agoumé; Ejuke, Kochorashvili, Fofana, Correia; Ure.
Real Madrid vs Sevilla Prediction Betting Tips
Tip 1 – Result: Real Madrid win. Five straight league H2H victories and Sevilla’s dreadful record at the Bernabéu make the 1.25 home price the standout selection.
Tip 2 – Over-Under 2.5: Over 2.5 goals. Madrid’s home league games average around 3.8 total goals and Sevilla have scored in every match this season.
Tip 3 – BTTS Yes-No: Yes. Sevilla have scored in every match this season and Madrid have conceded eight goals across their last five games.
