PREVIEW: Koln vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction, betting tips, team news

Match Analysis

Advanced statistical breakdown and prediction model

Koln
vs.
Bayer Leverkusen
final results:
1 - 0

Our Prediction

Bayer Leverkusen win
Bayer Leverkusen win
Bayer Leverkusen win

Hot tip:

Over 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 has landed in 7 of Leverkusen's 8 league games this season and their away league games average 4.75 total goals.

BTTS Yes-No

Both teams to score — Yes

,

Double Chance

Koln win or draw

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Koln host Bayer Leverkusen at the RheinEnergieStadion on Sunday 8 November 2026, with kick-off at 15:30 WAT, in a Bundesliga meeting between an unbeaten-at-home side and a team that has won the last five meetings between the clubs. Koln are unbeaten in five home games in all competitions, while Leverkusen arrive having lost three of their last four games.

This Koln vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction weighs a Koln side that has not lost at home in the league this season — 2W 2D 0L at the RheinEnergieStadion — against a Leverkusen team that has won all five of the last meetings, 12-3 on aggregate, and the last three visits here. With Patrik Schick on seven league goals, second in the Bundesliga, the visitors carry the bigger threat.

Koln vs Bayer Leverkusen Match Preview / Betting Preview

Koln’s home record is the foundation of this Koln vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction: unbeaten in five home games in all competitions (W3 D2), with a 2W 2D 0L league record at the RheinEnergieStadion. Leverkusen, though, have the quality and the history — five straight wins over Koln — even if their defence has slipped, conceding in four straight games, and they have lost three of their last four in all competitions.

Team Recent Form

Koln — W L D W D (all competitions):

  • Beat Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-1 on 11 October
  • Lost 1-0 at Eintracht Frankfurt on 16 October
  • Drew 0-0 with Schalke on 24 October
  • Beat Union Berlin 5-0 in the DFB-Pokal on 27 October
  • Drew 1-1 at Union Berlin on 1 November

League-only: DDLWL. Home league record 2W 2D 0L; unbeaten in 5 home games in all competitions (W3 D2). Top scorers Thijs Dallinga and Said El Mala, 2 league goals each.

Bayer Leverkusen — W L W L L:

  • Beat OFI Crete 2-0 in the Europa League on 22 October
  • Lost 3-0 at Hoffenheim on 25 October
  • Beat Nürnberg 5-2 in the DFB-Pokal on 28 October
  • Lost 4-2 at home to Stuttgart on 31 October
  • Lost 1-0 at home to Marseille in the Europa League on 5 November

League-only: LLWWW. Have lost 3 of their last 4 games in all competitions; conceded in 4 straight games. Away league record 1W 1D 2L. Top scorer Patrik Schick, 7 league goals (2nd in the Bundesliga).

Key Stats

  • Bayer Leverkusen are 6th with 13 points from 8 games (4W 1D 3L, 18-16).
  • Koln have 9 points from 8 games (2W 3D 3L, 9-12), with three clubs sitting on 9 points.
  • Leverkusen have won all 5 of the last meetings (12-3 on aggregate) and the last 3 visits to RheinEnergieStadion.

1-2 is our correct-score prediction: Leverkusen are favourites on quality and H2H, but Koln are unbeaten at home and Leverkusen’s defence has slipped — Sports Mole predicts a 2-2 draw as the main alternative.

Koln vs Bayer Leverkusen H2H

  • 25 April 2026 — Koln 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen
  • 13 December 2025 — Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 Koln
  • 5 February 2025 — Bayer Leverkusen 3-2 Koln after extra time (DFB-Pokal)
  • 3 March 2024 — Koln 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen

Leverkusen have won all five of the last meetings, and that dominance is a big part of this Koln vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction — even if Koln’s home form makes this a tougher trip than the odds suggest.

Pre Game Odds

  • Koln — 3.70-4.24
  • Draw — 4.10-4.40
  • Bayer Leverkusen — 1.69-1.88

Bet365 Leverkusen about 1.90. Implied probabilities: Koln 18% / Draw 23% / Leverkusen 59%.

Team News Koln

Out (injured): Timo Hübers (knee), Thijs Dallinga (knee), Ellyes Skhiri (ankle), Rav van den Berg (muscle), Imad Rondić, Ragnar Ache (thigh).

Doubt: Joël Schmied (ankle — still named in predicted XIs).

No suspensions found.

Team News Bayer Leverkusen

Out (injured): Moussa Diaby (hamstring, out until after the international break), Martin Terrier, Eliesse Ben Seghir, Christian Kofane, Nathan Tella (muscle), Guéla Doué (calf), Loïc Badé (head/concussion), Kennet Eichhorn, Victor Boniface.

Doubt: Loïc Badé / Nathan Tella status conflicts between reports.

No suspensions found.

Predicted Lineups

The predicted lineups below are from Sports Mole (6 November) and are possible XIs only. Our Koln vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction is built around these expected teams.

Koln: Schwabe; Schmied, Simpson-Pusey, Krauss; Sebulonsen, Maina, Okon-Engstler, Moore, Sosa; Bulter, El Mala.

Bayer Leverkusen (4-2-3-1): Flekken; Quansah, Tapsoba, Medina, Gutierrez; Garcia, Fernandez; Vazquez, Maza, Moreira; Schick.

Koln vs Bayer Leverkusen Betting Tips

Here are our Koln vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction betting tips:

Tip 1 – Result: Bayer Leverkusen win.

Tip 2 – Over-Under 2.5: Over 2.5 goals.

Tip 3 – BTTS Yes-No: Both teams to score — Yes.

Koln vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction

Our Koln vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction is a Bayer Leverkusen win, with the visitors’ quality and five straight wins in this fixture outweighing a Koln side unbeaten at home and a Leverkusen defence that has slipped. Back Leverkusen to edge a game in which both teams score, and read our Lens vs Marseille prediction for more on Sunday’s action. For more context on the teams, see Sports Mole.

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