PREVIEW: Lecce vs Genoa prediction, betting tips, team news

Match Analysis

Advanced statistical breakdown and prediction model

US Lecce
Lecce
vs.
Genoa
final results:
1 - 0

Our Prediction

Genoa win
Genoa win
Genoa win

Hot tip:

Both teams to score – Yes

Genoa have scored in each of their last five games and Lecce's defence has conceded five at Frosinone in midweek.

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5 goals

,

Correct score

Lecce 1-2

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Genoa travel to Lecce on Sunday evening looking to build on back-to-back league wins. Genoa are 13th on ten points from nine games, while Lecce are 14th on nine points, so this is a tight mid-to-lower-table clash with both sides desperate for points.

This Lecce vs Genoa prediction is a close one for bettors because Genoa have won their last two league games without conceding, while Lecce have lost three of their last five and shipped five goals at Frosinone on Thursday.

Lecce vs Genoa Match Preview

Lecce’s last five, all in Serie A: a 5-1 defeat at Frosinone on 29 October, a 2-0 home defeat to Juventus on 25 October, a 3-0 win at Udinese on 18 October, a 2-1 home defeat to Bologna on 11 October and a 3-0 defeat at AC Milan on 20 September. Genoa’s last five: a 2-0 win over Juventus on 28 October, a 1-0 win over Venezia on 25 October, a 2-0 defeat at Roma on 17 October, a 2-1 win over Fiorentina on 10 October and a 2-1 defeat at Parma on 20 September.

Team Recent Form

Lecce (most recent first): L-L-W-L-L — Frosinone 5-1 Lecce; Lecce 0-2 Juventus; Udinese 0-3 Lecce; Lecce 1-2 Bologna; AC Milan 3-0 Lecce.

Genoa (most recent first): W-W-L-W-L — Genoa 2-0 Juventus; Genoa 1-0 Venezia; Roma 2-0 Genoa; Genoa 2-1 Fiorentina; Parma 2-1 Genoa.

Key Stats

  • Genoa are 13th in Serie A on ten points from nine games; Lecce are 14th on nine points.
  • Genoa have won their last two league games without conceding a goal.
  • Lecce have lost four of their last five league games and conceded five at Frosinone in midweek.

1-2 to Genoa is our correct-score prediction: the visitors are the form side and have the better defence in recent weeks, but Lecce have scored in three of their last five games and should find the net at home.

Lecce vs Genoa H2H

  • 24 May 2026: Lecce 1-0 Genoa (Serie A)
  • 23 August 2025: Genoa 0-0 Lecce (Serie A)
  • 14 March 2025: Genoa 2-1 Lecce (Serie A)
  • 5 January 2025: Lecce 0-0 Genoa (Serie A)
  • 28 January 2024: Genoa 2-1 Lecce (Serie A)

Pre Game Odds

  • Lecce win: 2.80
  • Draw: 3.00
  • Genoa win: 2.50

Odds via Betora, pre-match and subject to change.

Team News Lecce

Lecce are without Ivan Ilić (thigh), Lassana Coulibaly (thigh), Medon Berisha (thigh) and Santiago Pierotti (ankle), while Kialonda Gaspar is suspended after a red card. Tiago Gabriel’s status is disputed — one source lists him as out injured, another starts him — so treat him as doubtful.

Predicted Lecce XI (predicted only, not confirmed): Falcone; Gallo, Gabriel, Siebert, Veiga; Maleh, Ngom, Kaba; Fatah, Monteiro, Esteban.

Team News Genoa

Genoa are without Elias Havel (ankle) and Lorenzo Venturino (knee), while Vítinha is suspended. Mikael Ellertsson (ankle) and Kingsley Ehizibue are doubts.

Predicted Genoa XI (predicted only, not confirmed): Bijlow; Vásquez, Østigård, Marcandalli; Mitaj, Traorè, Frendrup, Ehizibue; El Shaarawy, Baldanzi; Osmajic.

Lecce vs Genoa Betting Tips

Tip 1 – Result: Genoa win. Tip 2 – Over-Under 2.5: Over 2.5 goals. Tip 3 – BTTS Yes-No: Both teams to score – Yes.

Lecce vs Genoa prediction: final verdict

This Lecce vs Genoa prediction backs the visitors to continue their recent run, with Genoa win as the main pick, a 1-2 correct score, both teams to score – Yes, and over 2.5 goals. That combination reflects the form lines already set out above, with Genoa winning their last two league games without conceding and Lecce conceding five at Frosinone in midweek.

For more Serie A preview coverage on this site, see our Lazio vs Cagliari prediction. Readers can also check the official Serie A website for fixtures and standings.

Lecce vs Genoa prediction summary: Lecce vs Genoa prediction – Result: Genoa win; Lecce vs Genoa prediction – Correct score: Lecce 1-2; Lecce vs Genoa prediction – BTTS: Both teams to score – Yes; Lecce vs Genoa prediction – Over-Under 2.5: Over 2.5 goals.

That is our Lecce vs Genoa prediction in full.

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