Marseille host Toulouse at the Stade Vélodrome on Sunday night in Ligue 1. Marseille have 12 points from eight games, while Toulouse are 11th on 10 points, so a home win would lift Marseille further up a congested table.
This Marseille vs Toulouse prediction appeals to bettors because Marseille have won their last three league games, yet Toulouse are unbeaten in five league games and have been hard to beat all season.
Marseille vs Toulouse Match Preview
Marseille’s last five: a 4-3 win over Le Havre on 25 October, a 1-0 defeat at Sturm Graz in the Europa League on 22 October, a 5-2 win at Angers on 18 October, a 1-0 home defeat to Olympiacos on 15 October and a 2-0 win at Troyes on 11 October. Toulouse’s last five, all in Ligue 1: a 0-0 draw with Troyes on 25 October, a 3-0 win at Le Mans on 16 October, a 2-2 draw at Monaco on 10 October, a 3-2 win over Le Havre on 19 September and a 2-2 draw at Lorient on 12 September.
Team Recent Form
Marseille (most recent first): W-L-W-L-W — Marseille 4-3 Le Havre; Sturm Graz 1-0 Marseille; Angers 2-5 Marseille; Marseille 0-1 Olympiacos; Troyes 0-2 Marseille.
Toulouse (most recent first): D-W-D-W-D — Toulouse 0-0 Troyes; Le Mans 0-3 Toulouse; Monaco 2-2 Toulouse; Toulouse 3-2 Le Havre; Lorient 2-2 Toulouse.
Key Stats
- Marseille have won their last three Ligue 1 games; Toulouse are unbeaten in five league games.
- Marseille are unbeaten in their last ten meetings with Toulouse (six wins, four draws).
- Marseille won the most recent meeting 1-0 at Toulouse in March 2026.
2-1 to Marseille is our correct-score prediction: the hosts’ home form and record in this fixture give them the edge, but Toulouse’s unbeaten run means they should score at least once.
Marseille vs Toulouse H2H
- 7 March 2026: Toulouse 0-1 Marseille (Ligue 1)
- 29 November 2025: Marseille 2-2 Toulouse (Ligue 1)
- 6 April 2025: Marseille 3-2 Toulouse (Ligue 1)
- 17 September 2023: Marseille 0-0 Toulouse (Ligue 1)
- 29 December 2022: Marseille 6-1 Toulouse (Ligue 1)
Pre Game Odds
- Marseille win: 1.83
- Draw: 3.75
- Toulouse win: 3.75
Odds via Betora, pre-match and subject to change.
Team News Marseille
Marseille are without Derek Cornelius (hip), who is expected to remain unavailable through the end of the calendar year. Igor Paixao (shoulder) is back in training and fully fit, and Amine Gouiri is available after missing Friday training for personal reasons.
Predicted Marseille XI (predicted only, not confirmed): Jeffrey De Lange; Timothy Weah, CJ Egan-Riley, Nayef Aguerd, Emerson; Tochukwu Nnadi, Pierre-Emile Højbjerg; Amine Harit, Himad Abdelli, Igor Paixao; Amine Gouiri.
Team News Toulouse
Toulouse are without Rafik Messali (thigh tear, out until December). Sion Oppong (calf) has resumed full training and should be treated as doubtful rather than confirmed out, and Abu Francis (hamstring) is doubtful. Note: Aron Donnum’s suspension applies to the next fixture against Strasbourg, not this game.
Predicted Toulouse XI (predicted only, not confirmed): Guillaume Restes; Ismaïl Diallo, Mark McKenzie, Rasmus Nicolaisen, Christ Tapé; Aron Donnum, Cristian Cásseres, Niko Sigur, Thomas Jørgensen; Jacen Russell-Rowe, Casper Tengstedt.
Marseille vs Toulouse Betting Tips
Tip 1 – Result: Marseille win. Tip 2 – Over-Under 2.5: Over 2.5 goals. Tip 3 – BTTS Yes-No: Both teams to score – Yes.
Marseille vs Toulouse prediction: final word
This Marseille vs Toulouse prediction backs a Marseille win, with a 2-1 correct score, over 2.5 goals and both teams to score. For more Ligue 1 previews on Sports Buddy, visit Sports Buddy, and for official Ligue 1 fixtures and standings, see Ligue 1. This Marseille vs Toulouse prediction reflects Marseille’s home edge and Toulouse’s resilient unbeaten run.
