The Basque derby takes centre stage on Sunday night as Athletic Bilbao host Real Sociedad at San Mamés. Real Sociedad are fifth on 19 points from ten games, while Athletic are eighth on 12 points from nine, so the visitors arrive as the form side but the hosts have a formidable record in this fixture at home.
This Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad prediction is a great one for bettors because Real Sociedad have won their last four league games and scored freely, yet Athletic have won four of the last five league meetings at San Mamés.
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Match Preview
Athletic’s last five: a 6-1 win at AE Prat in the Copa del Rey on 29 October, a 4-0 win over Getafe on 25 October, a 3-1 defeat at Levante on 21 October, a 0-0 draw at Valencia on 17 October and a 0-0 draw at Rayo Vallecano on 10 October. Real Sociedad’s last five: a 2-1 win over Levante on 25 October, a 6-0 win at Lillestrøm in the Europa League on 22 October, a 5-2 win at Málaga on 18 October, a 1-1 draw at Union Saint-Gilloise on 15 October and a 3-2 win over Deportivo La Coruña on 11 October.
Team Recent Form
Athletic Bilbao (most recent first): W-W-L-D-D — AE Prat 1-6 Athletic Bilbao; Athletic Bilbao 4-0 Getafe; Levante 3-1 Athletic Bilbao; Valencia 0-0 Athletic Bilbao; Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Athletic Bilbao.
Real Sociedad (most recent first): W-W-W-D-W — Real Sociedad 2-1 Levante; Lillestrøm 0-6 Real Sociedad; Málaga 2-5 Real Sociedad; Union Saint-Gilloise 1-1 Real Sociedad; Real Sociedad 3-2 Deportivo La Coruña.
Key Stats
- Real Sociedad are fifth in LaLiga on 19 points from ten games; Athletic Bilbao are eighth on 12 points from nine.
- Real Sociedad have won their last four league games, scoring at least twice in each.
- Athletic have won four of the last five league meetings at San Mamés, by an aggregate score of 10-2.
2-1 to Athletic Bilbao is our correct-score prediction: the hosts’ derby record at San Mamés is hard to ignore, but Real Sociedad’s attack is in such form that they should score at least once.
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad H2H
- 1 February 2026: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Sociedad (LaLiga)
- 24 November 2024: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Real Sociedad (LaLiga)
- 13 January 2024: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Real Sociedad (LaLiga)
- 15 April 2023: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Real Sociedad (LaLiga)
- 20 February 2022: Athletic Bilbao 4-0 Real Sociedad (LaLiga)
Pre Game Odds
- Athletic Bilbao win: 2.10
- Draw: 3.50
- Real Sociedad win: 3.25
Odds via RotoWire/OddsJam, pre-match and subject to change.
Team News Athletic Bilbao
Athletic are without Gorka Guruzeta (torn ACL, out for the season) and Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta (hamstring). Oihan Sancet (calf) is a doubt after returning to full training, while Aymeric Laporte is back after serving a one-match ban. Nico Williams has eased back after missing two games.
Predicted Athletic Bilbao XI (predicted only, not confirmed): Unai Simón; Hugo Rincón, Laporte, Aitor Paredes, Yuri Berchiche; Peio Canales, Beñat Gerenabarrena; Iñaki Williams, Álex Berenguer, Nico Williams; Maroan Sannadi.
Team News Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad are without Álvaro Odriozola, while Luken Beitia (ankle) is a doubt. Jon Aramburu is back from a leg injury, Yangel Herrera (calf) is back in full training with his minutes to be managed, and Takefusa Kubo is available.
Predicted Real Sociedad XI (predicted only, not confirmed): Álex Remiro; Jon Aramburu, Jon Martín, Mamadou Sarr, Sergio Gómez; Luka Sučić, Jon Gorrotxategi, Carlos Soler, Gonçalo Guedes; Orri Óskarsson, Mikel Oyarzabal.
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Betting Tips
Tip 1 – Result: Athletic Bilbao win. Tip 2 – Over-Under 2.5: Over 2.5 goals. Tip 3 – BTTS Yes-No: Both teams to score – Yes.
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad prediction: final verdict
Our Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad prediction backs the hosts, and this Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad prediction also points to goals at both ends. For more LaLiga coverage, see Sports Buddy, and check the official LaLiga site for fixture details.
This Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad prediction remains our best call for Sunday night at San Mamés.
For readers following this Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad prediction, this Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad prediction is built on the derby record at San Mamés, and this Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad prediction keeps Athletic Bilbao win as the main pick.
