Lille vs Metz preview, prediction, head-to-head, team news, possible line-ups, and betting tips

Match Analysis

Advanced statistical breakdown and prediction model

Lille
Lille
vs.
Metz
Metz
final results:
1 - 0

Our Prediction

Lille to win
Lille to win
Lille to win

Hot tip:

Lille to win

Massive mismatch. Lille (6th) are strong at home and aiming for Europe. Metz (18th) are in dire relegation form, winless in 5 league games, and leaking goals heavily.

Double chance

Lille to win either half

,

Total goals

Over 2.5

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This Lille vs Metz preview highlights a match where Lille hosts a struggling Metz at the Decathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy on Sunday, in a match that presents a stark contrast in form.1 Lille, sitting 6th in Ligue 1, are looking to solidify their European credentials and bounce back from a wild 4-3 home loss to PAOK in the Europa League midweek.2 Before that, their league form was solid, including a 2-0 win at Nantes and a 1-1 draw with PSG.

Metz arrives in deep trouble. Currently 18th and mired in the relegation zone, they are winless in their last five league games and were just thrashed 4-0 by Toulouse and 3-0 by Marseille. This match preview is a classic top-half vs. bottom-table clash, and the betting markets reflect the wide gulf between the two sides.

Lille Vs Metz match preview/Betting preview

Team Recent Form

Based on the last five results across all competitions, Lille’s form has been inconsistent but far superior to Metz’s dreadful run.

Lille: LWDWL

Metz: LLDDL

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Key Stats

  • Metz on the Ropes: Metz is in freefall, winless in their last five games (D2, L3) and having failed to score in their last three straight matches, being outscored 7-0 in that period.4
  • H2H Dominance: Lille is unbeaten in their last six encounters with Metz (W4, D2). Metz has not won this fixture since May 2017.
  • One-Way Traffic: Metz has only won 2 of 26 all-time direct matches against Lille, who have won 16.5

Correct Score Prediction

Our prediction is a 3-0 victory for Lille.

This looks like a straightforward home banker. Metz is in catastrophic form, shipping goals and offering absolutely nothing in attack, having been blanked in their last three games. They’ve conceded seven goals in their last two matches alone (4-0 vs. Toulouse, 3-0 vs. Marseille). Lille, despite their chaotic midweek European game, possesses far too much quality and will be eager to get back to winning ways. With Olivier Giroud leading the line and a creative midfield, they will have no trouble breaking down a Metz side that has lost all four of its away games this season, conceding 3.75 goals per game on their travels. Expect Lille to dominate from start to finish and win comfortably. You can find excellent odds for this scoreline on Betano.

Lille Vs Metz H2H

  • Lille is undefeated in the last six head-to-head meetings (W4, D2).
  • Lille won both fixtures last season (2-0 at home and 2-1 away).
  • Metz’s last victory against Lille came over eight years ago, in May 2017.
  • Four of the last six meetings have finished with Under 2.5 goals, though Metz’s current defensive form suggests that trend could break.

Pre-game Odds

  • Lille: 1.33
  • Draw: 4.60
  • Metz: 8.00

(Odds are subject to change. Check the latest prices on Betano)

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Team News Lille

Lille has a couple of defensive injuries to contend with. Ousmane Touré is out long-term with a cruciate ligament injury, while fellow defender Alexsandro Ribeiro is sidelined with a thigh injury and is not expected back until early November. The rest of the squad, including key attackers Olivier Giroud and Hákon Arnar Haraldsson, are fit and available.

Team News Metz

Metz’s problems are compounded by injuries and suspensions. Defender Sadibou Sané is suspended for this match after receiving a red card. Winger Urie-Michel Mboula is also unavailable due to a hamstring injury. With the team already struggling for form, these absences in both defense and attack are a significant blow.

Predicted Lineups

Lille (4-2-3-1):

Özer (GK); Meunier, Mbemba, Mandi, Perraud; André, Bouaddi; Correia, Haraldsson, Fernandez-Pardo; Giroud

Metz (4-4-2):

Fischer (GK); Gbamin, Colin, Ballo-Touré, Kouao; Traoré, Touré, Hein, Abuashvili; Sabaly, Diallo

Lille Vs Metz betting tips

  • Tip 1 – Result: Lille Win
  • Tip 2 – Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.5 goals
  • Tip 3 – Both teams to score: No

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