Napoli vs AS Roma prediction: the season’s first Derby del Sole takes centre stage at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona on Saturday, 24 October 2026, with kickoff at 17:00 WAT. Ninth-placed Napoli (10 points from seven games) host unbeaten third-placed Roma (17 points) in a fixture that pits crisis against control.
Our Napoli vs AS Roma prediction focuses on a meeting of contrasts: the reigning champions sit seven points behind Gian Piero Gasperini’s side after the humiliation of losing to bottom-side Venezia (with Kevin De Bruyne missing a penalty) and a chaotic 4-3 Champions League escape against Bodo/Glimt that left Max Allegri still struggling to win over the fans.
Roma, by contrast, bring Serie A’s meanest defence (three conceded, none away from home) and the division’s form striker in Donyell Malen — yet they have not won in Naples for more than eight years, while Napoli are unbeaten at home to Roma in eight league games. Something has to give. Referee: Andrea Colombo.
Napoli vs AS Roma Match Preview
This Napoli vs AS Roma prediction rests on two competing truths: Napoli are unbeaten at home to Roma in eight league games, while Roma are unbeaten in Serie A and arrive as the division’s form team. For more Serie A coverage, see our Torino vs Monza prediction preview.
Team Recent Form
Napoli — W-L-L-W-D (9th, 10 pts):
- 20 Oct — Napoli 4-3 Bodo/Glimt (Champions League)
- 17 Oct — Venezia 1-0 Napoli (Serie A)
- 13 Oct — Villarreal 3-1 Napoli (Champions League)
- 10 Oct — Napoli 3-0 Frosinone (Serie A)
- 20 Sep — Fiorentina 1-1 Napoli (Serie A)
AS Roma — W-W-L-D-D (3rd, 17 pts, unbeaten in Serie A):
- 20 Oct — Roma 4-0 Slovan Bratislava (Champions League)
- 17 Oct — Roma 2-0 Genoa (Serie A)
- 14 Oct — Roma 3-4 Real Madrid (Champions League)
- 11 Oct — Como 0-0 Roma (Serie A)
- 19 Sep — Roma 2-2 Inter (Serie A)
Key Stats
- Roma have Italy’s best defence: 3 goals conceded in 7 league games and yet to concede an away goal this season; a clean sheet would equal their 2017 club record of four straight away clean sheets.
- Roma are unbeaten in Serie A (W5 D2) but winless in Naples for over eight years; Napoli are unbeaten at home to Roma in eight league games.
- Napoli are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Roma (2W 3D); three of the last four H2H clashes went under 2.5 goals.
1-1 — Roma’s watertight defence meets Napoli’s unbeaten home record in this fixture; tight, tense, and shared spoils.
Napoli vs AS Roma H2H
- 15 Feb 2026 — Napoli 2-2 Roma (Serie A)
- 30 Nov 2025 — Roma 0-1 Napoli (Serie A)
- 2 Feb 2025 — Roma 1-1 Napoli (Serie A)
- 24 Nov 2024 — Napoli 1-0 Roma (Serie A)
Pre Game Odds
- Napoli to win — 2.90 (1xBet)
- Draw — 3.54 (1xBet)
- AS Roma to win — 2.60 (Bet365)
These Napoli vs AS Roma prediction odds were taken via sportytrader and are correct at the time of writing.
Team News Napoli
Napoli’s injury list remains a concern: Alessandro Buongiorno, David Neres, Costantino Favasuli and Alisson Santos are all out injured. There is better news on Antonio Vergara, who has resumed team training and could be involved. Kevin De Bruyne is Napoli’s league top scorer with three goals, despite his midweek penalty miss against Venezia.
Team News AS Roma
Roma are without Paulo Dybala (calf strain), Manu Kone (thigh), Mile Svilar (toe) and Lorenzo Pellegrini (new midweek injury). Bryan Cristante is back in full training, while Donyell Malen is back from suspension and is Roma’s top scorer this season.
Napoli vs AS Roma Prediction: Possible Lineups
Napoli possible XI (3-4-2-1): Meret; Beukema, Marin, Rrahmani; Di Lorenzo, Lobotka, McTominay, Spinazzola; Politano, De Bruyne; Hojlund.
AS Roma possible XI (3-4-2-1): Gollini; Mancini, Ndicka, Hermoso; Lulli, De Roon, Pisilli, Wesley; Soule, Mora; Malen.
These possible lineups follow the freshest Sports Mole team news; sources conflict, with Khel Now listing Badiashile, Gilmour and Lucca for Napoli, and Balerdi, Koulierakis and Rensch for Roma.
Napoli vs AS Roma Betting Tips
Our Napoli vs AS Roma prediction produces three value bets:
- Tip 1 — Result: Draw. Roma’s unbeaten run and Napoli’s home record in this fixture cancel each other out, with 1-1 the standout correct-score call.
- Tip 2 — Over-Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.5 goals. Three of the last four meetings went under, and Roma have the tightest defence in Serie A.
- Tip 3 — BTTS Yes-No: No. Roma have yet to concede an away goal this season, and Napoli’s attack has stuttered in big games.
