In this preview, we see a match at the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo is the setting for a crucial Serie A encounter on Sunday, as Atalanta BC host ACF Fiorentina. Both teams are enduring highly disappointing domestic campaigns, sitting uncharacteristically low in the Serie A table. Atalanta, in 13th place, have struggled for wins, while Fiorentina are mired in a full-blown crisis, languishing in 19th and still seeking their first league victory of the season after 12 matches.
Despite their poor league form, Atalanta recently secured a morale-boosting 3-0 victory in the Champions League, suggesting that the quality and attacking intent under new boss Raffaele Palladino remain potent. For Fiorentina, the problems run deeper across both attack and defense. This match preview highlights why the desperation for three points from both sides, coupled with the traditionally high-scoring nature of this fixture, makes it an attractive proposition for punters. Bettors looking for the best odds and markets for this high-stakes Italian clash should consider placing their wagers at Betano.
Atalanta vs Fiorentina Match Preview
Atalanta’s league form is deeply concerning, with no wins in their last five Serie A outings (D2, L3). Their home form has also been patchy throughout 2025, winning just three of 17 matches in Bergamo. However, their superior underlying metrics for creativity and the recent European success suggest they have the firepower to dominate proceedings against a vulnerable defense. The pressure is on players like Ademola Lookman and Gianluca Scamacca to convert chances into a much-needed league win.
Fiorentina’s struggles are existential. Their position in the relegation zone with only six points speaks volumes. Manager Paolo Vanoli is yet to register a league win since taking over, and the team’s defense has conceded 19 goals in 12 games, the majority of which have come from set pieces. With key players struggling for form and a number of injury concerns, La Viola will be hoping to frustrate the home side and nick a result on the counter, but their confidence will be severely tested at the Gewiss Stadium.
Team Recent Form
The recent results underscore the difficult period both Italian clubs are navigating in the league.
- Atalanta: WL L W L
- Fiorentina: L D D L L
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Key Stats
Here are three quick, crucial statistics for bettors on this match:
- Over 2.5 Goal Trend: Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 10 of the 12 all-time H2H matches between these two sides.
- Goals Are Expected: Four of the last six meetings between Atalanta and Fiorentina have seen Both Teams to Score (BTTS) land.
- Fiorentina’s Winless Streak: Fiorentina are currently winless in their last 12 Serie A matches, a run stretching back to last season.
Correct Score Prediction
Atalanta 2-1 Fiorentina.
Despite Atalanta’s poor league form, their underlying creative numbers and recent Champions League performance suggest a return to winning ways is imminent, especially against a deeply struggling Fiorentina. La Viola have severe defensive frailties, particularly from set-pieces, which the hosts will look to exploit. However, Fiorentina have scored 10 goals this season, indicating they can still find the net. I anticipate an aggressive display from Atalanta securing a narrow victory, with Fiorentina managing a consolation goal, resulting in the high-scoring 2-1 result that is often seen in this fixture. You can find competitive odds for this specific correct score at trusted bookmakers like Betano.
Atalanta vs Fiorentina H2H
The Head-to-Head record is close, with Fiorentina holding a slight historical edge, but recent matches have been fiercely contested with no draws in the last four meetings.
- Fiorentina has won 23 matches, Atalanta 12, with 16 draws in 51 all-time official encounters.
- In the last six official games, Fiorentina has a slight edge with 4 wins to Atalanta’s 2 wins.
- Four of the last six meetings have seen Both Teams to Score (BTTS) land.
Pre-Game Odds
The betting market heavily favors the home side, Atalanta, despite their recent league struggles, reflecting the crisis at Fiorentina.
- Atalanta Win: 1.70
- Draw: 3.70
- Fiorentina Win: 4.60
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Team News Atalanta
Atalanta have good news on the injury front. Long-term absentee Mitchel Bakker (Cruciate Ligament) remains sidelined, but key center-back Giorgio Scalvini is nearing a return from an adductor issue and may feature. Manager Raffaele Palladino is expected to name a strong side, prioritizing this Serie A fixture over the upcoming Coppa Italia clash. Forward Gianluca Scamacca, who scored in the last league match, is vying for a starting spot with Nikola Krstovic to lead the line alongside Ademola Lookman.
Team News Fiorentina
Fiorentina’s woes are compounded by several significant injuries. Top scorer Moise Kean (Tibia Bruise) is confirmed out, leaving a significant void in their attack. Other confirmed absentees include former Atalanta defender Robin Gosens (Other), Tariq Lamptey (Cruciate Ligament), and Christian Kouame (Cruciate Ligament). The lack of attacking options means the onus will fall on veteran striker Edin Dzeko, who has yet to score a league goal since his summer move.
Predicted Line-Ups
- Atalanta (3-4-2-1): Carnesecchi; Djimsiti, Hien, Koopmeiners; Zappacosta, Éderson, Pašalić, Ruggeri; De Ketelaere, Lookman; Scamacca.
- Fiorentina (3-5-2): Terracciano; Dodo, Milenković, Ranieri; Nico González, Mandragora, Arthur, Bonaventura, Biraghi; Dzeko, Piccoli.
Atalanta vs Fiorentina Betting Tips
- Tip 1 – Result: Atalanta Win.
- Tip 2 – Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.5 Goals.
- Tip 3 – Both Team to Score: Yes.
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