Our Monza vs Cagliari prediction begins with Monza welcoming high-flying Cagliari to the Stadio Brianteo (U-Power Stadium) on Monday 19 October 2026 for a Serie A Matchday 7 clash, with kick-off at 17:30 WAT. It is a meeting of extremes: fourth-placed Cagliari travel with the league’s joint-best defence, while 16th-placed Monza sit just above the drop zone with the worst defensive record in the division and no clean sheet all season. There is added spice in the subplot of Daniel Maldini, Cagliari’s four-goal star, returning to face his former club.
Our Monza vs Cagliari prediction leans towards the visitors making it a club-record fifth straight away Serie A win, but Monza’s open, goal-laden matches suggest this will be anything but comfortable. Here is everything you need: team news, predicted lineups, head-to-head record, pre-game odds and our betting tips.
Monza vs Cagliari Match Preview / Betting Preview
Monza (W1 D1 L4, 4 pts) have scored nine and conceded 15 – no team has conceded more – while Cagliari (W4 D1 L1, 13 pts) have scored six and conceded just three, the joint-best defensive record in Serie A. Ivan Juric’s hosts have lost four of six and shipped goals in every game, whereas Fabio Pisacane’s visitors are unbeaten away (3-0-0) and chasing history on the road. From a betting perspective, our Monza vs Cagliari prediction hinges on the clash between the division’s leakiest defence and its meanest.
Team Recent Form
Monza: L W L D L
- 1-3 at Lazio (11/10)
- 2-1 vs Sassuolo (18/09)
- 2-3 at Lecce (13/09)
- 1-1 vs Parma (06/09)
- 2-3 vs Udinese (29/08)
Monza are through two Coppa Italia ties, including a 0-1 away win at Torino (01/09).
Cagliari: D W W W L
- 1-1 vs Juventus (11/10)
- 1-0 at Udinese (19/09)
- 2-1 at Atalanta (12/09)
- 1-0 vs Lecce (07/09)
- 0-1 vs Inter (30/08)
Cagliari are out of the Coppa Italia after a 1-2 home defeat to Hellas Verona (03/09).
Key Stats
- Monza have conceded in all six league games and own the division’s worst defence (15 conceded, 0 clean sheets).
- Cagliari hold the joint-best defence (3 conceded) and goalkeeper Elia Caprile has kept 3 clean sheets in 6 games.
- Cagliari are unbeaten in their last two league meetings with Monza (W1 D1) and unbeaten away this season (W3 D0 L0).
Correct-score prediction: 1-2 is our predicted scoreline in this Monza vs Cagliari prediction – we expect Cagliari’s defensive solidity and perfect away record to edge it against the league’s worst defence, with Monza finding the net in an open contest.
Monza vs Cagliari H2H
- 30/03/2025 – Cagliari 3-0 Monza
- 05/01/2025 – Monza 1-2 Cagliari
- 16/03/2024 – Monza 1-0 Cagliari
- 26/11/2023 – Cagliari 1-1 Monza
Pre Game Odds
- Monza win – 2.49
- Draw – 3.26
- Cagliari win – 3.26
In the goals markets for this Monza vs Cagliari prediction: Over 2.5 goals 2.05 / Under 2.5 goals 1.75; BTTS Yes 1.80 / No 2.00 (Oddspedia).
Team News Monza
Monza are without Lorenzo Lucchesi, who serves a suspension after his straight red card against Lazio, while captain Matteo Pessina and Jan Ziolkowski are injured. Idrissa Touré and Patrick Ciurria are close to returning. Key man Gustavo Varela, with four league goals in five appearances, leads the line for Ivan Juric’s 3-4-2-1 side and is a key figure in our Monza vs Cagliari prediction.
Monza predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Törnqvist; Kouadio, Goglichidze, Carboni; Birindelli, Akinsanmiro, Folorunsho, Mangas; Ngonge, Robinson; Varela.
Team News Cagliari
Cagliari boss Fabio Pisacane serves a touchline ban, but the visitors welcome back Kevin Carlos and Alessandro Deiola from injury. Mattia Felici, Yael Trepy and Riyad Idrissi remain out. Daniel Maldini (four goals) and Paul Mendy lead the attack, with Michel Ndary Adopo (two assists) driving the midfield and Elia Caprile in goal.
Cagliari predicted lineup (4-3-2-1): Caprile; Zé Pedro, Mina, Rodríguez, Obert; Adopo, Winks, Romano; Fazzini, Maldini; Mendy.
Monza vs Cagliari Betting Tips
Our Monza vs Cagliari prediction is backed by the following betting angles:
- Tip 1 – Result: Cagliari win. The visitors’ joint-best defence and perfect 3-0-0 away record should overcome the league’s worst defence, with Maldini set to haunt his former club.
- Tip 2 – Over-Under 2.5: Over 2.5 goals. Monza’s games have been goal-laden all season and their defence keeps leaking, while Cagliari have the firepower to punish them.
- Tip 3 – BTTS Yes-No: Yes. Monza have scored in most games and should breach Cagliari at home, but the visitors’ attack looks too strong to keep quiet.
That wraps up our Monza vs Cagliari prediction: back Cagliari to win 2-1, over 2.5 goals and BTTS. Odds correct at the time of writing via Oddspedia, with league data from Lega Serie A. For more Italian football coverage, visit Sports Buddy.
