PREVIEW: Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig Prediction, H2H, Team News, Possible Line-ups, and Expert Betting Tips

Match Analysis

Advanced statistical breakdown and prediction model

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
vs.
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
final results:
1 - 0

Our Prediction

Bayern Munich to win
Bayern Munich to win
Bayern Munich to win

Hot tip:

Bayern Munich to win

Bayern is currently unbeaten in the league and recently thrashed Leipzig 5-1 in January. While Leipzig is a top-four side, Bayern’s dominance at the Allianz Arena and their clinical finishing this season make them the clear choice to take all three points.

Draw no bet

Bayern Munich

,

Total goals

Over 2.5

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In this preview, Bayern Munich welcomes RB Leipzig to the Allianz Arena this Wednesday for a high-octane DFB-Pokal quarter-final clash. The Bavarian giants enter this tie in fearsome form, most recently dismantling Hoffenheim 5-1, with January recruit Luis Díaz netting a spectacular hat-trick. Vincent Kompany’s side has turned the Allianz Arena into a slaughterhouse this season, and they will be eager to repeat the clinical performance that saw them thrash Leipzig 5-1 in their last league meeting just three weeks ago.

RB Leipzig, however, remains one of the most resilient cup teams in Germany, boasting an incredible record in the DFB-Pokal over the last five years. Despite their recent heavy defeat to Bayern, Marco Rose’s men bounced back with a 2-1 victory over FC Köln and will be looking to their “knockout pedigree” to cause an upset in Munich. For punters eyeing the best value, this betting preview suggests that while Bayern are favorites, the visitors’ ability to strike on the break cannot be ignored. You can find the latest live odds and goal markets at Betano.

Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig Betting Preview

Team Recent Form

Bayern Munich: W D W L W

RB Leipzig: W L D W L

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Key Stats

  • Ruthless Rekordmeister: Bayern Munich has won 12 of their last 20 matches by a margin of two or more goals, showing a devastating level of efficiency in the final third.
  • Cup Specialists: RB Leipzig has won 24 of their last 30 DFB-Pokal matches, underlining their status as a team that thrives under knockout pressure.
  • Goal Fest Trend: Both teams have scored in four of the last five meetings between these two sides, with their January encounter producing six goals. For a wide range of “Both Teams to Score” markets, check out Betano.

Correct Score Prediction

Exact Correct Score: Bayern Munich 2-1 RB Leipzig.

While Bayern recently put five past Leipzig, a quarter-final cup tie at the Allianz Arena is likely to be a more calculated affair. Leipzig has shown they can stay competitive, having covered the +1.75 Asian Handicap line in 8 of their last 10 away matches. However, the sheer gravity of Harry Kane in the box and the explosive form of Michael Olise—who has five goals in his last ten home games—should give Bayern the edge. Leipzig’s Christoph Baumgartner is in scoring form, and we expect the “Red Bulls” to find the net, but Bayern’s depth should see them progress.

Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig H2H

  • Recent Dominance: Bayern Munich has won the last two meetings against Leipzig by an aggregate score of 11-1.
  • Home Record: Bayern is unbeaten in 19 of their last 20 home matches at the Allianz Arena across all competitions.
  • Goal Average: Head-to-head meetings since 2024 have averaged 3.8 goals per game.
  • Clean Sheet Rarity: Bayern has managed to keep a clean sheet in only 40% of their last 30 home outings, suggesting Leipzig will have chances.

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Pre-game Odds

  • Bayern Munich Win: 1.28
  • Draw: 6.10
  • RB Leipzig Win: 8.50

Explore specialized player prop bets, including Harry Kane to score anytime, at Betano.

Team News Bayern Munich

Vincent Kompany has a relatively healthy squad, but will be monitoring the fitness of Serge Gnabry after a minor knock. The spotlight remains on Luis Díaz, who is in red-hot form following his weekend hat-trick. Aleksandar Pavlović is expected to dictate the tempo from midfield alongside Joshua Kimmich, while Jonathan Tah provides the veteran presence in the backline.

Team News RB Leipzig

Ole Werner is missing several key defensive pieces. Castello Lukeba (knee) and Assan Ouédraogo are ruled out, while Viggo Gebel is a long-term absentee with a cruciate ligament injury. However, the attack remains potent with Antonio Nusa and Rômulo Cardoso expected to start. Christoph Baumgartner, fresh off a brace against Köln, will be the primary creative threat.

Predicted Lineups

Bayern Munich (4-2-3-1): Neuer; Stanišić, Upamecano, Tah, Davies; Kimmich, Pavlović; Olise, Musiala, Díaz; Kane.

RB Leipzig (4-2-2-2): Gulácsi; Henrichs, Orbán, Klostermann, Raum; Seiwald, Schlager; Baumgartner, Nusa; Rômulo, Diomande.

Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig Betting Tips

  • Tip 1 – Result: Bayern Munich Win
  • Tip 2 – Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.5 goals
  • Tip 3 – Both Teams to Score: Yes

For the best betting experience and high-limit markets on the DFB-Pokal, we recommend Betano.

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