PREVIEW: Leeds United vs Arsenal Prediction, H2H, Team News, Possible Line-ups, and Expert Betting Tips

Match Analysis

Advanced statistical breakdown and prediction model

Leeds United
Leeds United
vs.
Arsenal
Arsenal
final results:
1 - 0

Our Prediction

Arsenal to win
Arsenal to win
Arsenal to win

Hot tip:

Arsenal to win

Arsenal are currently sitting at the top of the table and have maintained a dominant H2H record against Leeds, winning their last seven meetings.

Draw no bet

Arsenal

,

Total goals

Over 1.5

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In this preview, the Premier League returns to the historic Elland Road this Saturday as Leeds United host league leaders Arsenal in what promises to be a high-stakes encounter. Leeds, currently battling for mid-table security, have proven to be a tough nut to crack on home soil, while Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal are desperate to bounce back from a recent stumble against Manchester United to maintain their lead at the summit. With the atmosphere at Elland Road expected to be electric, this clash offers plenty of intrigue for those looking for value in the betting markets.

As the title race heats up, this match preview highlights two sides with contrasting objectives but similar needs for three points. Arsenal have historically dominated this fixture, but Daniel Farke has instilled a grit in this Leeds side that was evident in their recent 1-1 draw at Everton. For punters looking to capitalize on these trends, you can find the latest competitive odds and markets on Betano.

Leeds United vs Arsenal Betting Preview

Team Recent Form

Leeds United: D W W L D

Arsenal: W L W D W

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Key Stats

  • Gunners Dominance: Arsenal have won each of their last seven head-to-head meetings against Leeds across all competitions, a streak dating back to 2021.
  • Elland Road BTTS: Eight of Leeds United’s last nine home league games have seen both teams find the back of the net, suggesting a high probability of goals at both ends.
  • January Blues: Despite being top of the table, Arsenal have won only one of their four Premier League matches in January 2026, showing a slight dip in their mid-winter clinical edge.

Correct Score Prediction

My correct score prediction is 1-2 in favor of Arsenal. While Leeds have been remarkably resilient at home—not losing by more than a single goal to any team this season—Arsenal’s quality and need for a title-defining response should carry them over the line. The Gunners’ recent defensive lapses, coupled with Leeds’ scoring record at Elland Road, make a “win to nil” unlikely for the visitors. Expect a cagey affair where Arsenal’s superior bench strength, featuring the likes of Viktor Gyokeres, makes the difference late in the second half. For those eyeing this scoreline, check the live markets on Betano.

Leeds United vs Arsenal H2H

  • Arsenal are unbeaten at Elland Road in their last eight visits, winning six and drawing two.
  • The last meeting between these two in August 2025 ended in a dominant 5-0 victory for the Gunners at the Emirates.
  • Leeds United have not kept a clean sheet against Arsenal in their last 14 competitive attempts.
  • Seven of the last nine encounters between these two clubs have produced at least three goals (Over 2.5).

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Pre-game Odds

  • Leeds United Win: 6.10
  • Draw: 4.37
  • Arsenal Win: 1.57

You can track the live odds on Betano.

Team News Leeds United

Daniel Farke received a massive boost with the return of midfielder Anton Stach, who played 85 minutes in the draw against Everton and is expected to start. However, the Whites will be without Felix Nmecha and Jaka Bijol, who are both ruled out through injury. James Justin remains a key threat from the flank after his goal-scoring performance last week, while Dominic Calvert-Lewin will lead the line hoping to improve on his recent woodwork-striking luck.

Team News Arsenal

Mikel Arteta has a few selection headaches following the midweek Champions League victory over Kairat. Jurrien Timber remains an injury doubt, meaning Ben White is likely to retain his spot at right-back. Max Dowman is still sidelined with ankle ligament damage. On a positive note, Kai Havertz and Riccardo Calafiori are fully fit and expected to return to the starting XI after being rotated. New signing Viktor Gyokeres is pushing for a start after a goal-scoring cameo in Europe. 

Predicted Line-ups

Leeds United (4-2-3-1): Darlow; Justin, Rodon, Struijk, Firpo; Stach, Ampadu; James, Aaronson, Gnonto; Calvert-Lewin.

Arsenal (4-3-3): Raya; White, Saliba, Gabriel, Calafiori; Rice, Odegaard, Havertz; Saka, Gyokeres, Martinelli.

Leeds United vs Arsenal Betting Tips

Tip 1 – Result: Arsenal Win. 

Tip 2 – Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.5 goals. 

Tip 3 – Both Teams To Score: Yes.

For the most up-to-date odds on these tips, visit Betano.

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