In this preview, La Liga action heads to the Estadi Mallorca Son Moix this Saturday, as a struggling Mallorca side hosts the European-chasing Athletic Bilbao. Mallorca are currently in a precarious 17th position, sitting just one point above the relegation zone after starting 2026 with consecutive 2-1 defeats. Manager Jagoba Arrasate is under immense pressure to deliver a result at home, where the “Pirates” have been significantly more competitive, losing only one of their last eight league matches at Son Moix.
Athletic Bilbao, currently 8th in the standings, are looking to snap a three-match winless streak in La Liga. While their home form remains a fortress, Ernesto Valverde’s men have struggled on their travels, losing five away games already this season. This match preview highlights a clash of desperation versus ambition; Mallorca needs points to breathe, while Bilbao needs them to keep their European dreams alive. To get the best value on these markets, we recommend checking out Betano for updated odds and special price boosts.
Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao Betting Preview
Team Recent Form
Mallorca: LLDLW
Athletic Bilbao: WLDLW
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Key Stats
- Home Comforts: Mallorca have lost only one of their last eight home league games (W3, D4), a stark contrast to their dismal away form.
- Low-Scoring Lions: Six of Athletic Bilbao’s previous eight away league matches have produced fewer than 2.5 goals, as the Basque side often struggles to find the net on the road.
- Early Deficits: Mallorca have conceded the first goal in 12 league games this season, the joint-highest in the division.7
Correct Score Prediction: 1-1
My exact correct score prediction is 1-1. Mallorca are notoriously difficult to beat at Son Moix, and with Vedat Muriqi spearheading the attack, they possess enough aerial threat to hurt a Bilbao side that has conceded in four consecutive games. Conversely, Athletic Bilbao have a superior head-to-head record but have lacked a clinical edge in recent away outings. Given both teams’ recent inconsistencies, a hard-fought draw seems the most logical outcome. You can find the best odds for a stalemate at Betano.
Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao H2H
- Unbeaten Run: Athletic Bilbao are unbeaten in their last eight league matches against Mallorca.
- Reverse Fixture: The earlier meeting this season ended in a 2-1 victory for Athletic Bilbao at San Mamés in October.
- Low-Scoring History: Three of the last five encounters between these two at Son Moix have ended in draws, with two of those being 0-0.
- Historical Lead: In 72 historical meetings, Athletic Bilbao holds the advantage with 33 wins to Mallorca’s 19.
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Pre-game Odds
- Mallorca (Home): 3.75
- Draw: 3.10
- Athletic Bilbao (Away): 2.25
For real-time updates on the squad, visit Betano.
Team News: Mallorca
Jagoba Arrasate will be without key right-back Pablo Maffeo, who is suspended for this clash. Captain Antonio Raíllo is a major doubt due to a physical setback, while Manu Morlanes remains on the recovery path. The goalscoring burden rests heavily on Vedat Muriqi, who has already netted 11 times this season.
Team News: Athletic Bilbao
Ernesto Valverde has defensive concerns as Aitor Paredes is facing a ban following a red card in the Copa del Rey. Yeray Álvarez is also unavailable due to a doping suspension. On a positive note, Nico Williams and Iñaki Williams are both fit and expected to start on the wings to provide service for Gorka Guruzeta.
Predicted Line-ups
Mallorca (4-4-2): Román; Morey, Valjent, Kumbulla, Mojica; Sánchez, Costa, Mascarell, Lato; Virgili, Muriqi.
Athletic Bilbao (4-2-3-1): Simón; Gorosabel, Vivian, Lekue, Boiro; Galarreta, Jauregizar; I. Williams, Sancet, N. Williams; Guruzeta.
Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao Betting Tips
Tip 1 – Result: Draw
Tip 2 – Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.5 goals
Tip 3 – Both Teams to Score: Yes
To explore more markets for this La Liga showdown, including player performance and corner stats, check out Betano.
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