In this preview, the Serie A season continues this Saturday with a compelling fixture at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona as Napoli host Fiorentina. Napoli, currently sitting 4th in the table under Antonio Conte, are looking to recover from a difficult week that saw them suffer a heavy 3-0 defeat to Juventus and a narrow Champions League exit at the hands of Chelsea. Despite these setbacks, the Partenopei remain formidable in Naples, boasting a strong home record that makes them the clear favorites for this encounter.
Fiorentina, by contrast, are enduring a bruising campaign and find themselves languishing in 18th place, deeply mired in the relegation zone. While the Viola managed a 2-1 win over Cagliari recently, their away form has been poor, with just one victory on the road all season. This match preview highlights a clash between a side chasing Champions League football and another fighting for survival, providing a ripe opportunity for bettors. To get the best value on these contrasting forms, check out the live markets at Betano.
Napoli vs Fiorentina Betting Preview
Team Recent Form
Napoli: L L D W D
Fiorentina: L L W D D
Read More On: PREVIEW: Paris FC vs Marseille Prediction
Key Stats
- Home Fortress: Napoli have won seven and drawn three of their home league fixtures this season, maintaining one of the best defensive records at home in Serie A.
- Scoring Struggles: Fiorentina have failed to score in over 30% of their away matches this season, struggling to break down top-six opposition.
- Clean Sheet Kings: Napoli have kept 9 clean sheets in 22 matches so far this season, emphasizing Antonio Conte’s focus on defensive organization.
Correct Score Prediction
My correct score prediction is 2-0 in favor of Napoli. Despite their recent losses to Juventus and Chelsea, Napoli’s tactical discipline under Conte usually sees them comfortably dispatch lower-ranked sides at home. Fiorentina’s lack of clinical finishing away from home suggests they will struggle to breach the Napoli backline, while the hosts possess enough individual quality in Rasmus Hojlund and Eljif Elmas to find the net. Expect a professional, if not spectacular, performance from the home side. You can back a Napoli clean sheet or specific scorelines at Betano.
Napoli vs Fiorentina H2H
- Napoli are unbeaten in their last five meetings against Fiorentina, recording 4 wins and 1 draw.
- The reverse fixture earlier this season in January 2025 ended in a convincing 3-0 win for Napoli in Florence.
- Fiorentina have managed only one win in their last six visits to the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
- In the last three Serie A encounters between these two, Napoli have outscored Fiorentina by an aggregate of 8-2.
Pre-game Odds
- Napoli Win: 1.78
- Draw: 3.74
- Fiorentina Win: 4.50
For the latest odds updates, visit Betano.
Team News Napoli
Antonio Conte is currently navigating a significant injury crisis that has hampered his midfield and defensive options. Amir Rrahmani is out with a thigh strain, while Billy Gilmour (pubalgia) and Matteo Politano (hamstring) are also sidelined. Most notably, star playmaker Kevin De Bruyne is unavailable due to a muscle injury. However, the return of Alex Meret to the squad provides stability in goal, and Rasmus Hojlund is expected to lead the attack supported by the creative duo of Elmas and Vergara.
Team News Fiorentina
Fiorentina manager Paolo Vanoli also has several absences to manage. Tariq Lamptey and Fabiano Parisi are both out with long-term injuries, while star striker Moise Kean is a major doubt with ankle problems. The Viola will rely heavily on Jack Harrison and Manor Solomon to provide the pace and width needed to trouble the Napoli wing-backs.
Predicted Line-ups
Napoli (3-4-2-1): Meret; Di Lorenzo, Juan Jesus, Buongiorno; Gutierrez, Lobotka, McTominay, Spinazzola; Vergara, Elmas; Hojlund.
Fiorentina (4-3-3): De Gea; Pongracic, Comuzzo, Ranieri, Gosens; Fabbian, Fagioli, Ndour; Solomon, Gudmundsson, Harrison.
Napoli vs Fiorentina Betting Tips
Tip 1 – Result: Napoli Win.
Tip 2 – Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.5 goals.
Tip 3 – Both Teams To Score: No.
Find all these markets and more at Betano.
Affiliate Disclosure: This post contains affiliate links. If you click through and place a bet, we may receive a commission at no additional cost to you. Full terms and conditions apply | gambleaware.org | Gamble responsibly | 18+
