PREVIEW: Sweden vs Slovenia Prediction, H2H, Team News, Possible Line-ups, and Expert Betting Tips

Match Analysis

Advanced statistical breakdown and prediction model

Sweden
vs.
Slovenia
final results:
1 - 0

Our Prediction

Sweden to Win
Sweden to Win
Sweden to Win

Hot tip:

Sweden to Win

We anticipate a tight, low-scoring affair where Sweden's home advantage and desperation to avoid a winless campaign ultimately proves decisive.

Double Chance:

Sweden to Win or Draw

,

Total Goals:

Under 2.5

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Sweden vs Slovenia Preview: The Friends Arena in Solna hosts a Group B World Cup qualification (WCQ) dead rubber as already-eliminated Sweden welcomes Slovenia with both teams seeking their first victory of the campaign. While automatic qualification is beyond both nations, pride and momentum for future competitions are at stake in this final group encounter. This match preview analyses whether Sweden can avoid a historic winless campaign or if Slovenia can secure a respectable finish, offering valuable insights for bettors at Betano. This Sweden vs Slovenia betting preview finds both teams in disappointing form but with different contexts. Sweden’s 4-1 defeat to Switzerland in Graham Potter’s first game in charge extended their losing streak to four matches, leaving them facing the prospect of their first-ever winless WCQ campaign. However, they have qualified for the play-offs via their Nations League performance and will be desperate to build momentum. Slovenia’s 2-0 loss to Kosovo ended their play-off hopes and consigned them to a fourth successive failure to reach the World Cup finals, but they can avoid finishing last in Group B with a positive result.

Sweden vs Slovenia Match Preview

This Sweden vs Slovenia preview presents a battle between two teams seeking redemption after disappointing campaigns. Sweden will be motivated to avoid the embarrassment of a winless qualification campaign and to build confidence ahead of their upcoming play-off matches. Their strong historical home record—winning five consecutive home matches before two recent losses—provides reason for optimism. Slovenia, while eliminated, has shown resilience in away matches (W2, D3, L1 in last six) and will be determined to finish their campaign on a positive note. The key battle in this Sweden vs Slovenia betting preview will be whether Sweden’s desperation for victory can overcome Slovenia’s organized defensive approach and counter-attacking threat.

Team Recent Form

Assessing the recent form is crucial for this Sweden vs Slovenia preview. Sweden: LLLLW Slovenia: LDDLL READMORE: PREVIEW: Scotland vs Denmark Prediction

Key Stats

  • Sweden haven’t seen a draw in their last 16 home matches (W11, L5).
  • Seven of Slovenia’s last ten matches returned under 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams have aggregated just five goals combined in this WCQ campaign.

Correct Score Prediction

Our correct score prediction for this Sweden vs Slovenia preview is Sweden 1-0 Slovenia. We anticipate a tight, low-scoring affair where Sweden’s home advantage and desperation to avoid a winless campaign ultimately proves decisive. Despite their poor recent form, Sweden’s strong historical home record and the quality of players like Alexander Isak should be enough to secure a narrow victory. Slovenia’s respectable away form and defensive organization will make them difficult to break down, but their own scoring struggles—combined with Sweden’s motivation—suggest they’ll struggle to find the net. The match is likely to be decided by a single goal, reflecting both teams’ offensive difficulties throughout the campaign. For the best odds on this scoreline, check Betano.

Sweden vs Slovenia H2H

  • The reverse fixture in September ended in a 2-2 draw.
  • Three of the last four head-to-head meetings have ended as draws.
  • Sweden won the remaining match in their last four encounters.
  • The recent head-to-head history suggests a closely contested match.

Pre Game Odds

  • Sweden to Win: 1.85
  • Draw: 3.40
  • Slovenia to Win: 4.20
READMORE: PREVIEW: Chad vs Mozambique Prediction

Team News Sweden

Sweden will be without Emil Holm, who was withdrawn with an injury against Switzerland. The attacking threat will be led by Alexander Isak, who has seen his last three strikes for Sweden come in home wins and after the half-hour mark, providing a potential key weapon for Graham Potter’s side.

Team News Slovenia

Slovenia will be missing Petar Stojanović due to suspension after he picked up a red card against Kosovo. Their main attacking hope is Andraž Šporar, whose goals have proven to be a positive omen for Slovenia—they have never lost in the ten games he has scored (W6, D4).

Predicted Line-ups

Sweden: Olsen (GK); Lustig, Lindelöf, Hien, Augustinsson; Cajuste, Olsson, Karlsson; Forsberg, Isak, Gyökeres. Slovenia: Oblak (GK); Karničnik, Blažič, Drkušić, Janža; Stojanović, Gorenc-Stankovič, Cerin; Mlakar, Šporar, Elšnik.

Sweden vs Slovenia Betting Tips

Tip 1 – Result: Sweden Win. Home advantage and their need to avoid a winless campaign make them the pick. Tip 2 – Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.5 goals. Both teams’ scoring struggles throughout the campaign suggest fewer goals. Tip 3 – Both Teams to Score: No. Sweden’s home defensive record and Slovenia’s away scoring difficulties make BTTS unlikely. For the latest odds and to place your bets on this Sweden vs Slovenia preview, we recommend visiting Betano.

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