Arsenal vs Everton prediction is the focus of our Saturday preview as the Gunners return to the Emirates Stadium for a 15:00 WAT Premier League kick-off on 24 October 2026. Second-placed Arsenal (18 points from 7 games) are chasing leaders Manchester City after a hard-fought 1-0 win at Nottingham Forest — their sixth win in seven league games — while eighth-placed Everton (10 points from 7) arrive in north London licking their wounds after a first league defeat of the season.
Our Arsenal vs Everton prediction weighs up a fascinating contrast. Arsenal’s midweek 2-2 draw at Bayern Munich in the Champions League showcased their quality, but it came at a heavy cost: Bukayo Saka’s thigh injury — which Mikel Arteta admitted “doesn’t look good at all” — sidelines the England winger for a few weeks and forces a reshuffle that could hand Viktor Gyokeres and Eberechi Eze the spotlight. Everton, unbeaten before last weekend, were beaten 0-2 at home by Chelsea and now visit a ground where they have won just once in 30 attempts. David Moyes’ men are fully fit, though, and Thierno Barry’s league-leading shot volume gives them hope of troubling the league’s meanest defence.
Arsenal vs Everton Match Preview
The Emirates Stadium has become a fortress under Arteta. Arsenal have won 8 of their last 9 Premier League home games, and have won all 4 home matches this season, scoring at least 2 goals in each. With the league’s best expected goals against per 90 (0.79 xGA), the Gunners are built on defensive solidity, and Saturday’s 15:00 WAT kick-off is another chance to keep the pressure on City at the summit.
Everton’s challenge is clear: end a miserable away record. The Toffees have a league-high 4 draws this season, are winless away in the Premier League so far, and haven’t won on the road in the league since late February. Opta’s supercomputer gives Arsenal a 69.5% win probability, but Moyes’ well-drilled side — unbeaten in the league until last weekend — will not roll over.
Team Recent Form
Arsenal (D-W-W-W-L) — 2nd, 18 pts:
- 21 Oct: Bayern Munich 2-2 Arsenal (Champions League)
- 18 Oct: Nottingham Forest 0-1 Arsenal (Premier League)
- 13 Oct: Arsenal 3-0 Lille (Champions League)
- 10 Oct: Arsenal 2-1 Leeds United (Premier League)
- 19 Sep: Brighton 3-0 Arsenal (Premier League)
Everton (L-D-W-W-D) — 8th, 10 pts:
- 17 Oct: Everton 0-2 Chelsea (Premier League)
- 11 Oct: Hull City 2-2 Everton (Premier League)
- 19 Sep: Everton 1-0 Ipswich Town (Premier League)
- 16 Sep: Everton 1-0 Wolves (Carabao Cup)
- 12 Sep: Tottenham 0-0 Everton (Premier League)
Key Stats
- Arsenal have won 8 of their last 9 Premier League home games and have won all 4 home matches this season, scoring 2+ goals in each.
- Arsenal hold the league’s best xGA per 90 (0.79) and have kept clean sheets in 5 of their last 7 games against Everton.
- Everton have a league-high 4 draws, are winless away in the Premier League this season, and haven’t won on the road in the league since late February; Opta’s supercomputer gives Arsenal a 69.5% win probability.
Arsenal vs Everton Prediction: Correct Score
2-0 — Arsenal’s mean defence against an Everton side winless away all season; the Gunners’ quality tells despite Saka’s absence.
Arsenal vs Everton H2H
- 14 Mar 2026 — Arsenal 2-0 Everton (Premier League, Emirates Stadium)
- 20 Dec 2025 — Everton 0-1 Arsenal (Premier League, Hill Dickinson Stadium)
- 5 Apr 2025 — Everton 1-1 Arsenal (Premier League, Goodison Park)
- 14 Dec 2024 — Arsenal 0-0 Everton (Premier League, Emirates Stadium)
Note: Arsenal are unbeaten in the last 7 Premier League meetings with Everton (W5 D2) — a record that underpins our Arsenal vs Everton prediction of another home win.
Pre Game Odds
- Arsenal win: 1.50
- Draw: 4.57
- Everton win: 7.70
Odds via 1xBet, as listed on SportyTrader’s Arsenal vs Everton betting tips page. Those prices shape our Arsenal vs Everton prediction, with the home win the standout value at 1.50.
Team News Arsenal
OUT: Bukayo Saka (thigh — out for a few weeks), Christos Tzolis (hamstring), William Saliba (back).
DOUBT: Piero Hincapié (ankle — could yet get the green light). Arteta’s reshuffle is factored into our Arsenal vs Everton prediction, with Eze expected to start on the left in Saka’s absence.
Team News Everton
David Moyes has a fully fit squad to choose from. Christian Nørgaard has recovered from a groin injury and made his Toffees debut off the bench against Chelsea. (One outlier report listed striker Beto as a doubt, but the majority of sources say Everton are fully fit.)
Arsenal possible starting lineup (4-2-3-1, via Sports Mole): Raya; White, Konsa, Gabriel, Calafiori; Lewis-Skelly, Rice; Madueke, Odegaard, Eze; Gyokeres. (Havertz could start ahead of Gyokeres; Guimarães could keep his place ahead of Lewis-Skelly.)
Everton possible starting lineup (4-2-3-1, via Opta Analyst): Pickford; Maitland-Niles, Tarkowski, Branthwaite, Mykolenko; Garner, Armstrong; Brennan Johnson, Dewsbury-Hall, Grealish; Barry. (Merlin Rohl could start ahead of Brennan Johnson.)
Arsenal vs Everton Betting Tips
Tip 1 – Result: Arsenal win. The Gunners have won 8 of their last 9 Premier League home games and all 4 at the Emirates this season. Everton have won just once in 30 visits to this ground and are winless away all season — this Arsenal vs Everton prediction points firmly to a home win.
Tip 2 – Over-Under 2.5: Under 2.5 goals. Arsenal own the league’s best xGA per 90 (0.79), have kept clean sheets in 5 of their last 7 against Everton, and three of the last four meetings have produced 1 goal or fewer. Expect a controlled, low-scoring home win.
Tip 3 – BTTS Yes-No: No. With Saka sidelined and Everton failing to score in 5 of their last 7 visits here, both teams scoring looks unlikely. Back at least one side to draw a blank.
