Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction: the London derby headlines Saturday’s Premier League action at Stamford Bridge, with kickoff at 17:30 WAT on 24 October 2026. Fourth hosts sixteenth as Chelsea (13 points from 7 games) welcome a Tottenham side (6 points from 7) that finally ended a six-game winless start on Monday night.
This Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction looks at a fixture the Blues have utterly dominated in recent years: Chelsea have won each of the last five league meetings, and Spurs have won only once in their last 36 visits to Stamford Bridge.
Xabi Alonso’s men have won two on the spin since the international break, 5-1 against Bournemouth and 2-0 at Everton, and their 17 goals are the third-most in the division. Roberto De Zerbi’s Spurs, meanwhile, remain one point clear of the bottom three and are still without an away win all season. A note on kickoff time: one outlier source listed 18:30, but the consensus across 101greatgoals, Squawka, NBC, Sportradar and onefootball is 17:30 WAT.
Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur Match Preview and Prediction
Derbies at the Bridge rarely disappoint, and this one has goals written all over it. Chelsea’s last three home league games produced 5-1, 4-3 and 2-2 scorelines, while Spurs have kept just one clean sheet all season.
The visitors’ newfound confidence in front of goal — they struck three against Coventry — should get them on the scoresheet, but the weight of injuries and a dreadful record in SW6 point firmly to a home win. If you missed how the Blues dismantled the Cherries, see our Chelsea vs Bournemouth prediction for that 5-1 demolition. Our Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction is that the Blues extend their derby streak in front of their own fans.
Team Recent Form
Chelsea (4th, 13 pts) — W-W-L-D-W, most recent first:
- 17 Oct — Everton 0-2 Chelsea (Premier League)
- 10 Oct — Chelsea 5-1 Bournemouth (Premier League)
- 18 Sep — Brentford 3-0 Chelsea (Premier League)
- 12 Sep — Chelsea 2-2 Hull City (Premier League)
- 9 Sep — Chelsea 6-3 Leeds United (Carabao Cup)
Tottenham Hotspur (16th, 6 pts) — W-D-L-L-D, most recent first:
- 19 Oct — Tottenham 3-1 Coventry City (Premier League)
- 10 Oct — Manchester United 1-1 Tottenham (Premier League)
- 19 Sep — Tottenham 2-3 Aston Villa (Premier League)
- 15 Sep — Liverpool 3-1 Tottenham (Carabao Cup)
- 12 Sep — Tottenham 0-0 Everton (Premier League)
Key Stats
The key numbers behind our Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction:
- Chelsea have won each of the last five league meetings; Spurs have won only one of their last 36 visits to Stamford Bridge.
- Chelsea’s 17 league goals are the third-highest in the Premier League, but they have conceded 13 — an extreme 2.43 scored / 1.86 conceded per-game split.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in five of Chelsea’s last six games; all three of Chelsea’s home league games produced 4+ goals (5-1, 4-3, 2-2).
Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction: Correct Score
3-1 — Chelsea’s home firepower against a Spurs side with an injury crisis and no away win all season; Spurs’ newfound goals get them on the scoresheet.
Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur H2H
- 19 May 2026 — Chelsea 2-1 Tottenham (Premier League, Stamford Bridge)
- 1 Nov 2025 — Tottenham 0-1 Chelsea (Premier League)
- 3 Apr 2025 — Chelsea 1-0 Tottenham (Premier League, Stamford Bridge)
- 8 Dec 2024 — Tottenham 3-4 Chelsea (Premier League)
Pre Game Odds
- Chelsea win — 1.76
- Draw — 4.41
- Tottenham Hotspur win — 4.57
Odds from 1xBet via sportytrader, correct at the time of writing. The prices back our Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction of a home win.
Team News Chelsea
- OUT: Emiliano Martinez (fractured jaw, surgery after the Everton win), Reece James (knee), Jamie Gittens (ankle), Emmanuel Emegha, Pep Chavarria.
- DOUBT: Malo Gusto (illness).
With Martinez sidelined, 21-year-old Mike Penders is set to start in goal — he would become Chelsea’s youngest-ever Premier League goalkeeper.
Team News Tottenham
- OUT: Rodrigo Bentancur (suspended, second of a three-match ban), Mykhaylo Mudryk (ankle), Xavi Simons (knee), Wilson Odobert (knee), Lucas Bergvall (knee), Savio (muscle).
- DOUBT: Destiny Udogie (knee), Pedro Porro (hamstring), Omar Marmoush (calf), Tosin Adarabioyo (calf), Andrew Robertson.
Dejan Kulusevski is back after 500+ days out and is likely to be on the bench, while Conor Gallagher is pushing for a recall against his old club. Both issues shape our Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction for the visitors.
Chelsea possible lineup (3-4-2-1): Penders; Acheampong, Lacroix, Colwill; Neto, Caicedo, Henderson, Hato; Palmer, Rogers; Joao Pedro.
Tottenham possible lineup (4-2-3-1): Kinsky; Gray, Van Hecke, Van de Ven, Udogie; Gallagher, Tonali; Kudus, Maddison, Marmoush; Solanke.
One flag on the Spurs shape: the fitness of Pedro Porro and Destiny Udogie decides whether they play a back three or a back four. Possible lineups per Sports Mole (22 Oct) — see the full Chelsea vs Spurs preview and team news on Sports Mole.
Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur Betting Tips
This Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction backs three value plays for the derby:
Tip 1 — Result: Chelsea win.
Tip 2 — Over-Under 2.5: Over 2.5 goals.
Tip 3 — BTTS Yes-No: Yes.
