Our Valencia vs Villarreal prediction favours the visitors for Saturday’s Derbi de la Comunitat at Mestalla (kickoff 17:30 WAT on 24 October 2026). It is a clash of two teams desperate to find their league rhythm: 19th-placed Valencia (6 points from 9) have one win all season, are winless at home, and new boss Javier Aguirre is still waiting for his first victory. Their attack is the bluntest in LaLiga, with just six goals in nine matches.
Villarreal sit 12th with nine points from nine but arrive with European pedigree, having led 2-0 at Anfield on Tuesday before a 4-3 defeat and beaten Napoli 3-1 eight days ago, and they have not lost to Valencia in five meetings. This Valencia vs Villarreal prediction therefore sides with the Yellow Submarine: Los Che must find a way past the visitors’ quality or risk sinking deeper into the relegation zone.
Valencia vs Villarreal Match Preview
Kickoff at Mestalla is at 17:30 WAT on Saturday, 24 October 2026, with Valencia desperate for three points against a Villarreal side that has turned European nights into statements. For context on Los Che’s recent home struggles, see our Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao preview.
Team Recent Form
Valencia: D-D-L-W-L (most recent first)
- 17 Oct — Valencia 0-0 Athletic Bilbao (LaLiga)
- 11 Oct — Racing Santander 2-2 Valencia (LaLiga)
- 20 Sep — Valencia 2-3 Real Sociedad (LaLiga)
- 15 Sep — Deportivo Alavés 0-1 Valencia (LaLiga)
- 11 Sep — Sevilla 1-0 Valencia (LaLiga)
Villarreal: L-D-W-L-W (most recent first)
- 20 Oct — Liverpool 4-3 Villarreal (UEFA Champions League)
- 17 Oct — Villarreal 0-0 Elche (LaLiga)
- 13 Oct — Villarreal 3-1 Napoli (UEFA Champions League)
- 10 Oct — Real Madrid 1-0 Villarreal (LaLiga)
- 20 Sep — Villarreal 3-1 Levante (LaLiga)
Key Stats
- Valencia have one win in nine league games; they are winless in five home matches this season, and their six league goals are the bluntest attack in LaLiga.
- Villarreal are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Valencia, winning the last two: 2-0 at Mestalla in October 2025 and 2-1 at home in February 2026.
- Both teams are coming off 0-0 draws (Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao; Villarreal vs Elche), with Villarreal keeping their first clean sheet of the season against Elche.
0-2 — Valencia’s blunt attack against a Villarreal side unbeaten in this derby for five meetings; the visitors’ quality tells.
Valencia vs Villarreal H2H
- 22 Feb 2026 — Villarreal 2-1 Valencia (LaLiga)
- 25 Oct 2025 — Valencia 0-2 Villarreal (LaLiga, Mestalla)
- 15 Feb 2025 — Villarreal 1-1 Valencia (LaLiga)
- 31 Aug 2024 — Valencia 1-1 Villarreal (LaLiga)
Pre Game Odds
- Valencia win: 3.25 (+225) — BetMGM/best bookies via sportsgambler
- Draw: decimal leg not published on that page (marked as a gap)
- Villarreal win: 2.14 (+114) — BetMGM/best bookies via sportsgambler; 2.22 (122/100, 10bet) via Khel Now
Team News Valencia
- Out: Umar Sadiq, Sergi Canos and Diego Lopez (all injury).
- Doubts: Dimitri Foulquier and Copete, both back in training per Khel Now.
- Javier Aguirre is still waiting for his first win as Valencia head coach.
Team News Villarreal
- Out: Nicolas Pepe (eye operation, out until the end of the month).
- Doubts: Carlos Romero and Nathan Saliba, who are likely to sit out.
- Available: Tajon Buchanan (recovered from hamstring), while Juan Foyth and Ayoze Perez are expected to be introduced to the starting XI after the Liverpool game.
Check Sports Mole for the latest team news and lineups ahead of kickoff.
Valencia possible starting XI (4-2-3-1): Dimitrievski; Maffeo, Tarrega, Haas, Gaya; Rodriguez; Raba, Pepelu, Guerra, Rioja; Danjuma.
Villarreal possible starting XI (4-4-2): Gulacsi; Freeman, Foyth, Veiga, Cardona; Akhomach, Comesana, Gueye, Moleiro; Mikautadze, Perez.
Alternative options: Martinez may start at centre-back and Duro may start up front for Valencia, while Costa and Macia may start for Villarreal.
Valencia vs Villarreal Betting Tips
- Tip 1 — Result: Villarreal win.
- Tip 2 — Over-Under 2.5: Under 2.5 goals.
- Tip 3 — BTTS Yes-No: No.
