in this preview, the Basque Derby returns to San Mamés this Sunday, promising one of the most electric atmospheres in European football. Athletic Bilbao enters this clash looking to reclaim their dominance in the region after a mixed run of form that has seen them slip slightly in the La Liga standings. On the other hand, Real Sociedad arrives with significant momentum, having climbed the table following a string of impressive results. The historical weight of this fixture, combined with the tactical intensity both sides bring to the pitch, makes it a premier destination for savvy bettors.
The match preview indicates a tight affair where home advantage could be the deciding factor. However, the visitors’ clinical nature in front of goal recently suggests they won’t go down without a fight. If you are looking to capitalize on the high-value odds offered for this derby, we recommend checking out the markets at Betano to maximize your potential returns.
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Betting Preview
Team Recent Form
Athletic Bilbao: L L W L W
Real Sociedad: W W W W D
Read More On: PREVIEW: Borussia Dortmund vs Heidenheim Prediction
Key Stats
- Derby Discipline: The Basque Derby is notoriously physical; four of the last six meetings have seen over 5.5 total cards shown, reflecting the fierce rivalry.
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS) Trend: Both sides have found the net in each of their last six respective La Liga matches, highlighting defensive gaps and clinical attacking form.
- San Mamés Strength: Athletic Bilbao has only lost two of their last fifteen home league games, though three of the last five have ended in draws.
Correct Score Prediction: Athletic Bilbao 1-2 Real Sociedad
Based on current momentum and the extensive injury list currently hampering the hosts, I am predicting a 1-2 victory for Real Sociedad. While Athletic Bilbao is always a threat at San Mamés, the likely absence of key figures like Iñaki Williams and defensive leader Aymeric Laporte leaves them vulnerable. Real Sociedad has been “on fire” in January, and their ability to control the midfield through Martín Zubimendi should allow them to edge this contest. For the latest live odds on a Sociedad win, head over to Betano.
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad H2H
- Recent Edge: Real Sociedad won the most recent encounter in November 2025 with a 3-2 victory at the Anoeta.
- Goal Consistency: There has been only one 0-0 draw between these two sides in their last fifteen competitive meetings.
- Home Comforts: Prior to their most recent loss, Athletic Bilbao had won two consecutive home derbies against Sociedad.
- Opening Strike: The team scoring first has gone on to avoid defeat in 8 of the last 10 Basque Derbies.
Read More On: PREVIEW: Leeds United vs Arsenal Prediction
Pre-game Odds
- Athletic Bilbao Win: 2.15
- Draw: 3.30
- Real Sociedad Win: 3.65
(Odds are subject to change; check Betano for the most up-to-date odds.)
Team News Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao is dealing with a significant selection headache. Iñaki Williams, Beñat Prados, and Unai Egiluz are confirmed absentees. There are also late fitness tests pending for Aymeric Laporte (hamstring) and Oihan Sancet. Furthermore, Iñigo Lekue is suspended, forcing a reshuffle in the backline where Yeray Álvarez also remains unavailable.
Team News Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad’s squad looks much healthier by comparison. Takefusa Kubo is the primary injury concern, while Duje Ćaleta-Car is suspended following a recent red card. However, they welcome back Carlos Soler to the midfield, and Mikel Oyarzabal is in peak physical condition to lead the line.
Predicted Line-ups
Athletic Bilbao (4-2-3-1): Simón; Gorosabel, Vivian, Paredes, Berchiche; Ruiz de Galarreta, Jauregizar; Nico Williams, Sancet, Berenguer; Guruzeta.
Real Sociedad (4-3-3): Remiro; Aramburu, Martín, Zubeldia, Gómez; Soler, Zubi, Turrientes; Guedes, Oyarzabal, Barrenetxea.
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Betting Tips
- Tip 1 – Result: Real Sociedad win (or Draw No Bet for a safer option).
- Tip 2 – Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.5 goals.
- Tip 3 – Both Teams to Score: Yes.
For a premium betting experience with the best interface for La Liga football, place your bets at Betano.
Affiliate Disclosure & Disclaimer:
This article contains affiliate links. If you click on these links and place a bet, we may receive a commission at no extra cost to you. Betting involves risk; please ensure you are aware of the risks involved.
Full terms and conditions apply | gambleaware.org | Gamble responsibly | 18+
