PREVIEW: CD Atletico Baleares vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H, Team News, Possible Line-ups, and Expert Betting Tips

In this preview, we see a Copa del Rey match this week as La Liga giants Atlético Madrid travel to the island of Mallorca to face CD Atlético Baleares. The Estadio Balear will be bouncing for this David vs. Goliath clash, with the hosts looking to replicate their heroics of previous seasons where they knocked out top-flight opposition. Diego Simeone’s men, fresh off a solid run of form despite a chaotic schedule, will view this as a must-win to keep their silverware hopes alive in the 2025-26 campaign.

While Los Colchoneros are heavy favorites, matches at this stage of the competition are never straightforward. The artificial turf (if applicable) and the passionate island atmosphere can level the playing field. In this match preview, we analyze whether the lower-league hosts can pull off a historic upset or if Atlético’s quality will shine through. Bettors looking for value in this cup tie can find excellent markets on Betano.

CD Atletico Baleares Vs Atletico Madrid Match Preview

Team Recent Form

CD Atlético Baleares enters this match in strong form in the Segunda Federación, having won back-to-back games to boost their confidence. Atlético Madrid, sitting comfortably in the La Liga top four, have recovered from a slip-up against Sevilla with wins in both the league and Europe.

CD Atletico Baleares: LWWWW
Atletico Madrid: WWLLW

Key Stats

Cup Pedigree: Atlético Madrid have scored at least 3 goals in their last 2 Copa del Rey away matches against lower-league opposition (e.g., vs Cacereño).
Defensive Concerns: Atlético Madrid have failed to keep a clean sheet in 3 of their last 4 competitive matches, suggesting vulnerability to counter-attacks.
Home Strength: Baleares have lost just once in their last 5 home matches at the Estadio Balear, making it a tough venue for visitors.

Correct Score Prediction

CD Atletico Baleares 1-3 Atletico Madrid

While Atlético Baleares will bring intensity and fight, the disparity in technical quality is significant. Diego Simeone is likely to field a rotated but highly capable side featuring hungry forwards. We expect the hosts to have a moment of joy—perhaps grabbing a goal from a set-piece against a rotated Atleti defense—but the La Liga side’s firepower should eventually overwhelm them for a comfortable passage to the next round.

CD Atletico Baleares Vs Atletico Madrid H2H

This is the first competitive meeting between the two sides in recent history.
Baleares famously knocked out La Liga sides Celta Vigo and Getafe in the 2021/22 Copa del Rey before falling to Valencia.
Atlético Madrid have won 8 of their last 10 Copa del Rey matches against teams from the third tier or lower.
Simeone’s side has avoided defeat in the Round of 32 for the last 4 seasons.

Pre-game Odds

CD Atletico Baleares Win: 15.00
Draw: 7.50
Atletico Madrid Win: 1.18

Odds are subject to change. Check the latest odds on Betano.

Team News CD Atletico Baleares

The hosts are expected to field their strongest possible XI for the biggest game of their season. Jaume Pol and the defensive unit will have their work cut out, while the attack will look to capitalize on set-pieces. There are no major new injury concerns reported, meaning the manager can rely on his trusted core that has performed well in the league recently.

Team News Atletico Madrid

Diego Simeone will be without Jose Maria Giménez and Marcos Llorente, who are both sidelined with hamstring injuries until late December. Clement Lenglet is also a doubt with a muscle issue. This opens the door for rotation: expect to see Juan Musso in goal, with opportunities for Javi Galán, Giuliano Simeone. Conor Gallagher and Julián Alvarez will likely be rested or used as impact substitutes.