In this preview, the Bundesliga spotlight shines on the Volksparkstadion this Saturday as Hamburger SV host the perennial champions, Bayern Munich. Hamburg, currently languishing in 14th place and just three points above the relegation zone, face the ultimate test of their top-flight credentials. While the home fans will be in full voice, the reality of their recent form—winless in five—suggests a massive mountain to climb against a Bayern side that is currently dominating the league.
As we look at this match preview, the narrative is one of recovery. Bayern Munich surprisingly saw their 27-match unbeaten Bundesliga streak snapped by Augsburg last weekend, making them a particularly dangerous wounded animal heading into this fixture. For Hamburg, the objective is simple but daunting: avoid the heavy scorelines that have plagued their recent history with the Rekordmeister. For those looking to back a Bayern bounce-back, you can find all the latest markets on Betano.
Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich Betting Preview
Team Recent Form
Hamburger SV: D D L D L
Bayern Munich: W L W W W
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Key Stats
- Century of Dominance: Bayern Munich have won their last 10 consecutive matches against Hamburger SV across all competitions, often by significant margins.
- Goal Guarantee: There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Bayern Munich’s last 20 consecutive Bundesliga matches, the longest such streak in the league’s history.
- First-Half Masters: Bayern have been leading at both half-time and full-time in 15 of their last 18 encounters with HSV.
Correct Score Prediction
My correct score prediction is 0-4 in favor of Bayern Munich. While Hamburg managed a gritty 0-0 draw in the city derby against St. Pauli last week, the step up in quality here is exponential. Vincent Kompany is likely to demand a ruthless response following the shock defeat to Augsburg, and with Harry Kane in chasing a contract-extending goal-scoring run, Hamburg’s defense—which has conceded an average of 1.5 goals per game—is unlikely to hold firm. Expect Bayern to control the game from the first whistle and exploit Hamburg’s high defensive line. To bet on this dominant scoreline, visit Betano.
Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich H2H
- Bayern Munich won the reverse fixture 5-0 at the Allianz Arena in September 2025.
- Hamburger SV have failed to score against Bayern in three of their last five competitive meetings.
- The aggregate score over the last five encounters between these two is 23-2 in favor of the Bavarians.
- HSV’s last victory over Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga dates back to September 2009.
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Pre-game Odds
- Hamburger SV Win: 9.25
- Draw: 6.40
- Bayern Munich Win: 1.31
You can track the final odds updates on Betano.
Team News Hamburger SV
The injury list at the Volksparkstadion makes a tough task even harder for the hosts. Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit suffered a serious ankle injury in the derby and is out for the long term. Striker Damion Downs is a major doubt with a calf strain, though Robert Glatzel and Jean-Luc Dompe have been cleared to play. Fernando Dickes and Aboubaka Soumahoro are also expected to miss out due to illness and a knock, respectively.
Team News Bayern Munich
Vincent Kompany rotated heavily in the midweek Champions League fixture, meaning stars like Michael Olise, Serge Gnabry, and Harry Kane will return to the starting XI fully rested. On the downside, Dayot Upamecano and Serge Gnabry have struggled with illness this week, making them late fitness tests. Raphaël Guerreiro (calf) and Konrad Laimer (muscle fiber) remain sidelined, but Alphonso Davies is expected to return to the left-back slot, replacing Hiroki Ito.
Predicted Line-ups
Hamburger SV (4-2-3-1): Heuer Fernandes; Capaldo, Torunarigha, Vuskovic, Muheim; Remberg, Meffert; Jatta, Pherai, Dompe; Glatzel.
Bayern Munich (4-2-3-1): Neuer; Boey, Kim, Dier, Davies; Kimmich, Palhinha; Olise, Musiala, Jackson; Kane.
Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich Betting Tips
Tip 1 – Result: Bayern Munich Win.
Tip 2 – Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.5 goals.
Tip 3 – Both Teams To Score: No.
For the latest live odds and specialized markets, check out Betano.
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