PREVIEW: SSC Bari vs Palermo FC Prediction, H2H, Team News, Possible Line-ups, and Expert Betting Tips

Match Analysis

Advanced statistical breakdown and prediction model

SSC Bari
SSC Bari
vs.
Palermo FC
Palermo FC
final results:
1 - 0

Our Prediction

Palermo to win
Palermo to win
Palermo to win

Hot tip:

Palermo to win

Palermo is firmly in the promotion race, while Bari is flirting with relegation to Serie C and hasn't won a game since early November.

Double chance

Palermo to win either half

,

Total goals

Under 2.5

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As Serie B returns to the iconic Stadio San Nicola this Friday as seen in this preview, two sides with vastly different trajectories prepare for a high-stakes clash. Bari, traditional heavyweights of the division, find themselves in the unfamiliar and precarious position of 17th, battling to avoid the drop into the third tier. Conversely, Palermo arrives in Apulia as genuine promotion contenders, sitting 4th in the table and boasting one of the most organized defensive units in the league.

Bari will be hoping to build on their hard-fought 2-1 victory over Cesena last weekend, a result that finally snapped a dismal winless streak. However, for those analyzing the match preview, the historical data at the San Nicola remains a concern for the hosts, as they have struggled to find consistency in front of their passionate home crowd. Palermo, managed by Filippo Inzaghi, are unbeaten in their last five outings and look to maintain their push for a return to the top flight. You can find the most competitive markets for this Italian encounter by visiting Betano.

Bari vs Palermo Betting Preview

Team Recent Form

  • Bari: W L L D L
  • Palermo: D W D W D

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Key Stats

  • Defensive Fortress: Palermo has kept the most clean sheets in Serie B this season (9), conceding an average of only 0.67 goals per match.
  • Low-Scoring Pattern: Five of the last six matches involving Palermo have seen under 2.5 goals, as Inzaghi continues to prioritize defensive solidity.
  • Bari’s Home Struggle: Bari has failed to win in their last five home matches, showing a tendency to drop points even when leading at the half-time break.

Correct Score Prediction

0-1 to Palermo. This fixture has all the hallmarks of a classic Serie B tactical chess match. Palermo’s ability to shut down games on the road is their biggest asset; they have conceded only 0.9 goals per match on their travels this season. Bari often struggle to break down low blocks, averaging just 0.86 goals per game. Expect a professional, narrow victory for the Rosanero, likely decided by a single moment of quality from top scorer Joel Pohjanpalo. To back this scoreline, check the latest odds on Betano.

Bari vs Palermo H2H

  • Recent dominance: Palermo has won three of the last four meetings against Bari, including a 2-0 victory in the reverse fixture earlier this season.
  • The “San Nicola” Curse: Palermo is unbeaten in their last 8 trips to Bari (8 wins, 7 draws across all competitions).
  • Under 2.5 Landed: Under 2.5 goals has been a winning bet in 4 of the last 5 H2H encounters played at Bari’s home ground.
  • Early Lead: Palermo has scored first in 7 of the last 9 meetings between these two clubs.

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Pre-game Odds

  • Bari Win: 4.41
  • Draw: 3.56
  • Palermo Win: 2.06

Secure your stakes on the latest lineups at Betano.

Team News Bari

The “Galletti” are missing several key components of their defense. Mehdi Dorval is unavailable, while veteran defender Francesco Vicari remains sidelined with a muscle injury. On the attacking front, Casper Gytkjær is a doubt due to physical discomfort, which might force Emanuele Rao to take a more central role in the attack.

Team News Palermo

Palermo arrives with a relatively stable squad, though midfield creative Antonio Palumbo is under observation following a minor knock in training. The return of Filippo Ranocchia to the starting lineup is a massive boost for their transition play. Star striker Joel Pohjanpalo is fit and eager to add to his league-leading tally. 

Predicted Lineups

Bari (3-4-2-1): Cerofolini; Cistana, Meroni, Pucino; Dickmann, Maggiore, Castrovilli, Brauender; Verre, Mané; Gytkjær.

Palermo (3-4-2-1): Joronen; Peda, Bani, Ceccaroni; Pierozzi, Gomes, Ranocchia, Augello; Palumbo, Segre; Pohjanpalo.

Bari vs Palermo Betting Tips

For the best odds and most extensive Serie B markets, visit Betano.

  • Tip 1 – Result: Palermo Win
  • Tip 2 – Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.5 goals
  • Tip 3 – Both Team to Score: No

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