Chelsea vs Sunderland AFC preview, prediction, head-to-head, team news, possible line-ups, and betting tips

Match Analysis

Advanced statistical breakdown and prediction model

Chelsea
Chelsea
vs.
Sunderland AFC
Sunderland AFC
final results:
1 - 0

Our Prediction

Chelsea to win
Chelsea to win
Chelsea to win

Hot tip:

Chelsea to win

Chelsea is in rampant form (four straight wins, 11 goals scored) and possesses significant attacking quality. Sunderland, while defensively solid overall (only 6 conceded), relies heavily on home form.

Double chance

Chelsea to win or draw

,

Total goals

Over 1.5

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This Chelsea vs Sunderland AFC preview focuses on Stamford Bridge for a Premier League clash this Saturday as an in-form Chelsea hosts a surprisingly resilient Sunderland AFC. The Blues are flying high, entering this fixture off the back of four consecutive victories in all competitions, including a dominant 5-1 thrashing of Ajax in the Champions League midweek. Enzo Maresca’s side is finally clicking, climbing to fifth in the table and looking to cement their top-four ambitions against the newly-promoted side.

Sunderland, however, has been one of the season’s early surprises. The Black Cats sit seventh, level on 14 points with their hosts, and boast one of the league’s meanest defences, having conceded just six goals in eight games. This match preview pits one of the league’s hottest attacks against a stubborn, well-drilled defensive unit. For punters, this contrast in styles makes it a fascinating encounter to analyse, and you can find competitive odds for this match at Betano.

Chelsea vs Sunderland AFC Betting Preview

Team Recent Form

Chelsea: WWWWL

Sunderland AFC: WLDDW

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Key Stats

  • Chelsea’s Home Fortress: Chelsea has been formidable at Stamford Bridge in 2025, collecting 33 Premier League points at home (W10, D3, L1). Only Manchester City (34) has earned more this calendar year.
  • Sunderland’s Travel Sickness: The Black Cats’ strong league position is built on home form. On their travels, they have been poor, scoring just one goal in their four away Premier League matches this season.
  • Contrasting Form: Chelsea comes into this match having won four straight games, scoring 11 goals in the process. Sunderland, meanwhile, has failed to score in three of their last five league games.

Correct Score Prediction

Correct Score: Chelsea 2-0 Sunderland

I am predicting a 2-0 victory for the home side. Chelsea is brimming with confidence and attacking firepower, as evidenced by their recent wins over Liverpool and Ajax. While Sunderland’s defensive record is impressive, it has been heavily reliant on their form at the Stadium of Light. Away from home, they look goal-shy and have already lost 2-0 at Old Trafford this season.

Chelsea’s relentless pressure, combined with Sunderland’s inability to find the net on the road, points to a “win-to-nil” for the Blues. Sunderland’s defence is tight enough to prevent a rout, but the quality of players like Joao Pedro, Reece James, and Pedro Neto should be enough to breach their backline twice. A 2-0 scoreline looks like the most logical outcome for those looking at the correct score markets on Betano.

Chelsea vs Sunderland AFC H2H

  • Dominant Blues: Chelsea has dominated this fixture in the Premier League era, winning 23 of the 32 meetings.
  • Recent History: The last two Premier League encounters (in the 2016/17 season) both ended in Chelsea victories: 5-1 at Stamford Bridge and 1-0 at the Stadium of Light.
  • Cup Specialists: Despite their poor league record against the Blues, Sunderland has a curious hold over them in the EFL Cup, having won all three of their meetings in that competition.
  • Stamford Bridge Shocks: Sunderland’s last Premier League win at Stamford Bridge came in April 2014, a 2-1 victory that famously helped them avoid relegation.

Pre-game Odds

  • Chelsea: 1.40
  • Draw: 5.28
  • Sunderland AFC: 8.48

(Odds are subject to change and were correct at the time of writing. Check Betano for the latest prices.)

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Team News Chelsea

Enzo Maresca will be forced into at least one change from the side that beat Nottingham Forest last weekend, as right-back Malo Gusto is suspended after picking up a red card. However, club captain Reece James is fit to take his place. Joao Pedro also returns to the squad after serving a one-match European suspension. The Blues remain without several key players, including Levi Colwill (cruciate ligament), Cole Palmer (groin), and Benoit Badiashile (muscle).

Team News Sunderland AFC

Sunderland is contending with a significant injury list that could hamper their efforts. Centre-back Dan Ballard is also a doubt with a knee issue, which would be a major blow to their defensive solidity. Striker Brian Brobbey is fit and pushing for a start to lead the line.

Predicted Lineups

Chelsea Predicted XI (4-2-3-1):

Sanchez; James, Tosin, Chalobah, Cucurella; Caicedo, Fernandez; Estevao, Joao Pedro, Neto; Guiu

Sunderland AFC Predicted XI (4-2-3-1):

Roefs; Hume, Ballard, Alderete, Mukiele; Xhaka, Sadiki; Traore, Rigg, Le Fée; Brobbey

Chelsea vs Sunderland AFC Betting Tips

  • Tip 1 – Result: Chelsea to Win
  • Tip 2 – Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.5 Goals
  • Tip 3 – Both Teams to Score: No

Disclaimer: All betting tips and predictions are based on the expert analysis of the author. Please gamble responsibly. You must be 18 or older to gamble. Full terms and conditions apply | gambleaware.org.

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