In this preview, Real Madrid returns to the Santiago Bernabéu this Tuesday, looking to arrest a surprising slump in form. After a bruising Champions League quarter-final exit at the hands of Bayern Munich and a recent 1-1 draw with Girona, Los Blancos find themselves nine points adrift of leaders Barcelona. While the title race seems to be slipping away, Álvaro Arbeloa—now at the helm following a mid-season managerial shift—will demand a professional response against a struggling Alaves side fighting for top-flight survival.
The visitors arrive in the capital as one of the most unpredictable sides in La Liga. Under Quique Sánchez Flores, Alavés have become “Great Entertainers,” recently playing out high-scoring draws against Real Sociedad (3-3) and Osasuna (2-2). For bettors, this betting preview highlights a clash of styles: a Madrid side desperate to find their clinical edge against an Alaves defense that has conceded three goals in each of their last three away trips. If you’re looking to capitalize on these defensive vulnerabilities, Betano offers extensive markets on goal intervals and player specials.
Real Madrid vs Alaves Betting Preview
Team Recent Form
Real Madrid: L-D-L-L-W
Alaves: D-D-W-D-L
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Key Stats
- Defensive Fragility: Alaves have conceded 3 goals in each of their last three away matches in La Liga.
- Bernabéu Fortress: Despite their recent blip, Real Madrid are chasing their ninth consecutive head-to-head victory against Alaves.
- Mbappe’s Hunt: Kylian Mbappe enters this match with 23 league goals in 26 appearances as he looks to secure the Pichichi trophy.
Correct Score Prediction: Real Madrid 3-1 Alaves
I am predicting a 3-1 victory for the home side. Real Madrid are hurting from their European exit and will likely take out their frustrations on a porous Alaves defense. While Alaves have shown they can score against top opposition—highlighted by Lucas Boyé’s recent hot streak—they lack the structural discipline to hold out for 90 minutes at the Bernabéu. Expect Madrid’s quality in transition to prove decisive. You can back this scoreline at competitive odds via Betano.
Real Madrid vs Alaves H2H
- Historical Dominance: Real Madrid have won all of their last five meetings against Alaves.
- Goal Average: The last three of five H2H encounters have seen an average of 2.5 goals per game.
- Away Woes: Alaves have not won at the Bernabéu since November 2020.
- Early Pressure: Real Madrid have scored in the first half in four of their last five matches against El Glorioso.
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Pre-game Odds
- Real Madrid Win: 1.31
- Draw: 5.85
- Alaves Win: 10.50
Check for live odds and betting markets at Betano.
Team News Real Madrid
The hosts are grappling with several absences. Defender Raul Asencio is hospitalized with severe gastroenteritis and has reportedly lost 6kg in two weeks. Rodrygo remains a long-term absentee with an ACL injury, while Thibaut Courtois is still sidelined with a thigh problem, leaving Andriy Lunin to continue in goal. On a positive note, Aurelien Tchouameni returns to the squad after serving a suspension.
Team News Alaves
Quique Sánchez Flores will be without Abde Rebbach, who is serving a one-match ban for yellow card accumulation. Midfielder Carlos Benavidez remains out with a long-term injury. However, the form of Lucas Boyé is a major silver lining; the striker has been vital in their recent high-scoring draws.
Predicted Line-ups
Real Madrid (4-4-2 Diamond): Lunin; Alexander-Arnold, Militao, Rudiger, Carreras; Tchouameni, Valverde, Guler, Bellingham; Mbappe, Vinicius Jr.
Alaves (4-2-3-1): Sivera; Tenaglia, Abqar, Mourino, Sanchez; Blanco, Guevara; Vicente, Guridi, Romero; Boyé.
Real Madrid vs Alaves Betting Tips
- Tip 1 – Result: Real Madrid Win
- Tip 2 – Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Tip 3 – Both Teams to Score: Yes
For those looking for a boost, Betano is currently offering enhanced odds on Kylian Mbappe to score two or more goals.
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