This Toulouse vs Metz preview focuses on Toulouse as they host the only winless team left in Ligue 1, FC Metz, at the Stadium de Toulouse on Sunday. The hosts are coming off a morale-boosting 2-1 win against Lyon, a result that snapped a four-game winless streak. In stark contrast, Metz are in dire straits; sitting 18th in the table with just two points, they were thumped 3-0 by Marseille last time out and have the worst defensive record in the league.
This match preview highlights a match that looks like a prime opportunity for the home side. For punters, the key question is not just if Toulouse will win, but by how much. Bettors can find a variety of markets for this clash on BC.Game.
Toulouse Vs Metz match preview/Betting preview
Team Recent Form
(Last 5 Ligue 1 Matches)
Toulouse: W-D-L-L-L
Metz: L-D-L-D-L
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Toulouse’s recent form was looking bleak until their 2-1 triumph at Lyon. Before that, they had been porous at the back, conceding six to PSG and two to Nantes. Metz’s form is even more alarming. They are winless in their last five, picking up just two points via draws. On the road, they have been dismantled, losing 5-2 to Monaco and 3-2 to Paris FC.
Key Stats
- Metz’s Misery: FC Metz are the only team in Ligue 1 without a win this season (D2, L5).
- Leaky Defence: Metz have the worst defence in the league, conceding 16 goals in 7 matches. They have conceded 5 goals in their last two away games alone.
- H2H Dominance: Toulouse have beaten Metz in their last two encounters, scoring four goals and conceding zero (1-0 and 3-0).
Correct Score Prediction
Our correct score prediction is a 3-1 victory for Toulouse.
Toulouse are brimming with confidence after the Lyon win, and their attack, featuring Frank Magri and Yann Gboho, is up against the most porous defence in the division. Metz are in freefall and have shown no ability to keep teams out on the road. While Toulouse’s own defence is not perfect (12 goals conceded), their attack should overwhelm the visitors. Metz might find a consolation goal—their expected goals (xG) suggests they create more than their 5-goal tally indicates—but this should be a comfortable home win.
Toulouse Vs Metz H2H
- Toulouse are unbeaten in their last six matches against Metz (W2, D4).
- Toulouse have won the last two meetings to nil (1-0 and 3-0).
- The last meeting at the Stadium de Toulouse ended in a comfortable 3-0 win for the hosts.
- Despite the recent clean sheets for Toulouse, four of the last seven meetings have ended in a draw.
Pre-game Odds
- Toulouse: 1.60
- Draw: ~4.10
- Metz: 5.75
(Odds are approximate and subject to change. Check BC.Game for the latest odds)
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Team News Toulouse
Toulouse will be without midfielder Niklas Schmidt, who is out with a cruciate ligament injury and not expected back until late October. Winger Rafik Messali is also a doubt with an ankle problem. The good news is that striker Emersonn, who scored in the win against Lyon, is pushing for a starting spot, giving manager Carles Martínez plenty of attacking options.
Team News Metz
Metz’s problems are compounded by injuries and suspensions. Defender Sadibou Sané is back to the team and will start. The visitors are also expected to be with defender Fodé Ballo-Touré and midfielder Benjamin Stambouli when they travel. With a long injury list and a crisis of confidence, manager Stephane Le Mignan has few options to rotate his struggling squad.
Predicted Line-ups
Toulouse Predicted Lineup (3-4-3):
Restes; McKenzie, Cresswell, Nicolaisen; Sidibe, Casseres, Francis, Methalie; Donnum, Gboho, Emersonn
Metz Predicted Lineup (4-3-3):
Fischer; Gbamin, Sane, Yegbe; Kouao, Stambouli, Traore, Ballo-Toure; Hein, Sabaly; Diallo
Toulouse Vs Metz Betting Tips
This match presents a clear favourite against an opponent in crisis. Our expert tips reflect this dynamic, and all markets are available on BC.Game.
- Tip 1 – Result: Toulouse Win
- Tip 2 – Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.5 goals
- Tip 3 – Both Teams to Score: Yes
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