PREVIEW: Wales vs North Macedonia prediction, H2H, Team News, Possible Line-ups, and Expert Betting Tips

Match Analysis

Advanced statistical breakdown and prediction model

Wales
Wales
vs.
North Macedonia
North Macedonia
final results:
1 - 0

Our Prediction

Over 1.5
Over 1.5
Over 1.5

Hot tip:

Over 1.5

Wales is a different beast at the Cardiff City Stadium. Historically, they find an extra gear in front of their home fans, especially in "must-win" qualifiers

Double chance

Wales to win or draw

,

Total corners

Over 7.5 corners

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The Cardiff City Stadium is poised for a white-knuckle finale to Group J in this preview as Wales welcomes North Macedonia this Tuesday night. Both nations sit locked on 13 points, fighting tooth and nail for the second automatic qualification spot or a seeded playoff berth for the 2026 World Cup. Wales enters this contest on the back of a gritty, if uninspired, 1-0 victory over Liechtenstein, a result that kept their destiny in their own hands. The atmosphere in Cardiff is renowned for dragging the Dragons over the line, and they will need every decibel of support to break down a resilient visiting side.

North Macedonia, meanwhile, continues to punch above their weight, arriving in Wales unbeaten in Group J qualifying but plagued by draws. Their recent 0-0 stalemate in a friendly against Latvia was a warm-up for this winner-takes-all clash. Known for their disciplined low block and dangerous counter-attacks, the visitors know that a draw might be enough to secure a playoff spot depending on goal difference, but a win could historically propel them to the World Cup. This clash of styles—Wales’ possession and home dominance vs. North Macedonia’s rugged defensive organization—makes for a tense and tactical Wales vs North Macedonia match preview.

Wales Vs North Macedonia Match Preview

This match centers on the high stakes and contrasting recent fortunes of the two sides. Wales has struggled for fluency under Craig Bellamy recently but found a way to win when it mattered last weekend. The return of key playmaker Harry Wilson is a massive boost for a side that has sometimes lacked creativity in the final third. At home, Wales is a formidable beast, often raising their game against direct rivals, and they will be looking to dictate the tempo from the first whistle.

Conversely, North Macedonia has built their campaign on being difficult to beat. They have frustrated superior opposition like Belgium with disciplined defending, but their lack of cutting edge upfront is a worry for punters backing an upset. In this match preview, the stats suggest a tight, low-scoring affair where one moment of magic or a set-piece could decide the outcome. The visitors will likely sit deep and look to frustrate the home crowd, hoping to nick a goal on the break through players like Eljif Elmas.

Team Recent Form

Wales: WLLLW

North Macedonia: DDDWL

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Key Stats

  • Draw Specialists: North Macedonia has drawn 3 of their last 4 competitive matches, underlining their resilience but also their struggle to kill games off.
  • Low Scoring H2H: The reverse fixture ended in a tight 1-1 draw, and historically, matches between these two rarely see more than 2 goals.

Correct Score Prediction

Wales 1-0 North Macedonia

I expect this to be a cagey, nervy encounter given what is at stake. Wales has the home advantage and the crucial return of Harry Wilson, which gives them just enough extra quality in attack to break down a stubborn North Macedonian defense. The visitors will be organized, but Wales’ need for a win to avoid goal-difference complications will drive them to find a winner. A solitary goal is likely all that will separate these two evenly matched sides. If you agree with this tight scoreline, you can find competitive odds at Betano.

Wales Vs North Macedonia H2H

  • The reverse fixture in March 2025 ended in a hard-fought 1-1 draw in Skopje.
  • Wales won the last meeting on home soil 1-0 back in the 2013 World Cup qualifiers.
  • North Macedonia has only beaten Wales once in their history (2-1 in 2013).
  • Both teams have scored in 2 of the 3 historical meetings between these nations.

Pre-game Odds

  • Wales to win: 1.73
  • Draw: 3.60
  • North Macedonia to win: 5.20

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Team News Wales

Craig Bellamy faces a selection headache with key midfielders Jordan James and captain Ethan Ampadu both suspended after picking up yellow cards in the win against Liechtenstein. However, the team receives a massive boost with the return of Harry Wilson from his own suspension; he is expected to slot straight back into the starting XI to provide creativity. Brennan Johnson and Daniel James will likely provide the pace on the wings, supporting a central striker, potentially Mark Harris or the returning Kieffer Moore if passed fit. Defensively, Joe Rodon and Neco Williams remain pivotal figures. You can back this Welsh side to get the job done at Betano.

Team News North Macedonia

The visitors are without their experienced defender Ezgjan Alioski, who was not called up due to injury, a significant loss for their backline. Visar Musliu and Jani Atanasov are also expected to miss out, forcing manager Blagoja Milevski to shuffle his pack. The creative burden will fall heavily on Enis Bardhi and Eljif Elmas, who will operate in midfield and look to feed the attack. Up front, Bojan Miovski or Aleksandar Trajkovski will lead the line, tasked with holding up play and bringing others into the game during counter-attacks.

Predicted Lineups

Wales Predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Darlow; N. Williams, Rodon, Cabango, B. Davies; Sheehan, Savage; D. James, Wilson, Johnson; Harris.

North Macedonia Predicted XI (3-5-2): Dimitrievski; Manev, Serafimov, Zajkov; Dimoski, Bardhi, Alimi, Elmas, Ashkovski; Miovski, Churlinov.

Wales Vs North Macedonia Betting Tips

For the best markets and odds on this crucial qualifier, I recommend placing your bets at Betano.

Tip 1 – Result: Wales to Win

Tip 2 – Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.5 Goals

Tip 3 – Both Teams to Score: No

Ready to back the Dragons to secure their spot? Visit Betano to place your bets now.

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