In this Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves preview, we see Rayo Vallecano host Deportivo Alavés at the Estadio de Vallecas on Sunday evening in a La Liga clash between two closely-matched mid-table sides.1 The hosts, sitting 11th, have found a rich vein of form, winning their last two league games, including an impressive 3-0 away win at Levante. They also secured a 2-2 draw away to Häcken in the Conference League midweek, extending their unbeaten run to three games.
Alavés, just one point and one place above Rayo in 10th, arrive in Madrid with a more stubborn, defensive mindset. They are unbeaten in their last two league outings, most recently a hard-fought 0-0 draw at home against Valencia. This match preview is intriguing as it pits Rayo’s resurgent attack against Alavés’ solid defensive structure, with both teams looking to cement a place in the top half of the table.
Rayo Vallecano Vs Alavés match preview/Betting preview
Team Recent Form
Based on the last five results across all competitions, Rayo Vallecano’s form has been superior, sparked by recent wins.
Rayo Vallecano: LLWWD
Alavés: LDLWD
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Key Stats
- H2H Dominance: Rayo Vallecano has dominated this fixture recently, winning five of the last seven La Liga meetings against Alavés and completing a league double over them last season.
- Rayo’s Home Woes vs. Away Form: Oddly, Rayo has struggled at home, failing to win any of their league matches at Vallecas this season. In contrast, they have been excellent on the road.
- Low-Scoring Affair: Alavés’ away matches are typically tight. 12 of their last 19 games on the road have finished with Under 2.5 goals.7
Correct Score Prediction
Our prediction is a 1-0 victory for Rayo Vallecano.
This will be a tight, cagey match. Alavés are a well-drilled defensive unit under Eduardo Coudet and will set up to frustrate the home side, just as they did against Valencia.8 However, Rayo Vallecano’s form has turned a corner. After failing to win in September, they are unbeaten in October, and the 3-0 win over Levante will have filled their attackers with confidence. The key factor here is Rayo’s poor home form. They are desperate to give their fans a win at Vallecas, and this is the perfect opportunity. Alavés don’t travel well (one win in four away) and Rayo has the superior head-to-head record. Expect a moment of quality from Álvaro García or Jorge de Frutos to be the difference in a low-scoring home win. You can back this result at Betano.
Rayo Vallecano Vs Alavés H2H
- Rayo Vallecano won both La Liga meetings against Alavés during the 2024-25 season (1-0 at home, 2-0 away).9
- Rayo has won five of the last seven head-to-head encounters, with Alavés winning the other two.
- There has not been a draw in this fixture in the last 12 meetings.
- Only one of the last six meetings has seen Over 2.5 goals scored.
Pre-game Odds
- Rayo Vallecano: 2.12
- Draw: 3.22
- Alavés: 4.01
(Odds are subject to change. Check the latest odds on Betano)
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Team News Rayo Vallecano
The hosts are in relatively strong shape. Their main absences are in defense, with both Abdul Mumin (cruciate ligament) and Luiz Felipe (hamstring) ruled out until November. However, striker Sergio Camello is available again for selection after serving his two-match suspension, which gives Iñigo Pérez another attacking option from the bench.
Team News Alavés
Alavés come into this match with a massive advantage: a fully fit squad. Barring any late setbacks, manager Eduardo Coudet has no injuries or suspensions to worry about. Forward Mariano Díaz has been passed fit after an injury, though he is expected to start on the bench, with Lucas Boyé and Toni Martínez continuing their partnership up front.12
Predicted Lineups
Rayo Vallecano (4-2-3-1):
Batalla (GK); Ratiu, Lejeune, Mendy, Chavarría; Valentín, López; De Frutos, Palazón, A. García; Alemão13
Alavés (4-4-2):
Sivera (GK); Jonny, Tenaglia, Pacheco, Enríquez; Vicente, Blanco, Ibáñez, Rebbach; Martínez, Boyé
Rayo Vallecano Vs Alavés betting tips
- Tip 1 – Result: Rayo Vallecano Win
- Tip 2 – Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.5 goals
- Tip 3 – Both teams to score: No
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